比特币录得最长连跌!这波反弹已见顶?

jin10Published on 2024-05-09Last updated on 2024-05-09

当前,比特币这一最大的数字资产正经历连续第五天下跌,创自去年10月以来最长连跌记录。根据CoingGecko的数据,在3月中旬比特币创下73798美元的历史新高之后,整个加密货币市场暴跌17%至2.4万亿美元。

随着流入美国现货比特币ETF的资金不断减少,叠加美联储利率长期走高的背景,数字资产的发展受到了抑制。上周香港加密货币ETF的首次亮相也未能提振市场情绪。

1月份在美国比特币现货ETF推出后,有大量现金涌入美国比特币ETF,同时推升了比特币站上历史高位。

然而,5月第一周,即美联储利率决议公布的前后几天,约有2亿美元的数字货币多头进行清算。

美联储利率决议当天(5月第一周周三),贝莱德旗下的比特币ETF也首次出现了约3700万美元的资金流出,而其余的比特币现货ETF合计有超过5.268亿美元的资金流出。当天流出最多的是Fidelity旗下的比特币ETF,净流出为1.911亿美元,灰度比特币信托流出1.674亿美元。

数字资产投资管理公司Magnet Capital总监Benjamin Celermajer表示,许多押注ETF流入持续强劲的投机者现在“被挤出市场”。但他补充说,

牛市尚未结束,比特币将在2024年底创下新高。

有迹象表明,与美国ETF推出所带来的波动相比,投资者预计比特币衍生品的大幅波动将会减少。

T3比特币波动率指数(使用期权价格来衡量比特币的预期30天内波动)和以太坊波动率指数均处于两个月低点。

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