Bitcoin Dives Below $40K, Why BTC Could Recover In Short-Term

newsbtcPublished on 2022-04-12Last updated on 2022-04-12

Abstract

Bitcoin gained bearish momentum and even declined below $40,000 against the US Dollar. BTC could recover if it manages to climb above the $40,000 pivot level. Bitcoin remained in a...

Bitcoin gained bearish momentum and even declined below $40,000 against the US Dollar. BTC could recover if it manages to climb above the $40,000 pivot level.

  • Bitcoin remained in a bearish zone and extended decline below $40,000.
  • The price is now trading below $40,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a steep bearish trend line forming with resistance near $39,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start a short-term recovery if there is a move above $40,000.

Bitcoin Price Gains Bearish Pace
Bitcoin price struggled to recover above the $43,500 level. BTC started another decline and traded below the $42,000 support level.
The bears took control and pushed the price below the $41,000 level. There was also a clear move below the $40,000 support zone and a close below the 100 hourly simple moving average. The price traded as low as $39,240 and is currently consolidating losses.
An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $39,700 level. There is also a steep bearish trend line forming with resistance near $39,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The first major resistance is forming near the $40,000 level. The next resistance could be near $40,200. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,415 swing high from the $39,240 low. A clear move above the $40,000 and $40,200 levels might start a short-term recovery wave.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
In the stated case, the price may perhaps rise towards the $41,350 resistance zone. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,415 swing high from the $39,240 low.
More Losses in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to clear the $40,000 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $39,250 level.
The next major support is seen near the $38,880 level. A downside break below the $38,880 support zone could increase selling pressure. In the stated case, the price could accelerate lower towards the $37,500 level in the coming sessions.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now in the oversold zone.
Major Support Levels – $39,250, followed by $38,880.
Major Resistance Levels – $39,700, $40,000 and $40,200.

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