BUSD停发,DeFi稳定币成为最大赢家?

Foresight NewsPublished on 2023-02-16Last updated on 2023-02-16

Abstract

随着监管机构打击 BUSD,DeFi 稳定币将迎来新的发展契机。

DeFi 稳定币在 UST 崩溃之中受到重击,但 DAI、FRAX 和 LUSD 依然保持坚挺。现在,GHO 和 crvUSD 正准备加入这个领域,带来新的创新。

而随着监管机构打击 BUSD,DeFi 稳定币将迎来新的发展契机,以下是一些看涨案例: 🐂

DAI 应该是赢家,这是因为 DAI 具有货币溢价(超出其价格的额外价值),这要归功于:

现货流动性

久经考验的美元挂钩

支持大量 DeFi 协议

在现实世界中的采用普及

相同的道理,货币溢价适用于所有中心化稳定币。溢价程度取决于它们的采用、合规性、流动性和信任度。现在,SEC 对 BUSD 的指控正在打破 BUSD 对 USDC、USDT 的货币溢价,但主要还是对 DeFi 稳定币的溢价。

你可以将此溢价视为美元相对于其他货币的溢价:它来自储备货币地位、政治稳定、军事和经济实力以及金融市场,涉及多种因素,并且需要时间来累积。(想要了解更多,你可以阅读这篇文章)

像 FRAX 和 LUSD 这样的 DeFi 稳定币正在建立它们的货币溢价来追赶 DAI。它们看似替代品,但都有各自的目的。

在监管允许的情况下,DAI 已将重心转移到从 RWA(现实世界资产)中获取收入。它的目标是成为一种由去中心化的、具有弹性的抵押品支持的无偏见的世界货币。

Liquity (LUSD) 的使命相同:成为「能够抵抗各种审查制度的最去中心化的稳定币」。但是,它通过最小治理实现了这一点,没有 RWA 敞口,仅使用 ETH 作为抵押品,并且没有放弃与美元挂钩(与 DAI 不同)。

由于设计和不可变的智能合约,LUSD 可能无法在市值上超过 DAI。但是,对于那些担心中心化和审查风险的人来说,它是一种与美元挂钩的利基稳定币。

Frax 的策略有所不同。在接受 Blockworks 采访时,S. Kazemian 表示,「与美元挂钩的稳定币不会『通过虚假或真正的去中心化』大规模逃避监管。」它们甚至申请了一个美联储主账户,以便尽可能接近美联储。

美联储主账户将允许持有美元并直接与美联储进行交易,使 FRAX 成为最接近无风险美元的稳定币。这使得 FRAX 能够摆脱 USDC 作为抵押品的局限,将市值扩大到数千亿美元。

FRAX 还不是真正意义上的稳定币,它没有 DAI 的货币溢价。目前,FRAX 正被用于榨取其设计巧妙的飞轮生态系统中的每一份收益。相比之下,DAI 的大部分供应都放在钱包中,作为对抗市场波动的储值资产。

Frax 的收益和效率最大化是它的差异化因素。 Frax 以 FRAX 为中心构建了一个完整的多位一体的 DeFi 生态系统:

Fraxswap

Fraxlend

Fraxferry (bridge)

frxETH

每一个功能都有助于增强 FRAX 的实用性。

Synthetix 的 sUSD 也很务实,与其 DeFi 生态系统紧密关联:

Kwenta - 交易所

Lyra - 期权

Polynomial- 结构化保险库

Thales - 二元期权

sUSD 的采用取决于其 DeFi 产品的增长,但其货币溢价很低。

Maker 在向一个有趣的方向变化,它希望像 Frax 一样建立自己的 DeFi 生态系统。Maker 正在构建一个借贷协议和一个合成的 LSD - EtherDAI 来为 DAI 创造更多的用例和需求。

我最初的想法是 Spark 协议是 Aave 明显的竞争对手,是对 $GHO 的反击,但这并不意味着 Maker 和 Aave 以后不会合作。

事实上,我认为合作能实现双方共赢。让我解释一下:

Frax 的一切都专注于为 FRAX 稳定币赋能。同样,Maker 的新协议将有助于增加 DAI 的实用性。对于 Maker 而言,DAI 作为无偏见的世界货币是最终目标,新的协议也是为了实现这个目标。

但 Aave 的使命不同:它力求成为排名第一的货币市场协议,GHO 是实现这一目标的工具。

简而言之:DAI 是使命,Spark 协议是一种工具;对于 Aave 来说,货币市场是使命,GHO 是工具。

Venus 稳定币 VAI 就是一个很好的例子。它是 BNB Chain 上一个成功的借贷协议,TVL 为 8.55 亿美元。在其市值到达 2.5 亿美元峰值时, VAI 供应量大于 FRAX。但现在它的交易价格低于挂钩价格(0.94 美元),24 小时交易量仅为 6 万美元。

VAI 不是 Venus 的核心,它的使命是为借贷协议服务尽管如此, $VAI 还是帮助 Venus 成长到了今天的位置。

无论如何,如果创始人真的这么想,那么所有的稳定币都可以共存,甚至可以互相支持。让 DAI 在 Aave 上可用意味着协议可以铸造更多的 GHO ,并且 GHO 也可以在 Spark 协议上得到支持。

同样的逻辑适用于 Curve 的 crvUSD。Curve 是 DeFi 中现货流动性的支柱,crvUSD 将有助于提高协议的资本效率。因此,crvUSD 不会对 FRAX 或 DAI 构成威胁,它实际上可以增加所有 DeFi 稳定币的现货流动性。

因此,我看好 DeFi 稳定币,因为它们提供了独特的差异化。它们认识到监管的重要性,但有不同的应对之法:

DAI 和 LUSD 抵抗审查,而 Frax 则尽可能接近美联储。

虽然 GHO 和 crvUSD 可能看起来竞争加剧,但它们的重点是改进底层协议。它们可以共同努力,以自己独特的方式成就彼此。此外,随着监管机构紧随其后,现在比以往任何时候都更需要合作。

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