[Key interpretation] The top ten whales in XRP have significantly reduced their positions, and BTC volume shrinks for the first time

Huobi發佈於 2022-09-26更新於 2022-09-27

文章摘要

BTC investors' money holding cost decreased, and the trading volume shrank for the first time.

1. BTC turnover shows signs of shrinking

In the process of narrowing the price fluctuation space of BTC, although the cumulative decline has not significantly expanded, the market is on the eve of the change. As the trading volume retreats from its highest level in two years, the short-term trading volume shrinks, which means that BTC will change its position during the downward movement of the closing price. From the closing point, BTC's closing price on each trading day has been declining in recent years, apparently effectively falling below the lowest closing price of 18970 US dollars on June 18. At the same time, the focus of BTC investors' currency holdings has obviously retreated, and the current volume and price do not support the rapid rise of BTC.

2. The number of ETH sending addresses rebounds

The number of active addresses of ETH has not changed much. During the period of small rebound, it is mainly due to the growth of the number of sending addresses. From the numerical point of view, the number of sending addresses rose to a short-term high of 321000 on September 24. Although the number rose, it was lower than 425000 on September 17. This shows that the number of ETH sent by investors is gradually decreasing. The gradual decline from 799000 on August 26 means that the market is in the period of adjustment.

3. The number of ETH receiving addresses is abnormally low

The number of receiving addresses of ETH is unusually low, which means that there is less adjustment to participate in the short-term transfer or transaction of ETH. Different from the number of sending addresses, the number of receiving addresses of ETH decreased, and fell back to the lowest of 131000 within one year on September 25, which means that OTC investors continue to reduce their market entry transactions, and the market adjustment expectation remains unchanged. Consistent with the trend of BTC, ETH's recent amplitude is small, but the closing price has been retreating, and the adjustment expectation remains unchanged.

4. XRP price short-term adjustment

In the 4-hour K line chart, during the short-term retreat of XRP price, the price rebounded obviously under the Bollinger line. In terms of trading volume, the trading volume remained stable during the short-term continuous decline, and the selling pressure was effectively released. At present, the short-term pullback is dominated by low suction. Judging from the recent price trend, the support of US $0.45 and US $0.4 during the release of selling pressure can be properly paid attention to. On the message side, XRP

The news shows that the lawsuit between the Swiss currency and the SEC will probably be decided in December. At the same time, the market expectation is generally optimistic about XRP's judgment in the near future, which makes XRP's price fluctuate strongly in the near future.

On September 18, Ripple's defense lawyer James K. Filan said on Twitter that Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of Ripple Labs, had filed a motion for summary judgment in advance.

The next day, Caroline D. Pham, a member of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, talked with Brad Garlinghouse. It was previously reported that Ripple and the SEC had asked the court to resolve their ongoing legal disputes.

The encryption community is optimistic about the possibility of compromise because Ripple Labs claims that there is no investment contract. Therefore, the summary judgment motion is considered a prudent strategy that may lead to a settlement with the SEC.

5. XRP's main currency holding and distribution

In terms of coin holding, the number of coins held at Whale's address has continued a clear downward trend recently, while XRP prices rose and fell in the same period, indicating that the spread of coin holding does not support the price rise. The number of XRP's top 10, top 20 and top 50 coins held in Xihong Temple decreased from 73%, 75% and 78% on August 28 to 72%, 74% and 77%, and the currency holding divergence trend was clear. Therefore, in terms of trading, in addition to focusing on the overall market strength and XRP litigation results, attention should be paid to adjusting risks in recent low absorption buying.

你可能也喜歡

以太坊正在重走互联网和 Linux 的老路:谁都不服谁,最后中立者通吃

作者Etherealize撰文指出,以太坊正重演互联网和Linux的历史模式:巨头们(如Stripe、摩根大通、Circle)竞相构建自己控制的专有区块链,但谁也不愿在对手的地盘上建设。这使得一个无人控制、可信中立的基础设施——以太坊,成为唯一能被广泛接受的选项。 文章回顾了90年代互联网和Linux如何战胜封闭的专有系统,强调开放、无需许可的“集市”模式,通过分布式贡献和整合,最终在创新和网络效应上超越集中控制的“大教堂”。以太坊的无需许可特性,让开发者能自由创新(如ERC-20、Uniswap的诞生),吸引了超过百万开发者,形成了强大的工具、标准和流动性生态。 与联盟链(如Canton、Tempo)屡屡失败不同,以太坊凭借其去中心化、主权属性(任何单一实体无法强加规则)和路径依赖形成的广泛代币分配,赢得了如Coinbase、贝莱德、摩根大通等成熟机构的采用,承载了绝大部分DeFi贷款、稳定币和代币化资产。 尽管有人担忧金融领域需要问责制,但文章指出,合规和隐私问题可以在应用层通过智能合约标准(如ERC-3643)和零知识证明等技术解决,而无需牺牲结算层的中立性。最终,试图在围墙花园内收租的模式难以持久,在开放的中立基础设施上构建才是胜出策略,正如网景拥抱互联网而非对抗它一样。

marsbit1 小時前

以太坊正在重走互联网和 Linux 的老路:谁都不服谁,最后中立者通吃

marsbit1 小時前

交易

現貨
合約
活动图片