Primitive Ventures: Why Are We Bullish On On-Chain Perpetual U.S. Stocks?

marsbit发布于2026-01-30更新于2026-01-30

文章摘要

Primitive Ventures argues that on-chain perpetual contracts for US equities represent a pivotal convergence point for crypto and traditional finance, poised to absorb global liquidity. The trend is driven by crypto's innate preference for volatility and key infrastructure upgrades: crypto in-kind margin acceptance by CBOE/CME, DTCC's potential on-chain settlement integration, and the emergence of tokenized equities as collateral enabling systematic basis farming. The dynamic involves "onshore issuance, offshore distribution." While entities like Ondo focus on compliant tokenized stock issuance, demand flows to platforms with superior distribution and trading interfaces, predominantly on BNB Chain. On-chain perps attract global professional traders seeking 24/7 access, high leverage, cross-margin efficiency, and DeFi composability, bypassing traditional broker limitations. The stack is maturing with infrastructure (HIP-3/HyperCore, Orderly, Chainlink), trading platforms (Trade.xyz, Ostium), and terminal frontends (Based, Phantom). The future is a unified global "margin network" where diverse assets serve as interoperable collateral. However, the window is narrowing. The primary threat is not demand but regulatory approval of onshore products, which could rapidly shift activity back to established brokers (e.g., Robinhood with 0DTE options). With the SEC/CFTC actively studying perps and compliant entrants like Bitnomial emerging, offshore/on-chain players must quickly captur...

Author: YettaS, Investment Partner at Primitive Ventures

As gold and silver continue to hit new highs, Trade.xyz's daily trading volume approaches $2 billion, and Binance lists TSLA perpetual contracts with little hesitation, the trend is hard to ignore: Traditional financial assets are becoming the new gateway for the crypto market to absorb global liquidity.

Just a year ago, most CEX operators probably couldn't accept this fact: An on-chain trading venue is actually using TradFi assets as a wedge to begin eroding and reshaping the core territory of centralized exchanges.

We all know that crypto capital inherently prefers volatility; from a product structure perspective, equity perps are precisely at the convergence point of several key upgrades, which is the fundamental reason they stand out in this cycle:

  • As CBOE / CME gradually accept crypto in-kind margin this year, the liquidity and availability of crypto assets as collateral will significantly improve.

  • Once the DTCC establishes a direct on-chain connection, the settlement layer will begin to permeate on-chain, and stock assets will gain a native on-chain settlement channel from the source.

  • The truly interesting part then emerges: Tokenized stocks as collateral → Perpetual contract exchanges accept them → Institutions begin systematic basis farming.

Onshore Issuance, Offshore Distribution

The U.S. exports finance not by exporting financial institutions themselves, but by exporting "access." The petrodollar system distributed dollars globally, externalizing inflationary pressure; stablecoins replicated this logic by wholesale purchasing of U.S. Treasuries, turning the whole world into new dollar holders without the need for banks or brokers. On-chain stocks are the next step in this logic. From unbanked to unbrokered, dollar assets will once again complete their global倾销 (dumping).

CEXs saw the opportunity and potential threat early on, so they chose to expand first. Ondo and xStocks focused on the issuance side—connecting with brokers, custodying real stocks, minting 1:1 tokenized stocks on multiple chains—but it turned out that issuance itself doesn't automatically create a market.

The first wave of real demand came from traders unable to access the U.S. brokerage system and crypto-native users seeking exposure to U.S. stocks without relying on TradFi infrastructure. The issuers handled the heaviest compliance and custody work, but the flow of funds went to the side that truly controls trading attention and distribution capabilities. Offshore platforms embedded the products directly into their trading interfaces, and trading volume naturally aggregated there. Ultimately, we see the vast majority of tokenized stock trading volume concentrated on BNB Chain, accounting for over 80%.

If offshore spot unlocked retail demand, on-chain equity perps further attracted the flow of professional traders. These users are global trading participants who want to trade or hedge U.S. stocks without being constrained by broker access, trading hours, or jurisdictional limits.

Take HIP-3 as an example; it provides professional traders with a trading interface to systematically conduct basis trading, capture cross-market dislocations, and cover stocks, crypto assets, and indices simultaneously. With the叠加 (overlay) of potential airdrop incentives, trading volume continues to刷新 (refresh) new highs.

The Golden Window for On-Chain Stock Perpetuals

Once a现货锚点 (spot anchor) exists, perpetual contracts almost always become the most efficient trading tool, for reasons that are as direct as ever:

  • 7×24 hour trading,不受 (not subject to) market hour restrictions

  • Cross-margin with all assets, extremely capital efficient

  • High leverage allows true risk appetite to be释放 (released)

  • Composable into DeFi strategies

  • Provides a clear collateral path for RWA / tokenized assets

The entire tech stack is rapidly taking shape:

Infrastructure

  • HIP-3 / HyperCore: High-performance orderbook engine, supports any perp market

  • Orderly: Unified omnichain orderbook, anyone can launch a perp with no code

  • Chainlink: Stock price oracle (core data layer)

Platforms (Where trading happens)

  • Trade.xyz: Based on HIP-3, currently the largest equity perp DEX

  • Ostium: FX / Commodities / Stocks,偏向 (leaning towards) CFD structure

  • Ventuals: pre-IPO market (HIP-3)

  • Felix / Vest / Aster / Architect: Each has its focus on settlement, coverage, and distribution

Terminals (Current upstream traffic entry points)

  • Based: Multi-asset interface aggregating Hyperliquid, HIP-3, and prediction markets

  • Phantom / Metamask-like frontends: Convert wallet traffic into trading behavior

Looking forward, the focus is shifting from "tokenization" to "monetary velocity." The real on-chain GDP will be generated here. The ultimate winners won't just be players who can mint on-chain wrapped assets, but those trading venues that, at scale, can convert any asset into usable collateral and provide the deepest liquidity and the cleanest matching / risk engine.

Imagine the future as a globally unified "collateral network": Bitcoin, U.S. stocks, gold, U.S. Treasuries are no longer locked in their respective systems but can be used as collateral like building blocks at any time; perpetual contracts become the most universal risk expression tool; stablecoins play the role of cash; various trading and arbitrage strategies run automatically 7×24 on-chain, constantly combining. Assets are no longer "held" but are continuously called upon.

Racing Against Time

The window is open, but time is not on the side of on-chain equity perps. The biggest threat is not demand, but the formal approval of onshore products. History has repeatedly shown that once regulators nod, distribution回流 (flows back) to the existing brokerage system in an extremely short time. 0DTE options are the most direct example: after approval, they were quickly absorbed and dominated by Robinhood.

More importantly, the countdown has begun. The SEC and CFTC are systematically studying perpetual derivatives and their market structure and risks, which usually means regulatory boundaries are being actively defined. Meanwhile,

  • Bitnomial became the first CFTC-compliant perp

  • Coinbase also launched 5-year futures with a funding mechanism,几乎 (almost) indistinguishable in trading behavior from perps.

The reason offshore and on-chain players can still lead is simply that the products haven't been standardized yet. Once the rules take shape, the advantage will quickly disappear. Those who truly have a chance are not those waiting for certainty, but those who, while the window is still open, quickly lock in users and liquidity, and shape the rules while running and coordinating with regulators. Time is not a background variable but the core constraint determining victory or defeat, and the countdown has already begun.

Just as Tether used crypto's distribution power to quietly push the dollar globally back in the day, today's on-chain economy is essentially doing the same thing—leveraging the liquidity and trading tools of the crypto market to deliver U.S. stocks and American assets in a form with higher frequency, higher leverage, and higher liquidity to a broader set of participants. On-chain is not对抗 (fighting against) off-chain; it is rewriting the operating methods of the existing system with faster speed and stronger capital efficiency. The real watershed lies in whether one can timely capture this mechanism and complete the cognition and layout of the new continent on-chain.

相关问答

QWhy does Primitive Ventures believe on-chain perpetuals for US stocks are gaining traction in the crypto market?

APrimitive Ventures attributes the rise of on-chain perpetuals for stocks to crypto's inherent preference for volatility, key infrastructure upgrades like CBOE/CME accepting crypto in-kind margin, and the potential for DTCC to establish direct on-chain connections. These factors enable tokenized stocks to be used as collateral, attracting institutional basis farming and global liquidity.

QWhat is the significance of the 'offshore distribution' model for tokenized stocks mentioned in the article?

AThe 'offshore distribution' model refers to platforms outside strict US jurisdiction that focus on distributing and trading tokenized stocks, capturing demand from users unable to access US brokerages or seeking crypto-native exposure. This model has concentrated over 80% of trading volume on BNB Chain, demonstrating that distribution, not just issuance, drives market growth.

QWhat advantages do on-chain equity perpetuals offer over traditional trading methods?

AOn-chain equity perpetuals offer 24/7 trading unrestricted by market hours, high capital efficiency with cross-margin across all assets, high leverage to match risk appetite, composability into DeFi strategies, and a clear path for using RWA/tokenized assets as collateral.

QWhat are the main threats to the growth of on-chain equity perpetuals according to the article?

AThe primary threat is the potential approval and rapid adoption of onshore regulated products by established brokers, as seen with 0DTE options on Robinhood. Regulatory bodies like the SEC and CFTC are already studying perpetual derivatives, and once rules are standardized, the current advantage could quickly diminish.

QHow does the article describe the future vision of a 'global margin network'?

AThe future is envisioned as a globally unified 'margin network' where assets like Bitcoin, US stocks, gold, and US Treasuries are not siloed but can be used interchangeably as collateral. Perpetual contracts serve as the universal tool for risk expression, stablecoins act as cash, and various trading/arbitrage strategies operate 24/7, continuously composing and utilizing assets rather than just holding them.

你可能也喜欢

如何让自己变得让人工智能永远也无法取代

面对人工智能的冲击,许多人担心工作被取代。然而,真正的威胁在于个人对他人和系统的依赖,以及由此产生的“薪资奴役”——即为生存而从事无意义、枯燥的工作。摆脱这种困境的关键,不是抵制技术,而是成为拥有高自主性的“不可受雇”个体。 文章提出了成功抵御AI替代的五个核心要素:自主性(主动行动的能力)、品味(判断事物价值的经验)、说服力(让他人关注你工作的能力)、毅力(坚持并从错误中学习)和迭代(根据反馈持续改进)。这些能力无法仅通过理论学习获得,必须通过实践来培养。 要启动转变,首先要彻底改变环境,重塑身份认同。其次,应选择一个能获得真实、快速反馈的实践领域,例如创业。在众多技能中,内容创作(媒体)比编写代码更具优势,因为其价值是主观的,需要独特的审美和判断力,这正是AI目前难以完全复制的。 具体行动上,可以从三个步骤开始: 1. **挖掘原始素材**:反思自己长期痴迷的知识领域、轻松解决的难题或童年被压抑的兴趣,找到独特的个人经验。 2. **确立反向思考主轴**:找出你坚信但主流观点错误的地方,或行业内普遍忽视的“皇帝新衣”,形成独特的批判性视角。 3. **立即发布**:将前两步的思考融合,撰写并发布第一个核心内容(如帖子、视频),勇敢接受真实世界的反馈,并在此基础上持续学习和迭代。 最终,抵御AI的关键在于构建一份与自身身份深度契合的毕生事业,通过持续的内容创作和真实互动,建立无法被自动化取代的独特价值和影响力。行动,从今天发布第一个想法开始。

marsbit3小时前

如何让自己变得让人工智能永远也无法取代

marsbit3小时前

通过掷骰子离线保管比特币密钥:并非人人愿意为之

文章探讨了通过投掷骰子生成比特币钱包种子短语的安全方法及其现实挑战。核心观点如下: **1. 骰子提供物理熵源** 骰子结果由众多微小变量决定,理论上虽可预测,但实践中无法被攻击者复制或计算,从而提供高质量的随机性。每个六面骰子投掷约产生2.585比特熵,50次投掷即可满足典型12词助记词(128比特熵)的安全需求。 **2. Coldcard漏洞事件凸显手工熵源的价值** 近期Coldcard硬件钱包因固件漏洞导致其内部随机数生成器存在缺陷,致使约1128枚比特币被盗。但那些**完全**通过足量骰子投掷生成种子短语的用户未受此漏洞影响,因为他们的主密钥未使用有缺陷的生成器。 **3. 重要警示:手工种子并非万能保护** 安全研究员指出,即使用户使用骰子生成了安全的种子,若他们使用了Coldcard的其他功能(如生成纸钱包、克隆密钥、共享签名密钥、密码等),这些**衍生密钥**仍可能调用有漏洞的随机数生成器,从而存在风险。安全种子不保证设备生成的所有秘密都安全。 **4. 手工生成熵源的现实局限性** 尽管数学上可靠,但该方法对大多数用户并不友好: * **过程繁琐易错**:需投掷50-99次,精确记录,任何输入错误都会导致钱包完全不同。 * **引入新风险**:用户可能在记录、转换过程中泄露信息,或使用有偏的骰子/投掷方式。 * **用户体验差**:难以想象大规模推广需要用户手动投掷近百次骰子。安全措施需适应现实生活场景和普通用户的知识水平。 **5. 给用户的建议** 受影响的Coldcard用户应: * 更新固件至最新版。 * 检查是否使用过有漏洞的功能生成了次级密钥或密码,如有则需立即更换。 * 考虑采用多签方案,使用不同厂商的设备分散风险。 **结论**:手工投掷骰子生成熵源是技术娴熟用户的一个有效安全选项,但其过程复杂、容易出错,不适合作为主流用户的默认方法。长远目标是依赖安全、透明且无需专业知识的硬件/软件随机数生成方案。

cryptonews.ru6小时前

通过掷骰子离线保管比特币密钥:并非人人愿意为之

cryptonews.ru6小时前

交易

现货
活动图片