# Bài viết Liên quan Risk-On

Trung tâm Tin tức HTX cung cấp những bài viết mới nhất và phân tích chuyên sâu về "Risk-On", bao gồm xu hướng thị trường, cập nhật dự án, phát triển công nghệ và chính sách quản lý trong ngành tiền kỹ thuật số.

Bitcoin: Rising oil prices keep BTC in check – Long-term holders in limbo

Bitcoin faces mixed signals as it tests $64,500. While traditional investors added modest inflows, long-term holders (those holding coins for 155+ days) remain a focal point of caution. On-chain data shows this group is still selling at a loss, with their Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) at 0.94, indicating 6% losses—a significant improvement from earlier 27% losses but not yet a sign of full conviction. Market activity is currently dominated by short-term holders, as indicated by the Exchange Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, suggesting a more relaxed selling phase. Exchange reserves have also declined slightly. However, macroeconomic risks pose a headwind. Rising oil prices, driven by Middle East tensions, threaten to reignite inflation concerns. This could dampen the risk-on sentiment crucial for Bitcoin and potentially lead US investors to reduce exposure via spot Bitcoin ETFs. The market's recovery hinges on balancing these improving on-chain dynamics against persistent external economic pressures.

ambcrypto07/21 04:02

Bitcoin: Rising oil prices keep BTC in check – Long-term holders in limbo

ambcrypto07/21 04:02

Cooling US inflation catches crypto bears off guard as short liquidations reach $179M

Cooling U.S. inflation data triggered a broad market rally, leading to $219.77 million in cryptocurrency liquidations over 12 hours. Bearish traders were caught off guard, with short positions accounting for $179.26 million (over 80%) of the total. Ethereum saw the largest liquidations at $98.73 million, followed by Bitcoin at $59.59 million. The softer Consumer Price Index report for June boosted risk appetite, as investors bet on potential Federal Reserve policy easing, forcing many who positioned for lower prices to unwind their trades.

ambcrypto07/14 14:34

Cooling US inflation catches crypto bears off guard as short liquidations reach $179M

ambcrypto07/14 14:34

War Trade Unwinding | TradeXYZ Weekend Observations

Weekend markets saw a clear return of risk appetite. Major indices rose broadly, with significant gains in tech and precious metals, while energy sectors fell sharply on the "end of war" narrative. On June 14, oil prices initially rose on reports Iran had not yet finalized a memorandum of understanding. Later, YNET reported Trump might immediately lift the maritime blockade on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. At 21:30, Trump confirmed on Truth Terminal that a deal with Iran was done, authorizing an immediate end to the US blockade and toll-free opening of the Strait. Iran's deputy foreign minister simultaneously announced an immediate and permanent halt to military actions on multiple fronts. Oil prices had already fallen to weekend boundaries, pre-pricing the news. The S&P 500 subsequently touched 7530. Markets will likely remain in a waiting period until the formal peace deal signing on June 19. At the moment of the deal announcement, gold jumped from ~4,221 to a high of 4,337, and silver from ~67.85 to 70.83, before stabilizing at higher levels. Individual stocks and ETFs like NBIS, RKLB, and LITE performed strongly. NBIS, added to the Nasdaq index, saw a target price increase due to strong AI cloud growth. RKLB, also added to the index, benefited from positive SpaceX valuation sentiment. LITE received a $1,130 target from JPMorgan. SPCX rose quickly after Musk tweeted SpaceX could potentially reach ~$1 trillion in revenue by 2030. In summary, the market shock from the multi-month war is beginning to dissipate. Israel's actions remain the key variable before the June 19 signing. Upcoming events like Fed Chair Warsh's debut and BoJ rate hike expectations will also significantly impact markets this week.

marsbit06/15 22:52

War Trade Unwinding | TradeXYZ Weekend Observations

marsbit06/15 22:52

KOL's Perspective: Why Is SOL Set to Rise from This Point?

**Summary: Why SOL is Positioned for Growth at This Level** The article argues that SOL is poised for an upward move from its current price point, citing several key factors. Primarily, SOL has just broken out of a 4-month consolidation phase. This breakout signals a return of risk appetite to the broader crypto market, as SOL is seen as a key indicator of overall crypto health. The token's ownership has reportedly shifted from short-term traders and tourists to long-term accumulators, leading to low volume. Any meaningful increase in trading activity could thus trigger significant upward momentum. Fundamental strengths include strong institutional adoption, integration with DeFi and RWAs (Real-World Assets), and the potential benefits from the Clarity Act. Despite its high volatility—having dropped 70% from its all-time high but still up 12x from its bear market low—SOL is highlighted as one of the few tokens from the last cycle to reach new highs. It boasts a robust ecosystem of applications, users, and protocols. Future catalysts include the expected influx of AI developers following the Miami Accelerate conference, which focused on AI on Solana. Furthermore, Solana is positioned as the premier chain for memecoin activity, a trend expected to continue and drive network usage and fees. The article concludes that recent price action reflects a healthy transfer to long-term holders, setting the stage for growth.

marsbit05/11 09:17

KOL's Perspective: Why Is SOL Set to Rise from This Point?

marsbit05/11 09:17

Bitcoin Capital Rotation Trend Shows Rare Signal For First Time This Bear Market

The Bitcoin price has slowed down after recent gains, slipping below $73,000. According to on-chain analyst Darkfost, a rare capital rotation trend is occurring for the first time this bear market. The Capital Rotation Net Position Change metric shows Bitcoin's realized cap hit a low of -$28.7 billion in late February, while stablecoin market cap increased by over $6 billion, indicating a flight to safety. Recently, Bitcoin's realized cap recovered to -$3 billion as stablecoin capitalization declined to -$1 billion, suggesting investors are gradually returning to risk assets like Bitcoin. This shift began during peak uncertainty around the Iran conflict, implying some investors may be using Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and macroeconomic risks. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $72,800, up over 8% for the week.

bitcoinist04/12 15:32

Bitcoin Capital Rotation Trend Shows Rare Signal For First Time This Bear Market

bitcoinist04/12 15:32

Why Hyperliquid’s $48B oil-driven volume could signal a crypto reset

Middle East tensions are causing a significant oil supply shock, driving traders to seek 24/7 exposure through perpetual contracts on Hyperliquid. This has positioned Hyperliquid as the leading perp DEX by volume, with weekly trades nearing $48 billion. The platform's native token, HYPE, has surged 30% monthly, diverging from most altcoins. However, this rally is fueled by leveraged long positions and geopolitical FOMO. Analysts suggest that an unwind of these crowded oil trades on Hyperliquid could signal easing tensions and potentially trigger a broader crypto market reset towards risk-on sentiment.

ambcrypto03/20 09:22

Why Hyperliquid’s $48B oil-driven volume could signal a crypto reset

ambcrypto03/20 09:22

Why is crypto’s refusal to break under Iran-U.S. FUD bullish?

Amidst recent U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions, the crypto market demonstrated notable resilience, closing significantly higher instead of declining as might be expected during periods of uncertainty. This bullish response suggests that traders are not pricing in prolonged conflict but rather viewing the situation as a short-term event. Strong U.S. economic data, including a positive ISM Manufacturing PMI, provided fundamental support, encouraging risk-on behavior. Additionally, capital rotated away from traditional safe-haven assets like gold and into cryptocurrencies, signaling growing confidence in crypto’s strength. This combination of resilient price action, macroeconomic support, and shifting investor sentiment indicates a potentially strong bullish setup for the crypto market, fueling FOMO and reinforcing upward momentum.

ambcrypto03/03 09:02

Why is crypto’s refusal to break under Iran-U.S. FUD bullish?

ambcrypto03/03 09:02

Bitcoin Acts as a Geopolitical 'Barometer', Will Risk Appetite Return as Markets Open on Monday?

Bitcoin's V-shaped reversal following escalating Middle East tensions is being interpreted by some analysts as a positive signal for global risk assets at Monday's market open. As the only tradeable risk asset over weekends, Bitcoin acts as a real-time sentiment barometer, and its rebound suggests recovering risk appetite. Despite an initial sharp drop after Israel's airstrike on Iran, Bitcoin quickly recovered and surged past pre-conflict levels following reports of Ayatollah Khamenei's death. Academy Securities strategist Peter Tchir remains optimistic about a "risk-on" market opening, noting that oil prices have already partially priced in geopolitical risks, rising from $60 to $72 per barrel. Additionally, key oil transport channels remain unobstructed, and ample crude inventories provide a buffer against supply disruptions. This marks the third time Bitcoin has served as a weekend sentiment indicator during major Middle East conflicts, but this rebound was notably stronger, indicating a shift in market perception.

华尔街日报03/01 09:10

Bitcoin Acts as a Geopolitical 'Barometer', Will Risk Appetite Return as Markets Open on Monday?

华尔街日报03/01 09:10

Bitcoin and altcoins rally as Trump signals tariff pause, easing EU–US tensions

US President Donald Trump's announcement to pause new tariffs following a meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte eased geopolitical tensions and triggered a rally across cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin recovered from recent weakness as risk sentiment improved, with its market capitalization reaching approximately $1.79 trillion. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Layer-1 tokens like Solana and XRP, outperformed Bitcoin, indicating renewed appetite for higher-risk assets. The broad-based gains reflected a market-wide "risk-on" response rather than a crypto-specific catalyst. The move underscores cryptocurrencies' continued sensitivity to macro developments and global trade tensions, with reduced uncertainty driving short-term price action.

ambcrypto01/21 20:28

Bitcoin and altcoins rally as Trump signals tariff pause, easing EU–US tensions

ambcrypto01/21 20:28

BONK, SHIB, PEPE, and more – Are memecoins really back in business?

After weeks of decline, the memecoin market has rebounded significantly over the past month, with market capitalization surging from around $38 billion to a peak near $48 billion. Trading volume also increased by 17.42%, reaching $4.75 billion, indicating strong participation. Solana-based memecoins led the recovery, signaling renewed risk appetite. Major tokens like Bonk (BONK), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Pepe (PEPE) saw substantial gains, supported by high trading volumes and steady capital inflow. Smaller memecoins also rallied but exhibited higher volatility due to speculative momentum. The broader crypto market strength, with Bitcoin above $90,000, contributed to the renewed confidence in high-risk assets.

ambcrypto01/10 07:02

BONK, SHIB, PEPE, and more – Are memecoins really back in business?