# Bài viết Liên quan Elections

Trung tâm Tin tức HTX cung cấp những bài viết mới nhất và phân tích chuyên sâu về "Elections", bao gồm xu hướng thị trường, cập nhật dự án, phát triển công nghệ và chính sách quản lý trong ngành tiền kỹ thuật số.

World's Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Begins Charging Fees! Behind It Lies a Calculated Game of Regulation, Survival, and Timing

Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform, has begun charging fees on its "15-minute crypto price move" markets, with rates up to 3%. This move follows its recent approval as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) by the U.S. CFTC, a pivotal regulatory milestone after a 2022 enforcement action forced it to exit the U.S. market and pay a fine. For six years, Polymarket operated with zero fees to build liquidity, establish itself as a default pricing source for events like elections and sports, and accumulate valuable data. The new fee structure, which dynamically adjusts based on market certainty and rewards market makers, is a strategic shift from growth to sustainable operation. While the platform has seen significant traction—with election period volumes hitting $2.7 billion—it continues to face regulatory challenges globally, including recent cease-and-desist orders from states like Tennessee and bans in countries like Japan and China. Polymarket's future depends on balancing innovation with compliance, expanding carefully across jurisdictions, and monetizing its unique, crowd-sourced probability data.

marsbit04/04 07:04

World's Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Begins Charging Fees! Behind It Lies a Calculated Game of Regulation, Survival, and Timing

marsbit04/04 07:04

Nearly $300 Million Aimed at U.S. Midterm Elections, Tether Executive Takes Helm of Crypto Industry's Second-Largest Political Fund

A crypto super PAC named Fellowship, which claims to have raised over $100 million but has reported zero spending to the FEC, has appointed Jesse Spiro, Tether’s VP of Regulatory Affairs, as its chairman. This marks the first official public link between Tether and the PAC, despite earlier denials. Meanwhile, another major crypto PAC, Fairshake—backed by Coinbase, Ripple, and a16z—has amassed $193 million and has already spent over $8.6 million in Illinois primary races. Combined, the two PACs control nearly $300 million aimed at influencing the November midterm elections. The move comes as the crypto industry faces a critical legislative battle over the CLARITY Act, currently stalled in the Senate. A key point of contention is whether stablecoins can pay yields to users—a issue directly affecting Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, USDT. A recent Senate proposal would ban passive yield but allow transaction-based rewards, a compromise the industry finds too restrictive. With the White House’s top crypto advocate departing and the legislative window narrowing, Tether’s heightened political engagement signals a strategic push to shape regulation and protect its business interests through financial influence.

marsbit04/03 05:08

Nearly $300 Million Aimed at U.S. Midterm Elections, Tether Executive Takes Helm of Crypto Industry's Second-Largest Political Fund

marsbit04/03 05:08

Nearly $300 Million Aimed at U.S. Midterm Elections, Tether Executive Takes Helm of Crypto Industry's Second-Largest Political Fund

A crypto super PAC named Fellowship, which claims to have raised over $100 million but has yet to spend any funds, has named Jesse Spiro, Tether’s VP of Regulatory Affairs, as its chairman. This marks the first official public link between Tether and the PAC. Meanwhile, another major crypto PAC, Fairshake—backed by Coinbase, Ripple, and a16z—has amassed $193 million. Combined, the two PACs are directing nearly $300 million toward the upcoming U.S. midterm elections. Fellowship, formed in August 2025, had previously drawn speculation over its undisclosed donors and lack of activity. Federal Election Commission records show no reported donations or expenditures as of December 2023. Spiro’s appointment signals a more public role for the group, which plans to soon announce its first candidate endorsements. The move comes amid a legislative standoff in the Senate over the CLARITY Act, which includes contentious provisions on stablecoin yield payments—a key issue for Tether, the issuer of USDT. With critical crypto legislation at stake and the White House’s top digital assets adviser role now vacant, the industry is ramping up political spending to influence regulatory outcomes.

marsbit04/02 06:14

Nearly $300 Million Aimed at U.S. Midterm Elections, Tether Executive Takes Helm of Crypto Industry's Second-Largest Political Fund

marsbit04/02 06:14

Texas targets crypto, gambling loopholes amid prediction market concerns

Prediction markets have gained significant attention, particularly during the U.S. election cycle, but the rise of gambling within these markets has eroded public trust. In response, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick is pushing for legislative changes to close gambling loopholes. He aims to prevent the exploitation of federal regulations, such as those of the CFTC, to bypass state gambling prohibitions. The goal is to ensure the integrity of elections and sports in Texas. Additionally, Patrick advocates for assessing the state’s approach to emerging financial technologies, including crypto, while prioritizing consumer protection and addressing issues like crypto ATM scams. The move coincides with a decline in public interest in prediction market gambling, as shown by Google Trends data.

ambcrypto04/01 17:28

Texas targets crypto, gambling loopholes amid prediction market concerns

ambcrypto04/01 17:28

Prediction Markets Hit Record Highs As Bets Explode On Global Conflict

Prediction markets are experiencing unprecedented growth, driven by automated AI agents and high-frequency trading bots that extracted approximately $40 million from market inefficiencies in a single month. These markets are increasingly dominated by bets on geopolitical events, such as the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, and major political events like the 2028 US Presidential primary, rather than cryptocurrency prices. TRM Labs reported a 2,800% year-over-year increase, with March 2026 seeing 191 million transactions totaling nearly $24 billion. This surge has attracted regulatory scrutiny over potential insider trading, leading to bipartisan efforts to ban "casino-style" event contracts. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are implementing internal restrictions to preempt stricter regulations, as the industry balances its role as a forecasting tool with concerns over speculation on global conflicts.

bitcoinist03/31 02:31

Prediction Markets Hit Record Highs As Bets Explode On Global Conflict

bitcoinist03/31 02:31

Mag 7 Evaporates Two Trillion｜Rewire Morning News Brief

Two major conflicts are converging as Ukraine's drone attacks disable 40% of Russia's oil export capacity, while Russia equips Iran with advanced AI drones featuring Starlink communications. This signals merging global risk networks. Concurrently, the Magnificent 7 tech stocks have lost over $2 trillion in value, with markets now pricing in a potential interest rate hike this year as inflation concerns persist. A sector rotation from growth stocks to energy and defense is underway. In AI developments, Anthropic is privately warning US officials that its unreleased "Mythos" model could make large-scale cyber attacks significantly more likely by 2026, representing a leap in AI-powered offensive capabilities. Additionally, Eli Lilly makes a landmark $2.75 billion bet on AI drug discovery through a partnership with Insilico Medicine, aiming to compress drug development timelines from years to months. Other notable developments include US stablecoin regulation advancing, Musk warning that AI's growth is limited by power supply constraints, and AI policy becoming an independent issue in US midterm elections.

marsbit03/30 05:29

Mag 7 Evaporates Two Trillion｜Rewire Morning News Brief

marsbit03/30 05:29

Coinbase-Backed Stand With Crypto Discloses Political Plan For 2026 Midterm Elections

Coinbase-backed advocacy group Stand With Crypto has announced its first endorsements for the 2026 U.S. midterm elections and launched an online voter hub to mobilize pro-crypto voters. The group endorsed six incumbent lawmakers from both major parties and will focus on competitive House races where crypto issues may be decisive. The voter hub provides information on candidates' positions, including scorecards based on public statements and legislative records. With over 2.7 million advocates, the group aims to turn crypto supporters into a influential voting bloc. A survey revealed that 59% of crypto owners are swing voters, and 80% are highly motivated to vote. Nearly two-thirds would support candidates backing the crypto industry, and 74% favor those supporting clearer regulations.

bitcoinist03/27 10:52

Coinbase-Backed Stand With Crypto Discloses Political Plan For 2026 Midterm Elections

bitcoinist03/27 10:52

Bitcoin Price Outlook Ahead Of The Midterm Elections — Details

The Bitcoin price has been attempting to recover and break above $74,000, though it remains influenced by geopolitical tensions. However, attention is shifting to the potential impact of the upcoming US midterm elections. Historical analysis by XWIN Research shows that BTC typically experiences weak activity during midterm election years due to increased market uncertainty and reduced risk appetite. In past midterm years (2014, 2018, 2022), Bitcoin declined over 60% but rebounded more than 50% within 12 months. For 2026, three scenarios are projected: a bearish short-term rally around April-May, a neutral recovery pushing BTC to $75,000-$95,000, or a bullish outcome with regulatory clarity driving prices to $90,000-$120,000. Overall, midterm years are characterized by lower liquidity and participation, likely causing pre-election weakness and post-election recovery. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $70,400 with little change.

bitcoinist03/22 09:46

Bitcoin Price Outlook Ahead Of The Midterm Elections — Details

bitcoinist03/22 09:46

The True Test for the Crypto Industry: How the 2026 Midterm Elections Will Determine the Fate of Legislation

The 2026 US midterm elections could be a critical turning point for crypto legislation. Prediction markets indicate a high probability of Democrats retaking the House and possibly the Senate. This would shift control of key committees—House Financial Services and Senate Banking—to vocal crypto critics Maxine Waters and Elizabeth Warren, respectively. While nearly half of Democratic lawmakers have supported specific crypto bills like the GENIUS Act, this cross-party support lacks power where it matters most: in committee. Committees control the agenda—deciding which bills receive hearings, markups, or are stalled without a vote. Under Waters and Warren, crypto legislation faces high risk of being blocked entirely. The Senate offers a marginal bright spot, with some pro-crypto Democrats like Ruben Gallego potentially leading subcommittees. However, the overall outlook is concerning. Even with bipartisan support, the path to regulatory clarity may be interrupted if anti-crypto chairs control the legislative process. The core risk is structural: pro-crypto voices exist in Congress but lack agenda-setting power in decisive committees.

marsbit03/19 09:06

The True Test for the Crypto Industry: How the 2026 Midterm Elections Will Determine the Fate of Legislation

marsbit03/19 09:06

Above the Seats: A Covert Power Struggle Deciding the Fate of Encryption

The 2026 US midterm elections pose significant risks to the crypto industry, with Democrats having an 85% chance of taking the House. This would place Maxine Waters, a vocal crypto critic, as Chair of the House Financial Services Committee (HFSC), giving her absolute power to block crypto legislation by controlling the agenda. In the Senate, Elizabeth Warren, another staunch opponent, would likely chair the Banking Committee. While nearly half of Democratic lawmakers voted for the pro-crypto GENIUS Act, this support is superficial. Bills never go to a full floor vote without first passing through committee, where chairs hold unilateral power to kill them. The current pro-crypto Republican chairs, who advanced bills like FIT21 and CLARITY, would be replaced. The analysis highlights that even though pro-crypto Democrats exist, they lack influence in the powerful committees that control legislative progress. Key elections that could shift committee dynamics are limited. The conclusion is that a Democratic sweep would create a severe structural headwind, stalling major crypto legislation in Congress despite bipartisan voter support.

marsbit03/19 08:57

Above the Seats: A Covert Power Struggle Deciding the Fate of Encryption

marsbit03/19 08:57

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