2025 Investment Survey: Nearly 60% of Respondents Report Overall Profits, Over 60% Are Seasoned Veterans

marsbitXuất bản vào 2025-12-26Cập nhật gần nhất vào 2025-12-26

Tóm tắt

2025 Crypto Investment Survey: Over 60% of Participants Report Profits, Majority Are Experienced Traders Despite a relatively quiet Christmas period with BTC oscillating between $85K-$90K and ETH losing momentum, a year-end investment survey by Odaily reveals that 57% of respondents achieved profits in 2025. Among them, 17.2% saw significant gains (over +50%), while 39.7% reported modest profits. About 27% faced losses, contrasting with common pessimistic sentiment. Notably, over 60% of participants have been in crypto for more than three years, indicating a market dominated by experienced "veterans." Meme coins remained the top profit driver (34%), followed by major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH (26%), DeFi (16%), and airdrop farming (12%). Conversely, meme coins and altcoins were also the leading cause of losses (28%), alongside contract trading (26%) and setbacks in NFT/GameFi/L2 investments (22%). Key reasons for losses included failure to cut losses promptly, slow reactions, and over-reliance on market rumors. Only 8.6% attributed losses to frequent trading. Looking ahead, respondents are optimistic about RWA (31%), AI (25%), and meme coins (24%) in 2026. Prediction markets also show growth potential, with nearly 60% of users already engaged. Investment advice emphasized dollar-cost averaging, focusing on BTC, and taking profits timely. The article also highlights missed opportunities in 2025, including Trump-themed meme coins, Circle’s IPO, and unexpe...

Original|Odaily Planet Daily(@OdailyChina)

Author|Wenser(@wenser 2010)

Another Christmas has arrived, but compared to the previous hot "Santa Rally," this year's Christmas feels a bit quiet for the cryptocurrency market.

BTC is oscillating repeatedly between $85,000 and $90,000; ETH has lost its previous high-flying momentum and appears somewhat sluggish; mainstream coins like SOL and BNB have failed to recover since the "October 11th Crash," drifting further away from their all-time highs; as for altcoins? Many might just say, "Sorry, we're not familiar."

In our previous article "4 Key Themes, Composing the 2024 Crypto Seasons Song," we briefly reviewed the industry's development over the past year using 4 quarterly keywords. Limited by the article's theme and length, the experiences of many industry participants were only mentioned in passing. The reason is simple: for the widely anticipated theme of "Annual Investment Review," we conducted a questionnaire for over half a month, collecting "Annual Investment Memoirs" from community users, crypto KOLs, well-known traders, media professionals, crypto investors, and other groups.

Here, we can see that despite the market's turbulence between highs and lows, some people remain at the table and have reaped significant rewards. Of course, the other side of success is the loss and exit of disappointed investors who cut their losses and left the game. Through this questionnaire's results and data, we get a glimpse into the true state of crypto market investment and trading today. We will also take this opportunity to briefly review the year's "missed golden opportunities that made people slam their thighs in regret," providing readers with lessons to learn and fight again next year.

2025 Annual Investment Memoirs: Some Will Grow Old, But Others Are Staying Young

Below is the information from the "Odaily Planet Daily 2025 Annual Investment Review" questionnaire. We will provide a detailed analysis from the perspectives of demographics, investment performance, and areas of focus.

Survey Demographics: Newbies vs. Old-timers? Over 60% Have Been in the Space for More Than 3 Years

First, let's look at the demographic profile of the questionnaire respondents.

According to the results, over 60% of investors have been in the crypto space for more than 3 years, making them proper "old-timers." Among them:

Those in the space for 4-6 years form the largest group, accounting for approximately 41%;

Those in the space for 6-8 years account for about 12%;

Those with more than 8 years account for about 9%.

Compared to the 3+ years crowd, the number of "newbies" is relatively small. Those with less than 1 year and those with 1-3 years of experience total 21 people, accounting for about 38% of the effective questionnaires.

After reading the questionnaire, my first thought was—"No wonder the cryptocurrency market liquidity is poor, there are fewer and fewer newbies!" (Odaily Planet Daily Note: Limited by the number of questionnaires, the above conclusion is based on a single survey result and does not represent the overall demographic structure of the industry)

Investment Performance: Huge Gains vs. Heavy Losses? Profitable Groups Account for Over 57%

This is probably the question most people care about: After working hard all year, did I make or lose money? Am I the only one who lost badly?

Seeing the questionnaire results, I can only say I underestimated everyone's money-making ability—

Percentage of people with significant profits (+50% or more): 17.2%;

Percentage of people with slight profits (0-50%): 39.7%;

Percentage breaking even (equivalent to playing for free for a year): 15.5%;

Percentage with slight losses (0-50%): 15.5%;

Percentage with significant losses (-50% or more): 12.1%.

In other words, the profitable group accounts for nearly 60%, break-even accounts for about 15%, while over 27% face losses of varying degrees, about three-tenths, far lower than the sentiment reflected in market views and community discussions. In such a volatile monkey market, more people are still making money, which also confirms that the current crypto market indeed has more experienced old-timers. As for newcomers, they are either still struggling in the market mud or have been hit hard and cut their losses to exit.

Writing this, I can only sigh helplessly: "So many people in the group usually say they are losing money, turns out I'm the only one actually losing?!"

Profitable Sectors: Meme Coins vs. Mainstream Coins? Shitcoins Are Still YYDS

As for the specific profitable areas/sectors/projects/tokens, the questionnaire results are slightly more complex.

Unsurprisingly, Meme coins (shitcoin projects) remain the ultimate way to make money, with about 34% of questionnaire participants mentioning that they mainly profited from projects in this area (a few even mentioned inscriptions, not sure if they are serious or pretending?);

About 26% of investors mainly profited from mainstream coins like BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL. Considering that BTC, ETH, BNB, and SOL all reached new all-time highs at various stages this year, this performance is not surprising. Of course, it also depends on whether investors took profits timely. Otherwise, blindly being diamond hands can only lead to crying in private;

About 16% voted for DeFi. Given that this year was the "year of stablecoins" and there were many "high-end wealth management schemes," this result is not strange. Coupled with the popularity of on-chain Perp DEXs, DeFi experienced a "second spring" in stages;

About 12% of investors' main profits still came from airdrop farming. Honestly, this result is somewhat surprising. After all, in the current market with tightening liquidity, many crypto project teams have become increasingly stingy with community airdrop allocations for higher control and easier pumping. Getting "rekt" by projects has become the norm. But regardless, no matter how the market changes, airdrops remain an unparalleled method for many investors to achieve high returns with low-cost input. Regardless of market heat, there are always some "airdrop masters"坚守岗位 (holding their posts), providing various active data and trading volume for the market and projects, deserving everyone's respect;

Finally, apart from individual projects like TRUMP and ASTER, some people actually listed NFT as a profitable area. I can only say I underestimated the investment strength of traders. Being able to make money in the nearly silent or even dead NFT sector, besides saying "牛 X" (awesome) , I can't think of any other evaluation. However, considering that OpenSea's CMO recently still called for hiring, it is enough to show that no matter how the market changes, some NFT collectors or traders still看好 (are optimistic about) this sector and are providing liquidity to the market with their real money. As a member of the "NFT old guard," it is somewhat touching.

In addition, for individual projects, answers like "WET, gold, PING, Binance Alpha, DOGE" were also given. These results are not very representative or referential, so they will not be analyzed separately here, only mentioned for说明 (explanation).

Loss-making Sectors: Meme Coins vs. Futures? Data Validates Same Source of Profit and Loss

For every winner, there is a loser.

Regarding the specific loss-making sectors and projects, the questionnaire results once again show the残酷 (cruel) side of the market.

About 28% of investors suffered heavy losses on Meme coins and altcoins, including Binance-listed assets like Giggle and ASTER, Base ecosystem altcoins (e.g., PING), and popular coins like HYPE;

Secondly, another major cause of losses was "black swan events"—some suffered heavy losses on FIL due to issues with staking service providers; others lost bets on Polymarket; additionally, impermanent loss in DeFi protocols, buying BTC, ETH, SOL at high points are all relatively common reasons for losses in the industry;

About 26% of investors stumbled on futures trading. This figure is slightly lower than my personal expectation. As one of the few "active trading arenas" in the market this year, opening futures positions on mainstream coins and altcoins is still the choice of many investors. Considering the volatile statements and frequently changing policies after Trump took office, as well as large-scale清算 (liquidation) black swans including the "October 11th Crash," losses were inevitable;

Thirdly,作为 (as) representatives of "major failure sectors," NFT, GameFi, and L2 related projects were also the crux of losses for many investors. About 22% of people suffered heavy losses because they failed to change their investment mindset timely and stubbornly held onto assets from a certain sector;

Finally, compared to past investment areas still limited to within the crypto circle, under the influence of this year's mainstreaming of crypto theme, DAT treasury company stocks also became a choice for many investors. And during the market's downward oscillation phase, losses naturally followed: some bought DAT leading stocks like MSTR and BMNR, only to be trapped无奈 (helplessly); others suffered heavy losses on the "first stablecoin stock" Circle (CRCL). Former cryptocurrency traders transformed into "尊贵的 (honorable) US stock traders," but the change of identity does not necessarily mean smooth investment performance; it could also mean one more channel to lose money.

Reflection on Losses: Timely Profit-taking vs. Decisive Stop-loss? Profit-taking is a Required Course in Life

After discussing losses, we also set up a specific question about the reasons for losses in the questionnaire, trying to find common problems everyone faces.

About one-third attributed losses to "failing to stop loss timely after being trapped." This is one of the common problems for cryptocurrency investors, including myself—not realizing that 90% or even 99% of altcoins in the crypto market are destined to go to zero, and only a very few tokens can surge again after hitting lows. Even then, it's mostly wild pump-and-dump schemes to better harvest the market. This story tells us that timely stop-loss and stopping幻想 (fantasizing) are necessary.

On the operational level, being slow to react, conservative operation, or blindly believing news, chasing pumps and selling dips became another main cause of losses, with over 45% of investors making mistakes in these aspects leading to investment losses. Based on my personal observation, "becoming the first to believe capital" and waiting for others to take over might be an important method to remain invincible in the market. This, however, is often closely related to information sensitivity, source channels, personal risk preference, capital and equipment preparation, etc., and is difficult to achieve overnight.

Finally, about 12% attributed losses to operational errors, misjudgments, or industry black swans. In such an up-and-down "monkey market,"很多时候 (many times) it is indeed "not the fault of the battle," and investors can only silently accept their losses, adjust their state, and fight again next year.

What surprised me the most was that the percentage of people who lost money due to high-frequency trading was far lower than my personal expectation, only 8.6% attributed their losses to this. On one hand, most people might indeed engage in less high-frequency trading; on the other hand, everyone might have different standards for what constitutes high-frequency trading. Some might buy and sell dozens of times within an hour but then wait and see for the next week; others might operate 3-5 trades daily, trading for more than twenty days a month. Many might not consider the latter as high-frequency trading, but compared to most people, they are already "high-frequency players."

Commonly Used Products: Perp DEX vs. Prediction Markets? Still Over 40% Haven't Used Prediction Markets

When asked about commonly used popular products, the relevant data is quite intriguing.

The percentage of people who have used Perp DEX is about 40%, among which about 40% are Hyperliquid users; about 22% have used Lighter; about 12% have used Aster; users of other platforms account for about 15%, among which old platforms like DYDX and GMX are also used. It has to be said, the lasting charm of DeFi might be verified here once again.

As for prediction markets, nearly 60% of investors have participated in using them; over 40% of investors have heard of but not participated in prediction market betting. From this small sample data, prediction markets still have significant growth space. In 2026, prediction market platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, The Clearing Company, and those on BSC ecosystem and Base ecosystem may continue to experience user growth explosions.

Future Outlook: Bullish Sectors vs. Investment Advice? RWA, AI, Meme Top Three, DCA is the King

At the end of the questionnaire, we also set up 2 "open-ended questions": one is "Sectors看好 (bullish on) for 2026"; the other is "Investment insights/advice you can share."

Regarding bullish sectors, RWA, AI, and Meme coins ranked top three—

Mention of RWA was as high as 31%. It is worth mentioning that RWA here combines stock tokenization, stablecoins, and PayFi elements;

Mention of AI accounts for about 25%. With the increasing penetration of AI models and applications and the rapid development of AI-related tech companies, the combination of AI and cryptocurrency remains one of the highly anticipated directions for the mainstream market;

The reason Meme coins are still看好 (seen positively) by many might lie in their low entry barrier and high risk/high return compared to mainstream coins. However, I personally hold a pessimistic view on this. After all, altcoins being drained of liquidity is inevitable, and the Meme coin sector, which heavily relies on on-field liquidity, currently finds it difficult to return to its previous "hundred flowers blooming" stage.

Prediction markets are the "consensus" of many. The two oligarchs Polymarket and Kalshi with valuations exceeding ten billion dollars and the rapidly growing industry trading volume allow more people to see the development potential of prediction markets. The functional setup of "everything is predictable" combined with热点事件 (hot events) like various popular sports events and political elections in 2026 may add more fuel to the prediction market frenzy.

Regarding specific investment advice, most people recognize the principle that "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) is king" and advise to "only buy BTC," but how many can actually do it, only they themselves know.

Additionally, an interesting point is that crypto KOL @_FORAB shared, suggesting DCA into mainstream coins every Friday afternoon, which is quite clever in terms of timing; another "certain group friend" who不建议公开处刑 (does not recommend public execution) suggested trading after 4 PM because "that's when foreigners wake up,"俨然 (plainly) viewing "foreigners" as "exit liquidity."

Amusingly, 6 questionnaire participants gave their "investment advice"—"Buy high, sell low,"堪称 (can be called) the "Guide to Achieving韭菜 (being a noob)"; others gave their judgment—"L1, L2 are dead, stay away from futures or set stop-loss, look for low market cap RWA sector tokens"; others bluntly reminded: "Take profits timely when you make money; don't get carried away; dare to act during extreme emotions."

Here, we thank all investors who participated in this questionnaire survey; at the same time, we also thank the following questionnaire users who left their IDs for sharing their annual investment memories with Odaily Planet Daily readers: @wanzwa6、@_FORAB、@airn_619、@muzz201o、@0xJerrrry、@bcxiongdi、@GaoNew3、@anchor9960、@cryptoshouyi、@Meiko5200、@a6825272、@qinxiaofeng888、@Asher_0210、@azuma_eth、@ethanzhang_web3、@0xmz2987、@gold7108.

无论如何 (No matter what), everyone still active in the crypto market today is essentially each other's "comrades in the trench."

Those "Big Opportunities" We Missed in 2025: A Heartbreaking Inventory of the Year's Projects

At the end of the article, I want to use a brief space to briefly inventory the "annual wealth-making big opportunities" that countless people missed this year. After a year has passed, countless opportunities for immense wealth were once placed before us, but due to various conditions such as limited principal, slow hands, cognition, or unexpected situations, we still brushed shoulders with these opportunities time and again.

At the end of 2025, looking back, perhaps we can see more clearly whether it was "impossible to make money beyond one's cognition" or "just one move short by chance." Whether it's a bit of regret or more anticipation, the new year is coming, and there are always new opportunities and challenges waiting for us to conquer, explore, succeed, or fail.

Q1 Missed Big Opportunities: TRUMP, MELANIA, Swarms, PIPPIN, TST, MUBARAK, HYPE, VIRTUAL, IP, KAITO

In the first quarter, the official authentic Meme coin TRUMP before Trump took office can be considered an "epic wealth-making opportunity of the year." Many Chinese-speaking traders借此 (took this opportunity) to achieve single-coin profits of $1 million or even over $10 million,堪称 (can be called) the model of "reaching A8 in one step"; subsequently, after a brief余波 (ripple) of AI Agent concept coins, the "Binance系 (ecosystem) Meme coin热潮 (craze)" led by CZ began to emerge, with testnet coin concepts and celebrity Memes once again becoming market焦点 (focal points); the surge of HYPE, the IP airdrop and its subsequent 10x increase, and the "嘴撸赛道概念币 (talk-to-earn track concept coin)" pioneered by KAITO were also good wealth creation opportunities.

Q2 Missed Big Opportunities: Circle (CRCL) Listing, PUMP, LAUNCHCOIN, USELESS, MYX, HUMA, SAHARA

In the second quarter, DAT gradually joined the crypto battle. Circle's "10x miracle" debuted on the US stock market, shattering the previous doubts and bearish views of the crypto-native crowd towards this compliant stablecoin. Although it later showed weakness due to market impact, the "crypto IPO热潮 (craze)" it started laid the foundation for the subsequent expansion of the DAT treasury company camp and stock tokenization platforms to some extent; additionally, the乱战 (chaotic battle) of Launchpad platforms, the development in the AI field, and the frequent appearance of god-like schemes on Binance Alpha also injected new vitality into the market's liquidity. Many projects completed their TGE during this time, catching the rare "market best token issuance time vacuum period."

Q3 Missed Big Opportunities:: WLFI, Plasma (XPL), ASTER, AVANT (Avantis)

In the third quarter, the most扼腕叹息 (heart-wrenching sighs) were undoubtedly for 2 major projects: one is Plasma (XPL), where depositing 1 U could claim tokens worth 10,000 U; the other is ASTER, where trading tens of thousands of U volume could claim considerable tokens. Although the former's financial activity required conditions like fast hands or KYC, the substantial回报 (returns) still made many people slam their thighs in regret; for the latter, the reason for many people's painful sighs lies in "falling倒在黎明前一夜 (the night before dawn)" by selling too early.不乏 (There is no shortage of) people who sold ASTER tokens worth millions too early. In the end, one can only sigh, such is fate.

Q4 Missed Big Opportunities: Binance Life, 4, Giggle, ZEC

The fourth quarter was more like an "artificial bull market" of a dying flash. Whether it was the BSC ecosystem Meme coins like Binance Life strongly promoted by Binance figures like CZ and He Yi, or the privacy coin sector representative ZEC that gained new life after the "October 11th Crash," they were all "artificial products" after the market's new highs. Therefore, it is difficult to simply judge them as "big opportunities." But无论如何 (no matter what), for the market at that time, it was undoubtedly "the final造富余晖 (wealth-creating afterglow) of the crypto market this year."

Finally finally,借用 (borrowing) a group friend's words, "You always think opportunities are infinite, and indeed opportunities are infinite." From a rearview mirror perspective, perhaps many people wouldn't have imagined that 2025 had so many wealth creation opportunities. And being able to catch one might be enough to change one's life.

2025, the year of crypto mainstreaming, is about to end; what magnificent waves await us in the crypto market in 2026?

See you next year.

Câu hỏi Liên quan

QWhat percentage of survey respondents reported overall profitability in their 2025 crypto investments?

AApproximately 57% of respondents reported overall profitability, with 17.2% achieving significant gains (over +50%) and 39.7% achieving modest gains (0-50%).

QAccording to the survey, which investment category was the primary source of profit for most respondents?

AMeme coins (referred to as '土狗项目' or shitcoin projects) were the primary source of profit for about 34% of the respondents.

QWhat was the most common reason cited for investment losses in the 2025 survey?

AThe most common reason for losses, cited by about one-third of respondents, was 'failing to cut losses in time after being trapped in a position' (套牢后未及时止损).

QWhat are the top three sectors that survey participants are most optimistic about for 2026?

AThe top three sectors that respondents are optimistic about for 2026 are RWA (Real World Assets, mentioned by 31%), AI (mentioned by 25%), and Meme coins.

QWhat significant event in Q2 2025 is highlighted as a major missed opportunity related to traditional finance entering crypto?

AThe IPO and subsequent 10x price surge of Circle (stock ticker: CRCL), the 'stablecoin giant', is highlighted as a major missed opportunity, marking the beginning of a 'crypto IPO frenzy'.

Nội dung Liên quan

Bank of America (美银) Lặng Lẽ Triển Khai: 6 Nghìn Tỷ USD Tiền Gửi Ngân Hàng Có Thể Đổ Vào Stablecoin?

Gần đây, việc Bank of America điều chỉnh nhân sự trong lĩnh vực tài sản số đã thu hút sự chú ý. Họ đã bổ nhiệm các lãnh đạo cấp cao để thúc đẩy nền tảng tài sản số toàn cầu, bao gồm stablecoin, tiền gửi được mã hóa, lưu ký và thanh toán crypto. Trên mạng xã hội lan truyền con số 6 nghìn tỷ USD tiền gửi ngân hàng có thể chảy vào stablecoin, dựa trên báo cáo của Bộ Tài chính Mỹ và phát biểu của CEO Bank of America - Brian Moynihan. Tuy nhiên, ông nhấn mạnh điều kiện là stablecoin phải được phép trả lãi. Dù luật GENIUS Act đã được ký, việc triển khai cuối cùng bị hoãn đến tháng 1/2027. Các ngân hàng lớn như JPMorgan, Citigroup và Bank of America không chờ đợi. Họ đang tích cực phát triển mạng lưới tiền gửi được mã hóa chung, nhắm mục tiêu ra mắt vào đầu năm 2027. Việc áp dụng stablecoin bởi các tổ chức cho các trường hợp sử dụng thực tế vẫn đang tăng trưởng. Tuy nhiên, một số chuyên gia cho rằng đây không phải là thay đổi cơ bản, vì nhiều ngân hàng đã thử nghiệm blockchain trong thập kỷ qua và thị trường stablecoin hiện khá trầm lặng. Dù vậy, dữ liệu từ Artemis Analytics cho thấy giá trị thanh toán bằng stablecoin trên chuỗi năm 2025 đạt 33 nghìn tỷ USD, tăng 72%. Cuộc đua hướng tới tháng 1/2027 - thời điểm luật GENIUS Act chính thức có hiệu lực - đã bắt đầu, đánh dấu sự hội tụ ngày càng tăng giữa tài chính truyền thống và tiền mã hóa.

marsbit1 phút trước

Bank of America (美银) Lặng Lẽ Triển Khai: 6 Nghìn Tỷ USD Tiền Gửi Ngân Hàng Có Thể Đổ Vào Stablecoin?

marsbit1 phút trước

Chỉ số Sáng tạo 50 tăng mạnh 10,73%, Vì sao thị trường A-share diễn ra 'Đảo chiều hình chữ V'?

Sau nhiều phiên điều chỉnh liên tiếp, thị trường chứng khoán Trung Quốc đã có một ngày tăng điểm mạnh mẽ vào ngày 21/7 với mô hình phục hồi hình chữ V. Chỉ số Kechuang 50 (Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50) dẫn đầu với mức tăng kỷ lục 10,73% trong gần một năm, trong khi ba chỉ số chính của Thượng Hải và Thâm Quyến cũng đồng loạt tăng. Khối lượng giao dịch đạt 2.970 tỷ nhân dân tệ, với hơn 3.100 cổ phiếu tăng giá. Lực lượng dẫn dắt đợt phục hồi là toàn bộ chuỗi ngành bán dẫn, bao gồm thiết bị, bộ nhớ, wafer và HBM. Các quỹ ETF chủ đề bán dẫn liên quan cũng tăng mạnh, nhiều quỹ tăng trên 10%. Sự bật tăng mạnh này được cho là nhờ sự cộng hưởng của ba yếu tố chính: 1. **Dòng tiền đổ vào:** Tín hiệu tích cực từ việc các "đội quân quốc gia", công ty bảo hiểm, công ty niêm yết và các quỹ công/tư tăng mua vào, giúp nâng đỡ thanh khoản và lòng tin thị trường. Các ETF chỉ số rộng đã chứng kiến dòng tiền ròng lớn. 2. **Hỗ trợ từ chính sách:** Các cam kết từ Ủy ban Giám sát Chứng khoán Trung Quốc (CSRC) về việc duy trì thị trường ổn định đã tạo tâm lý tích cực. 3. **Môi trường bên ngoài ổn định:** Sự phục hồi của thị trường chứng khoán toàn cầu, đặc biệt là ở Hàn Quốc, đã tạo điều kiện thuận lợi cho đợt bật lại của cổ phiếu công nghệ Trung Quốc. Các tổ chức phân tích nhận định rằng giai đoạn hoảng loạn nhất của ngành công nghệ nhiều khả năng đã qua đi sau đợt điều chỉnh sâu. Mặc dù thị trường ngắn hạn vẫn có thể biến động, nhưng xu hướng công nghiệp dài hạn như nhu cầu AI, bán dẫn thay thế trong nước vẫn nguyên vẹn. Các nhà đầu tư được khuyến nghị tập trung vào các phân khúc then chốt với nguồn cung vẫn còn hạn chế trong chuỗi AI, đồng thời theo dõi kết quả báo cáo tài chính và động thái của các nhà đầu tư tổ chức.

marsbit38 phút trước

Chỉ số Sáng tạo 50 tăng mạnh 10,73%, Vì sao thị trường A-share diễn ra 'Đảo chiều hình chữ V'?

marsbit38 phút trước

Cổ Phiếu Công Nghệ Có Động Lực Mạnh Tại Mỹ Ghi Nhận Phiên Tăng Mạnh Nhất Lịch Sử, Nhưng Đợt Sụt Giảm Đã Kết Thúc?

Bài viết phân tích đợt bật tăng mạnh mẽ của cổ phiếu công nghệ theo đà tăng trưởng (momentum) trên thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ vào ngày 21/7. Dù các chỉ số như yếu tố động lượng TMT của Morgan Stanley và chỉ số động lượng beta cao của Goldman Sachs ghi nhận mức tăng mạnh kỷ lục, đặc biệt là ở lĩnh vực bán dẫn với sự đóng góp của các mã như Micron và Intel, bối cảnh tổng thể vẫn tiềm ẩn nhiều rủi ro. Đợt phục hồi này được cho là xuất phát từ việc các nhà đầu tư bán khống bị buộc phải mua lại cổ phiếu (short squeeze) sau khi nhóm cổ phiếu này đã lao dốc tới 33%. Tuy nhiên, nhiều chuyên gia tỏ ra thận trọng. BTIG cảnh báo đây có thể chỉ là đợt bật tăng kỹ thuật trong bối cảnh thị trường có độ rộng yếu (số cổ phiếu giảm giá nhiều hơn tăng giá) và khối lượng giao dịch thấp, khuyến nghị nhà đầu tư nên bán ra khi giá lên cao. Trong khi đó, Goldman Sachs và UBS lạc quan hơn, cho rằng đợt bán tháo đã gần kết thúc và đây là cơ hội để mua vào từng bước, đặc biệt là các cổ phiếu AI, mặc dù khuyến cáo nên sử dụng các công cụ phòng ngừa rủi ro. Triển vọng tiếp theo của thị trường phụ thuộc lớn vào mùa báo cáo tài chính, với trọng tâm là kết quả của Alphabet và định hướng chi tiêu vốn cho AI. Đồng thời, thị trường trái phiếu cũng đang cảnh báo khi lợi suất trái phiếu dài hạn tăng lên, cùng với giá dầu leo thang do căng thẳng địa chính trị, có thể gây áp lực lên cổ phiếu trong thời gian tới.

marsbit45 phút trước

Cổ Phiếu Công Nghệ Có Động Lực Mạnh Tại Mỹ Ghi Nhận Phiên Tăng Mạnh Nhất Lịch Sử, Nhưng Đợt Sụt Giảm Đã Kết Thúc?

marsbit45 phút trước

Cổ phiếu 'Động lượng Công nghệ' Mỹ ghi nhận mức tăng trong ngày lớn nhất lịch sử, nhưng đã kết thúc đợt sụt giảm mạnh chưa?

Cổ phiếu động lực công nghệ Mỹ đã bật tăng mạnh nhất trong lịch sử vào ngày 21/7, với chỉ số yếu tố động lượng TMT của Morgan Stanley tăng hơn 12%. Đợt phục hồi này diễn ra sau ba phiên giảm liên tiếp và mức sụt giảm tích lũy 33% từ mức đỉnh, được thúc đẩy chủ yếu bởi lĩnh vực bán dẫn và hiện tượng "bán tháo ép" (short squeeze) khi các nhà đầu tư bán khống phải đóng vị thế. Tuy nhiên, sức mạnh của đợt bật tăng bị nghi ngờ do khối lượng giao dịch thấp hơn mức trung bình và sự phân hóa rộng rãi trên thị trường - chỉ số chính tăng nhưng số cổ phiếu giảm giá lại nhiều hơn số tăng giá. Các quan điểm chiến lược trái ngược nhau: BTIG khuyến nghị "bán ra khi giá lên" vì lực cản kỹ thuật mạnh, trong khi Goldman Sachs và UBS cho rằng đợt bán tháo đã gần kết thúc và đề xuất mua vào từng phần. Mùa báo cáo kết quả kinh doanh, đặc biệt là từ Alphabet, cùng với diễn biến lợi suất trái phiếu kho bạc tăng cao và giá dầu leo thang do căng thẳng địa chính trị, sẽ là những yếu tố then chốt quyết định tính bền vững của đợt phục hồi này.

链捕手47 phút trước

Cổ phiếu 'Động lượng Công nghệ' Mỹ ghi nhận mức tăng trong ngày lớn nhất lịch sử, nhưng đã kết thúc đợt sụt giảm mạnh chưa?

链捕手47 phút trước

Bitcoin xuất hiện 3 tín hiệu đáy vĩ mô – Nhưng liệu BTC có thể đạt 70.000 USD?

Thị trường đang dần chuyển hướng nhận định từ "đáy cục bộ" sang "đáy vĩ mô" đối với Bitcoin. Từ góc độ kỹ thuật, việc BTC vượt ngưỡng 66.000 USD đã thổi bùng tâm lý lạc quan. Nhà phân tích Ali Martinez chỉ ra rằng Bitcoin một lần nữa xuất hiện ba tín hiệu kỹ thuật trùng khớp với các đáy chu kỳ vĩ mô trong lịch sử: RSI hàng tháng giảm xuống ~43.65, Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) đạt ~-71 và giá giao dịch quanh đường trung bình động 50 tháng. Mô hình tương tự từng xuất hiện vào các năm 2015, 2019 và 2022, thường báo hiệu giai đoạn tích lũy mạnh trước những đợt tăng giá lớn. Tuy nhiên, tính bền vững của đà tăng vẫn phụ thuộc vào thanh khoản. Dữ liệu on-chain cho thấy một nghịch lý: giá phá vỡ nhưng dòng tiền không theo kịp. Vốn hóa thị trường stablecoin đã giảm hơn 10 tỷ USD trong tháng qua, và stablecoin tiếp tục rời khỏi các sàn giao dịch trong 35 ngày liên tiếp, trong khi hoạt động tích lũy Bitcoin trên thị trường giao ngay chưa có dấu hiệu tăng mạnh. Do đó, dù tín hiệu kỹ thuật lạc quan, việc chuyển dịch sang đáy vĩ mô và một đợt bứt phá quyết định lên vùng 70.000 USD vẫn cần được xác nhận thêm bởi dòng thanh khoản mới.

ambcrypto51 phút trước

Bitcoin xuất hiện 3 tín hiệu đáy vĩ mô – Nhưng liệu BTC có thể đạt 70.000 USD?

ambcrypto51 phút trước

Giao dịch

Giao ngay
活动图片