# Пов'язані статті щодо TGA

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "TGA", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

Huobi Growth Academy | Crypto Market Macro Report: Repricing of Crypto Assets Amid Receding Liquidity

In Q1 2026, the cryptocurrency market experienced a historic deleveraging crash, with Bitcoin falling over 40% from its peak and Ethereum and altcoins declining even more sharply. The collapse was driven by a confluence of three major liquidity-tightening factors: the unwinding of yen carry trades, the U.S. Treasury's TGA account rebuild draining market liquidity, and systemic increases in derivatives margin requirements. These factors, combined with the crypto market’s inherent high leverage and overvaluation, triggered a cascading sell-off. The report highlights that U.S. stock market’s extreme valuations acted as a ceiling for risk assets, including crypto. The reversal of yen carry trades—where investors borrowed cheap yen to invest in higher-yielding assets like crypto—accelerated as the Bank of Japan signaled a potential end to ultra-loose policies. Simultaneously, the U.S. Treasury’s replenishment of its TGA account and increased bond issuance withdrew nearly $200 billion in liquidity from financial markets. Additionally, rising margin requirements on derivatives exchanges forced further deleveraging, exacerbating the downturn. Crypto’s structural vulnerabilities—such as high leverage, stagnant stablecoin inflows, and declining on-chain activity—amplified the sell-off. Looking ahead, crypto markets are entering a macro-driven phase where liquidity indicators—such as Fed policy, TGA balances, yen-USD exchange rates, and stablecoin flows—will be critical. The market is expected to remain under pressure until macro liquidity conditions improve, likely in the second half of 2026. The era of excess-liquidity-driven growth is over; crypto assets will now be repriced under a new macro-normal regime.

marsbit02/26 08:11

Huobi Growth Academy | Crypto Market Macro Report: Repricing of Crypto Assets Amid Receding Liquidity

marsbit02/26 08:11

Is Crypto Over? Don't Give Up, Liquidity Relief Is Coming

The article "Is Crypto Over? Don't Give Up, Liquidity is Coming" by Raoul Pal addresses the current downturn in the crypto market, arguing it is not a sign of the industry's demise but a temporary liquidity crisis. Pal refutes the narrative that crypto has permanently decoupled from other assets by showing that Bitcoin's price chart is nearly identical to that of the SaaS index, indicating a shared, external factor: a shortage of U.S. dollar liquidity. He explains this was caused by a combination of events, including the draining of the Reverse Repo facility, the rebuilding of the Treasury General Account (TGA) without monetary offset, and government shutdowns. This liquidity drain negatively impacted risk assets like crypto and tech stocks, while gold absorbed the marginal liquidity. The key takeaway is that this period of illiquidity is ending. The impending resolution of the U.S. government shutdown is seen as the final obstacle. Once cleared, a significant injection of liquidity is expected from sources like the easing of the SLR rule, TGA drawdowns, fiscal stimulus, and eventual rate cuts. Pal, alongside analysis from Stanley Druckenmiller, suggests the new Fed leadership under a potential Warsh chairmanship would be focused on cutting rates to keep the economy hot, aligning with a pro-growth strategy from the administration. The author admits a mistake in not prioritizing U.S. liquidity as the dominant short-term driver over global liquidity but remains highly bullish on the long-term cycle into 2026. The core advice for investors is patience, emphasizing that in a full cycle, time is more important than price. The message is clear: the liquidity cavalry is on its way.

marsbit02/02 03:40

Is Crypto Over? Don't Give Up, Liquidity Relief Is Coming

marsbit02/02 03:40

The Fed's $40 Billion Treasury Purchases Are Not the Same as Quantitative Easing

The Federal Reserve's announcement of $40 billion monthly Treasury purchases has sparked market speculation about quantitative easing (QE). However, this program, termed Reserve Management Purchases (RMP), is functionally distinct from QE. While it meets the mechanical criteria of QE—large-scale asset purchases with newly created reserves—its purpose is stability, not stimulus. RMP aims to counteract liquidity drainage caused by tax season withdrawals into the Treasury General Account (TGA), preventing repo market stress like the 2019 crisis. It is liquidity-neutral, merely replacing lost reserves rather than expanding net liquidity. True QE would require either longer-duration asset purchases (e.g., bonds or MBS) or excess liquidity injection beyond system needs. The RMP signals Fed readiness to backstop liquidity, reducing tail risks and providing mild support for risk assets, but it is not a systematic easing tool.

深潮12/13 02:48

The Fed's $40 Billion Treasury Purchases Are Not the Same as Quantitative Easing

深潮12/13 02:48

They Knew the TGA Game of the Year Winner in Advance and Made Tens of Thousands of Dollars

Summary: The 2025 TGA (The Game Awards) ceremony concluded with the indie game "Light & Shadow: Expedition 33" making history by winning both "Best Independent Game" and the coveted "Game of the Year (GOTY)" award, breaking a long-standing TGA curse. Prior to the event, the prediction market platform Polymarket had already listed the topic, with "Light & Shadow's" probability of winning GOTY consistently above 80% for over a month. Several traders, including users DieselDiesel, trumpnogo, and kasae, placed unusually large, concentrated bets on this outcome weeks in advance, a move that would have resulted in massive losses if wrong. Their bets appeared to be "all-in" convictions rather than calculated risks. Just three hours before the GOTY announcement, after the "Best Indie" award was given to the same game, a mysterious user (bobo9997) deposited $10,000 and bet it all on "Yes" for "Light & Shadow" winning GOTY at a price of $0.98 per share—a bet that would yield less than $200 in profit if correct. The final award confirmed the predictions. The early traders realized significant profits, with their winnings from this single event representing a large percentage of their total historical earnings on the platform (e.g., 176% for DieselDiesel). The article suggests these traders likely had insider knowledge of the results, using the prediction market as a anonymous, low-risk method to monetize their confidential information, turning a guaranteed outcome into thousands of dollars with virtually no risk.

marsbit12/12 07:40

They Knew the TGA Game of the Year Winner in Advance and Made Tens of Thousands of Dollars