# Пов'язані статті щодо Narratives

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "Narratives", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

2026 Altcoin Season Guide: Is It Time to Welcome the Altcoin Season?

The Altcoin Season Guide for 2026 examines the phenomenon where alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin. Defined by the Altseason Index, an altcoin season occurs when over 75% of the top 50 altcoins beat Bitcoin's returns over a rolling 90-day period, typically lasting 2-6 months. This cycle differs due to the "ETF wall," where institutional capital in Bitcoin ETFs may limit immediate flows into altcoins. A genuine season requires Bitcoin's dominance to fall below 50-55%, coupled with strength in key pairs like ETH/BTC. Historical patterns show capital rotation through distinct phases: accumulation, early narrative-driven breakouts (e.g., AI, RWA, DePIN), and a peak phase marked by high volatility and retail frenzy. Successful strategies involve portfolio diversification, sector rotation, and strict risk management. The next major altcoin season is anticipated 18-30 months post the 2024 Bitcoin halving, potentially in 2026-2027, driven by macroeconomic conditions, institutional adoption, and strong narratives in emerging sectors. Preparation involves building a watchlist of projects with solid fundamentals and active ecosystems.

marsbit07/19 07:43

2026 Altcoin Season Guide: Is It Time to Welcome the Altcoin Season?

marsbit07/19 07:43

What Are the Characteristics of Projects Delisted by Major Exchanges?

Major cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and OKX are increasingly delisting tokens, signaling a shift from expansion to contraction in asset listings. Recent delistings include projects such as FORTH, HOOK, LRC, and RDNT, many of which were once high-profile in narratives like DeFi, Layer 2, and memes. A key reason for delisting is the lack of sustainable technology or business models. Once market hype fades, these projects fail to deliver, becoming "zombie" assets with low liquidity and community engagement. Additionally, insufficient transparency—such as inactive teams, poor communication, and unclear roadmaps—has become a critical factor. Exchanges now prioritize tokens with clear governance, active development, and regular updates. This trend reflects a broader industry move towards higher-quality, compliant assets, including tokenized stocks, which offer clearer value and regulatory alignment. The delisting wave acts as a market cleanse, urging projects to maintain transparency and viability or risk removal.

marsbit03/20 12:22

What Are the Characteristics of Projects Delisted by Major Exchanges?

marsbit03/20 12:22

L1 Value Capture Shrinks Significantly, ETH, SOL, HYPE Struggle to Return to Price Peaks

This analysis examines the structural decline in fee-based revenue capture by Layer 1 (L1) blockchains, arguing that high transaction fees are systematically eroded by innovation, making them unsustainable as a primary valuation driver. Bitcoin’s fee spikes during congestion periods (e.g., 2017 and 2021 rallies) were rapidly mitigated by scaling solutions like SegWit, batching, and the Lightning Network. By 2025, daily fees fell to just $300k, under 1% of miner revenue, despite higher USD transaction volumes. Ordinals and Runes provided brief fee surges but were short-lived. Ethereum’s DeFi and NFT booms drove quarterly fees to $4.3 billion in late 2021. However, competing L1s and L2 rollups (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism) diverted activity. The Dencun upgrade (EIP-4844) drastically reduced data costs for L2s, causing Ethereum’s L1 fee revenue to collapse by over 90% from its peak, falling below $15 million per quarter by late 2025. Solana’s revenue relies heavily on MEV and priority fees from memecoin trading, which peaked in early 2025. However, private AMMs (e.g., HumidiFi) and off-chain order flow (e.g., Hyperliquid’s HyperCore) have captured over 50% of DEX volume, reducing Solana’s MEV fees by more than 90% from their January 2025 highs. Hyperliquid currently dominates perps trading, earning $600 million in 2025, but its fee model (4.5 bps per trade) is vastly more expensive than traditional finance (e.g., CME). As institutional adoption grows, pressure to compress fees will intensify, challenging its token valuation. The report concludes that L1 tokens are increasingly weak as fee-capturing assets. Valuation drivers have shifted toward staking yields, ETF flows, RWA narratives, and macro liquidity—factors more tied to speculative demand than fundamental utility. Bitcoin remains an exception: its security depends not on fees but on continuous price appreciation to offset halvings, making its model uniquely fragile and narrative-dependent.

Odaily星球日报02/26 08:39

L1 Value Capture Shrinks Significantly, ETH, SOL, HYPE Struggle to Return to Price Peaks

Odaily星球日报02/26 08:39

VC Data Hits Bottom, New Coin Narratives Peak: Crypto Trading Logic is Being Rewritten

VC funding for crypto projects has hit a multi-year low, with early-stage investments dropping over 60% since 2022. This signals a structural collapse in the primary market, leaving fewer new native crypto projects to trade. While meme coins initially seemed like an alternative, they’ve evolved into short-term speculative instruments rather than sustainable assets. In response, the industry is shifting toward tokenized real-world assets (like stocks and precious metals) and prediction markets. Platforms are increasingly offering gold, silver, and equity tokens, integrating traditional financial volatility into crypto. Prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket) are also growing, allowing users to bet on real-world events—offering a more accessible form of speculation based on event outcomes rather than asset prices. As native crypto innovation slows, the market is adapting by externalizing tradable content—leveraging macro events, political shifts, and financial instruments to sustain engagement. The future of crypto trading may rely less on new token narratives and more on global uncertainty and repackaged traditional assets.

比推02/03 09:28

VC Data Hits Bottom, New Coin Narratives Peak: Crypto Trading Logic is Being Rewritten

比推02/03 09:28

When Crypto Projects Run Out of Supply, What Can Traders Trade?

The article examines the severe downturn in the crypto market, particularly the sharp decline in Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and raises a critical question: what will traders be able to trade in a year if the supply of new crypto-native projects dries up? Data shows a structural collapse in early-stage funding for crypto projects (like L1s, L2s, DeFi), with a 63.9% drop in seed/angel rounds over four years. This "first-level market death" means fewer new tokens will launch, leaving exchanges and traders with a shrinking pool of native assets. Even established crypto funds are struggling with poor returns and low cash distributions post-2020. While memes surged as an alternative, they have evolved into short-term, attention-based assets driven by liquidity and speculation—not sustainable replacements for traditional altcoins. The industry is now looking outward for solutions: - **Tokenization of real-world assets (RWA)**: Platforms are listing tokenized stocks, metals, and indices to attract traders with traditional market volatility and narratives. - **Prediction markets**: Platforms like Polymarket are growing rapidly by allowing direct betting on real-world events (e.g., elections, macro trends), simplifying speculation to yes/no outcomes based on probability. In conclusion, as native project pipelines shrink, the market is shifting from "new token-driven trading" to speculating on external uncertainties and tradable narratives from the broader world. Traders must adapt to this new paradigm.

比推02/02 16:23

When Crypto Projects Run Out of Supply, What Can Traders Trade?

比推02/02 16:23

The Divergence in Value Logic Between Eastern and Western Crypto KOLs

The article explores the fundamental differences in value logic between Eastern and Western crypto KOLs. The author, drawing from experience with venture capitalists in both regions, observes that Eastern perspectives focus heavily on practical, tactical aspects of projects—such as revenue models, tokenomics, and operational logistics—treating crypto ventures like traditional businesses. In contrast, Western narratives prioritize grand, aspirational stories capable of promising 10x to 100x returns, often glossing over practical details to attract major capital. This divergence leads to opposing definitions of "key opinion." Eastern KOLs tend to deconstruct and critically analyze, while Western ones build on ambitious, high-concept narratives aimed at securing large-scale investments. The author notes that although the most influential narratives and capital formations often originate from the West (e.g., restaking, Rollup, FHE), many of the industry’s most profitable ventures (like CEXs, DEXs, payment systems) are dominated by Eastern players. Structural factors, such as lower capital costs in the West due to institutional backing, and cultural differences—Eastern societies being more pragmatic and battle-tested—contribute to this divide. The author concludes that Eastern KOLs shouldn’t be seen as "degenerate" but as fundamentally oppositional in approach. Success, they argue, lies in challenging Western narratives with Eastern value logic, forcing the global conversation to engage with a more grounded, critical perspective.

marsbit01/16 10:06

The Divergence in Value Logic Between Eastern and Western Crypto KOLs

marsbit01/16 10:06

Scrolling Through Crypto Twitter, But No More Profit Opportunities

The article "Scrolling Through Crypto Twitter, But No More Profit Effect" discusses the transition into the "Post-Crypto Twitter (CT)" era, where CT—as a mechanism for market discovery and capital allocation—is losing its ability to repeatedly generate significant market-wide events. CT previously functioned by compressing three key market functions into one interface: narrative discovery (creating shared focus and converting attention into common knowledge), trust routing (enabling informal reputation-based capital allocation), and reflexivity (where narratives drive prices, which in turn validate and amplify narratives). This allowed a "monoculture" to form around simple, widely understood "toys" or narratives that coordinated the entire ecosystem. However, the Post-CT era has emerged due to several failures: "toys" are industrialized and exploited faster, reducing inefficiency windows and concentrating profits; value extraction overwhelms value creation, leading to widespread cynicism; and attention has fragmented across niches, weakening shared context and synchronized liquidity flows. CT is not dead but has evolved from an engine driving market-wide coordination to an interface layer. Real capital allocation now occurs more in high-trust, private "subgraphs" (e.g., closed groups), while CT serves as a surface for signals and narratives. The author argues that the era of CT reliably coordinating the entire market around a single meta-narrative and creating broad, nonlinear returns is over, though the industry continues with shifted dynamics.

比推01/08 03:01

Scrolling Through Crypto Twitter, But No More Profit Opportunities

比推01/08 03:01

When Altcoins Lose Consensus, Excess Returns May Lie in the Neglected 'Ruins of Innovation'

Currently, the crypto market is dominated by a nihilistic sentiment, driving investors toward "safe" consensus narratives like stablecoins, prediction markets, and RWAs. However, this defensive stance overlooks a key reality: the industry remains largely "pre-fundamental," with speculation, not cash flows, as the primary price catalyst. As the space matures, most altcoins are likely to underperform Bitcoin due to evaporating speculative premiums. The core issue is scale: on-chain revenue remains minuscule globally, and most tokens are still priced on future expectations rather than actual value. Mature sectors face efficient pricing, leaving little alpha. True excess returns will come from innovation—areas where valuation is unclear, narratives are still forming, and new markets are being created. Key innovative sectors to watch include uPOW (utility Proof-of-Work), which ties mining to valuable output; ownership tokens for lightweight startup financing; decentralized AI training and compute markets; and social metaverse experiments. Solana is well-positioned as the leading infrastructure for future speculative activity. In contrast, chasing mature narratives or low-quality consensus plays often leads to overvalued entry points. The greatest opportunities lie not in safety, but in bold bets on novel, hard-to-value innovations.

marsbit01/07 02:00

When Altcoins Lose Consensus, Excess Returns May Lie in the Neglected 'Ruins of Innovation'

marsbit01/07 02:00

The Sense of Contrast: The Core Element That Makes Web3 Narratives Stand Out?

The article "The Sense of Contrast: The Core Element That Makes Web3 Narratives Stand Out?" argues that the key to compelling Web3 storytelling is not necessarily creativity, but the effective use of contrast. Many Web3 creators produce content that is too straightforward—listing features, data, and benefits—which fails to engage the audience. The brain is activated by unexpected changes, not linear information. Contrast, defined as a shift or transformation (e.g., from "before" to "after," or from "expectation" to "reality"), creates memorable moments and makes content relatable. The author provides an example: instead of stating "Solana is fast and cheap," a narrative with contrast would describe the personal experience of a transaction completing almost instantly. This approach often requires admitting past mistakes or uncertainties, which feels uncomfortable but builds authenticity and connection with the audience. To incorporate contrast, creators should ask what changed in their story and include elements like a former false assumption, a moment of hesitation, or an unexpected outcome. In the noisy Web3 space, contrast helps content stand out through genuine transformation rather than loud promotion.

比推12/29 14:55

CoinGecko Ranks Crypto Narratives by ROI — Here’s Which Sector Delivered the Best Returns

CoinGecko's 2025 crypto narrative performance report reveals a significant shift from the previous year, with only three sectors posting positive returns. Real World Assets (RWA) dominated with an impressive 185.76% average year-to-date return, driven by institutional adoption and favorable regulatory developments for tokenized securities. Layer 1 blockchains followed with 80.31% returns, while "Made in USA" projects gained 30.62%. In stark contrast, previously high-flying narratives like memecoins (-31.61%) and AI (-50.18%) recorded substantial losses despite remaining popular among investors. The report highlights a market rotation away from speculative, retail-driven themes toward sectors with real-world utility and institutional backing. This trend is further evidenced by steep declines in Gaming and DePIN narratives, which saw the worst performances. The data suggests a maturing market where fundamental value and regulatory clarity are becoming more important than hype.

ccn.com12/28 10:05

CoinGecko Ranks Crypto Narratives by ROI — Here’s Which Sector Delivered the Best Returns