# Пов'язані статті щодо Investment Strategy

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "Investment Strategy", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

"Bitcoin? For any amount." What is the Greater Fool Theory in the Crypto Market

The article discusses the "Greater Fool Theory" in the context of the cryptocurrency market. It explains the theory as the belief that one can profit by buying overvalued assets, relying on finding someone else (a "greater fool") willing to pay an even higher price, regardless of the asset's intrinsic value. The piece clarifies the correct term ("greater," not "great" fool) and notes its application beyond crypto, citing historical examples like the 2008 financial crisis and the dot-com bubble. Specific focus is given to cryptocurrencies, where the theory is seen as particularly relevant for assets like memecoins and NFTs, driven by hype and speculation rather than fundamental utility. The article cites skeptical views from figures like economist Peter Schiff, Bill Gates, and Nassim Taleb, who link the entire crypto market to this theory. However, it also acknowledges that some projects, like Ethereum, are developing serious technological innovations. The piece outlines signs that a speculative bubble might be ending, such as declining liquidity, fading social media interest, reduced leverage availability, and profit-taking by early investors. It concludes with advice on avoiding becoming the "greater fool," emphasizing the dangers of FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out), the importance of personal strategy over blind following, and basic risk management like using stop-loss orders. Ultimately, it presents the theory as a critical lens for evaluating speculative markets, especially within the crypto space.

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 16:28

"Bitcoin? For any amount." What is the Greater Fool Theory in the Crypto Market

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 16:28

Bankless Swap Strategy Success Methodology: How to Screen Undervalued Tokens from VVV to Hyperliquid?

Title: Bankless on Identifying Undervalued Tokens: From VVV to Hyperliquid Summary: In a shifting crypto market, the investment focus is moving from infrastructure narratives to applications with verifiable business models and revenue. This Bankless podcast discussion with Austin Barack of Relayer Capital analyzes how tokens like Venice (VVV), Hyperliquid (HYPE), Pump.fun (PUMP), and ether.fi (ETHFI) can be evaluated based on their fundamentals. Key points include: 1) The market is shifting from chasing growth narratives to finding the intersection of growth and reasonable valuation. 2) Token value is increasingly linked to observable value flow through mechanisms like protocol revenue used for buybacks/burns (e.g., Venice, Hyperliquid). However, this is not a direct equivalent to stock dividends, as token rights are less formalized. 3) Revenue quality and sustainability matter more than just the amount. For instance, Pump.fun's low valuation reflects market skepticism about meme coin trading longevity, despite its resilient revenue over two years. 4) Market categorizations can lag behind business evolution. ether.fi is now primarily a neo-bank/payments platform, not just a restaking protocol, which may create a pricing disconnect. 5) While real revenue can provide a valuation floor and reduce correlation with crypto cycles, these tokens are not fully decoupled from broader market trends. The core argument is that the next phase of crypto valuation will be driven by applications that convert real usage into sustainable revenue and credibly share a portion of that value with token holders, moving towards an application-based economy.

marsbit09/12 12:11

Bankless Swap Strategy Success Methodology: How to Screen Undervalued Tokens from VVV to Hyperliquid?

marsbit09/12 12:11

Podcast Notes | Deconstructing the Latest Holdings of Alliance DAO and FOMO Founders: 70% in US Stocks, Crypto Limited to BTC and Zcash, Refusing to Catch Falling Knives for Altcoins

The Steady Lads podcast's return episode features guests Qiao Wang and Se Yong Park discussing their real portfolio allocations and market outlook. A key takeaway is the extremely defensive positioning of veteran investors: Qiao Wang allocates 70-80% to US stocks, with his crypto holdings limited strictly to Bitcoin and Zcash. Similarly, host Tiki follows a barbell strategy of S&P 500/treasuries and high-value Pokémon cards, expressing bearishness on most other tokens. Other hosts' crypto exposures are concentrated in a few select assets like Hyperliquid (Hype), Lit, NEAR, and Grass. Zcash is highlighted as a consensus buy. The logic centers on its decade-long consolidation, which has cleared out early investor sell pressure, forming a technically compelling long-term base. With a fixed supply equal to Bitcoin's but at a fraction of the price, it's presented as a high-risk/reward play positioned as a potential "private AI money." The discussion reveals a stark divide in market participation. While savvy money retreats to safety, FOMO co-founder Se reports ~40k daily non-crypto-native users flocking to mobile meme trading apps. This activity is framed as a low-friction, gamified social experience, funneling retail liquidity away from traditional "legacy" altcoins. A macro debate ensues: Jordy sees Bitcoin's renewed correlation with gold as a bullish sign amid dollar devaluation narratives. Justin, adhering to a four-year cycle theory, remains cautious, suggesting the risk/reward for chasing Bitcoin here is inferior to investing in US AI stocks. The overarching consensus is clear: capital is concentrating in high-liquidity traditional assets or a handful of high-conviction crypto bets, with the vast majority of altcoins being abandoned.

marsbit09/01 02:56

Podcast Notes | Deconstructing the Latest Holdings of Alliance DAO and FOMO Founders: 70% in US Stocks, Crypto Limited to BTC and Zcash, Refusing to Catch Falling Knives for Altcoins

marsbit09/01 02:56

From 'Interest Rate Trading' to 'Dollar Debasement Trade', the Logic Behind Gold's Rise Has Changed

From "Rate Trade" to "Debasement Trade": The Logic Behind Gold's Rally Has Shifted Gold surged by 17% in August. According to UBS, the key development was a fundamental shift in the driving narrative mid-rally—from the traditional "rate trade" to a "debasement trade" focused on fiscal and dollar concerns. The bank breaks the summer rebound into two acts. The first was a technically-driven bounce from a solid base, supported by light positioning, resilient physical demand (especially from central banks like China's), and softening US economic data. The second act, triggered by the US Treasury's announcement to double long-term bond buybacks, marked a shift in gold's pricing logic. The market began viewing higher long-term yields as a sign of fiscal sustainability risks rather than economic strength, weakening gold's traditional inverse correlation with real rates. Gold's role evolved from an "opportunity cost" asset to a hedge against "fiscal credibility" and currency debasement, further aided by a weakening US dollar. UBS maintains a bullish outlook, noting rising upside risks to its long-term forecasts. While it lowered its 2026 year-end target to $4,675/oz, its 2027+ forecasts are unchanged, with an upside scenario target as high as $6,500/oz. The primary near-term risk is a hawkish Fed pivot, which could trigger a correction. However, UBS views any such dip as a buying opportunity, not a trend reversal, unless AI-driven growth allows for significantly higher rates. The report concludes that as gold is increasingly seen as a hedge against fiscal and currency risks, its strategic role in portfolios is changing. With overall gold allocations still low, there is significant room for further price appreciation if debt sustainability concerns drive sustained strategic buying.

marsbit08/28 04:41

From 'Interest Rate Trading' to 'Dollar Debasement Trade', the Logic Behind Gold's Rise Has Changed

marsbit08/28 04:41

Generating Profits for Seven Consecutive Quarters, Emerging Markets Carry Trade Outperforms Everything

For the seventh consecutive quarter, dollar-funded emerging market carry trades have delivered positive returns, marking the longest winning streak since 2008. According to Bloomberg's index, this strategy has gained approximately 22% since late 2024, outperforming U.S. Treasuries, emerging market sovereign, and corporate dollar debt. The core of the trade involves borrowing low-interest currencies like the U.S. dollar, euro, or yen to invest in high-yielding emerging market assets, such as Turkish lira bonds offering over 40% returns. Returns were amplified by favorable currency moves, with the dollar weakening against most emerging market currencies and other traditional funding currencies. For instance, the trade gained 48% on the Colombian peso in the past year. A key test came in August 2024 with a historic joint U.S.-Japan currency intervention, which caused only a modest 1% dip in the carry trade risk premium as investors shifted funding from the yen to the euro and Swiss franc. Looking ahead, the primary risk is the timing of Federal Reserve policy changes. While persistent inflation allows the Fed to hold rates, a rapid rise in long-term U.S. yields could threaten the trade. Another concern is crowding, as massive inflows increase vulnerability to a sudden reversal. High interest rates in regions like Latin America and Eastern Europe, supported by external factors like Middle East tensions and energy prices, continue to sustain the opportunity. Major investors remain engaged, favoring currencies like the Mexican peso, South African rand, and Turkish lira.

marsbit08/24 01:35

Generating Profits for Seven Consecutive Quarters, Emerging Markets Carry Trade Outperforms Everything

marsbit08/24 01:35

Bitcoin (BTC) Enters a Bear Market, BlackRock Remains Optimistic! Here's Why and the Latest Statements

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a bear market since October 2025, dropping over 50% from its all-time high of $126,000 to test support at $57,000. It is currently trading sideways around $63,000. In its latest analysis, asset management giant BlackRock stated that this severe correction does not invalidate the long-term investment case for the leading cryptocurrency. BlackRock attributes the decline primarily to market deleveraging, position shifts, capital rotation from Bitcoin into AI investments, weakening capital inflows, and a slowdown in digital asset purchases. It highlighted that open cryptocurrency futures positions exceeding $90 billion, with about 80% being perpetual futures outside the CME, were a significant contributor to the downturn. Additional selling pressure came from digital asset management firms and large Bitcoin holders, alongside net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs. Despite these challenges, BlackRock maintains its long-term bullish stance on Bitcoin. The firm reiterates that Bitcoin's limited supply and its potential to behave differently from traditional financial assets make it a viable tool for portfolio diversification and a potential hedge against fiat currency depreciation. BlackRock concludes that the sharp correction signals a market rebalancing of leverage and capital flows rather than a breakdown of Bitcoin's fundamental investment thesis.

cryptonews.ru08/19 13:24

Bitcoin (BTC) Enters a Bear Market, BlackRock Remains Optimistic! Here's Why and the Latest Statements

cryptonews.ru08/19 13:24

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