这些指标揭示了莱特币（LTC）和门罗币（XMR）向阻力峰值的秘密移动

金色财经Опубліковано о 2024-07-15Востаннє оновлено о 2024-07-15

加密市场总是充满惊喜，最近的趋势也不例外：12 月 11 日星期一，比特币及其山寨币同伴从令人印象深刻的 20 个月高点回落。然而，尽管略有回落，其价格仍在近期飙升的顶部附近徘徊。

这种稳定性的调侃让每个人都将目光集中在美联储即将做出的决定上，这可能会在投资者中掀起新一波的热情。

说到浪潮，山寨币最近经历了相当大的浪潮。不包括比特币，市场总价值已从 2023 年 9 月的 5260 亿美元跃升至高达 6220 亿美元。莱特币 (LTC) 和门罗币 (XMR) 表现出色，在短短两周内分别上涨了 6% 和 4%。

但随着市场自我修正，这两家公司也感受到了一点压力，在过去 24 小时内小幅下跌。

莱特币 (LTC) 技术分析

莱特币 (LTC) 目前交易于其第一支撑位 64.16 美元和第一阻力位 75.79 美元之间。简单移动平均线 (SMA) 增加了这一图景的深度，10 日移动平均线 (SMA) 位于 74.38 美元，略高于当前价格，100 日移动平均线 (SMA) 位于 67.6 美元，为近期的强势提供了更广泛的视角。

相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 51.13，显示出中性的市场势头，而随机指标 %K 则反映了类似的情绪，为 52.67。然而，平均方向指数 (ADX) 处于低位 17.76，表明缺乏强劲的趋势方向，而商品通道指数 (CCI) 处于 19.66，证实了这种中性。MACD 水平为 1.22，动量为 0.71，为即将到来的潜在走势添加了微妙的暗示。

莱特币 (LTC) 看涨指标

在看涨的情况下，莱特币（LTC）的弹性体现在其较高的市场价值与实现价值（MVRV）比率和持续的高交易量，表明健康的市场状态。此外，BitPay 采用 LTC作为首选货币，占其加密货币支付数量的 34%，这表明山寨币的实用性和接受度不断增长，超越了比特币和以太坊的领域。

这可能标志着向上阻力位的推动，首先瞄准 75.79 美元，并可能瞄准更高目标 82.13 美元和 93.76 美元。MACD 和动量指标也将支持这一走势，表明买盘压力正在增加。

莱特币（LTC）看跌指标

相反，最近的数据显示，仅 10 天前还持有莱特币 (LTC) 的约 199,000 个钱包现在已经空了，这加剧了悲观前景。这种大规模撤离（主要来自小规模持有者）表明这些投资者缺乏信心，可能是出于对 LTC 长期生存能力和流动性的担忧。这种忧虑情绪可能会将价格推向较低的支撑位，其中 64.16 美元的门槛是最直接的防线。

如果看跌势头加剧，可能会进一步跌向 58.87 美元，甚至 47.24 美元。这种情况可能与该资产的 MVRV 比率持续下降以及 MACD 和动量指标可能转向负值同时发生。

门罗币 (XMR) 技术分析

截至目前，加密货币世界的知名参与者 Monero (XMR) 正在 160.19 美元的即时支撑位和 176.80 美元的阻力位之间徘徊。

移动平均线指标呈现出一幅有趣的图景：10 日移动平均线位于 172.57 美元，略高于当前价格，表明近期可能存在阻力，而 100 日移动平均线位于 158.02 美元，表明长期来看存在坚实的支撑位。此外，RSI 为 54.07，指向中性市场势头——既不超买，也不超卖。随机指标 %K 位于 65.53 也暗示价格可能即将发生变化，但 ADI 位于 15.17 的低点表明任一方向都缺乏强劲趋势。

门罗币 (XMR) 看涨指标

在看涨的情况下，门罗币 (XMR) 可以利用其近期的韧性——尽管 9 月份发生了重大安全漏洞，XMR 社区众筹钱包遭到入侵，导致损失近 46 万美元，但整体市场情绪仍然基本乐观。据报道，超过 85% 的用户仍然对门罗币 (XMR) 持乐观态度，这反映在过去 24 小时交易量增长 9%，总计 8980 万美元。

市场活动的增加，加上 XMR 今年迄今近 14% 的涨幅，表明投资者信心不断增强。如果这种乐观情绪持续下去，并且 MACD 水平为 2.09 表明存在潜在的看涨交叉，门罗币 (XMR) 可能会突破 176.80 美元的阻力位，目标是下一个上限 183.60 美元，甚至可能是 200.21 美元。

门罗币 (XMR) 看跌指标

另一方面，安全漏洞的影响最终可能会影响投资者的情绪：如果其悬而未决的性质开始削弱信心，再加上更广泛的市场趋势下降，XMR 可能会重新测试其支撑位。动量指标为-1.09 已经表明上行动力略有减弱。如果看跌压力加剧，门罗币 (XMR) 可能会跌向 160.19 美元的直接支撑位。

跌破该水平可能会进一步下跌至 150.38 美元，甚至更坚挺至 133.77 美元。商品通道指数 (CCI) 为 30.43，虽然仍处于正常范围，但可能会跌向超卖区域，从而强化潜在的看跌阶段。

结束语

在当前的加密货币格局中，比特币和山寨币，包括莱特币（LTC）和门罗币（XMR）等著名参与者，都表现出弹性和脆弱性的混合体。尽管从近期高点略有回落，但这些代币仍接近飙升的峰值，市场正在等待美联储即将做出的决定。

LTC 通过 BitPay 的采用以及其技术表明的健康的市场状况显示出了前景，但面临着中小投资者信心丧失的潜在风险；尽管最近发生了安全漏洞，但 XMR 仍因积极的社区情绪而高涨，但也正处于十字路口，技术指标表明了可能的方向，但没有明确的趋势。

莱特币（LTC）和门罗币（XMR）对比鲜明的看涨和看跌指标凸显了加密市场的不可预测性，投资者情绪和外部因素可能会迅速左右这些数字资产的方向。

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