# US-Iran İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "US-Iran" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

U.S.-Israel-Iran Conflict Surpasses 100 Days: Is Asset Unfreezing a Key to Reconciliation?

**Title: U.S.-Israel-Iran Conflict Surpasses 100 Days; Key to Reconciliation Lies in Unfreezing Assets?** **Summary:** As the conflict between the U.S./Israel and Iran enters its 103rd day, peace talks remain stalled. A central sticking point in the negotiations is the fate of approximately $240 billion in Iranian assets frozen by the United States. This includes around $1 billion in cryptocurrency assets, such as USDT, BTC, and ETH, which were seized as part of U.S. sanctions. Iran has outlined a four-phase plan for a potential deal, with the second phase demanding the immediate unfreezing of at least 50% of its assets upon signing an initial agreement, and the remainder within one to two months. However, the U.S., particularly President Trump, has firmly rejected any preemptive release of funds, viewing them as crucial leverage for future negotiations on Iran's nuclear program. The Trump administration's approach is described as unpredictable, mixing tough rhetoric with offers of talks. Meanwhile, the U.S. is reportedly considering using the frozen Iranian assets to fund reconstruction in affected Gulf countries. While both sides express a desire to end the conflict, the deep-seated issue of the frozen assets, alongside broader geopolitical tensions, suggests a prolonged period of "fighting while talking" is likely to continue. The article concludes that the conflict's primary impact on cryptocurrency markets is macro-level, with minimal direct selling pressure on specific assets like BTC or ETH.

marsbit06/10 10:34

U.S.-Israel-Iran Conflict Surpasses 100 Days: Is Asset Unfreezing a Key to Reconciliation?

marsbit06/10 10:34

Can Iran 'Control' the Strait of Hormuz?

Iran has announced a comprehensive plan to assert control over the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil shipping chokepoint. The proposed measures include requiring all vessels to obtain Iranian permission for passage, imposing fees for security, environmental protection, and navigation management—preferably paid in Iranian rials—and absolutely banning Israeli ships. Vessels from countries deemed hostile by Iran’s top security bodies may also be barred. Analysts suggest Iran’s motives are multifaceted: increasing pressure on the U.S. and Israel by leveraging control over oil transit to influence global prices and inflation; creating a new revenue stream, potentially exceeding $7.7 billion annually, to counter Western sanctions and support postwar reconstruction; and using transit permissions as bargaining chips in future negotiations, notably with the U.S. However, the plan faces significant practical and diplomatic challenges. Enforcing comprehensive interception and fee collection in the busy waterway, patrolled by international military forces, would be difficult. The U.S. has already countering with a blockade of Iranian ports and threats to intercept any ship paying fees, potentially strangling Iran’s oil exports and fee revenue. Broad international opposition, led by European and Gulf states, and legal controversies further complicate implementation. The proposal may ultimately serve more as a negotiating tactic than a feasible policy, with its execution remaining highly uncertain.

marsbit04/27 01:30

Can Iran 'Control' the Strait of Hormuz?

marsbit04/27 01:30

From Threat to Ceasefire: How Did the U.S. Lose Its Dominance?

From escalating threats to a sudden ceasefire, the US appears to have lost its dominant position in the confrontation with Iran. The conflict has entered a more complex phase where ceasefire and strategic maneuvering coexist. A key shift lies in the reversal of the diplomatic structure: rather than forcing Iranian concessions through military action, the US has been drawn into a negotiation framework based on Tehran’s "Ten-Point Plan." Although Washington has not formally accepted all terms, its de facto recognition of Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz marks a significant strategic retreat. This has allowed Iran to regain diplomatic and economic leverage. The outcome is counterintuitive: the conflict has not weakened Iran but instead restored its deterrence capability. Meanwhile, the failure of US military means has undermined the credibility of American threats, forcing any future negotiations to be based on genuine compromise. However, the ceasefire remains fragile, with localized clashes continuing and Israel’s actions adding further uncertainty. The situation remains on the brink of escalation, highly dependent on external variables. More profoundly, a conflict originally intended to pressure or even topple the Iranian regime may instead consolidate its internal power structure. The US has shifted from a dominant party to a negotiator, while Iran has moved from a pressured state to an active player. The confrontation has thus entered a longer-term and more complicated stage.

marsbit04/09 17:03

From Threat to Ceasefire: How Did the U.S. Lose Its Dominance?

marsbit04/09 17:03

US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

Summary: On March 23, Trump announced a 5-day suspension of planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing "productive dialogue" and "major consensus." However, Iran’s parliament speaker denied any direct talks. This marks the 7th time since 2018 that Trump has threatened Iran but only fully followed through twice—withdrawing from the JCPOA in 2018 and launching "Epic Fury" in February 2026. Brent crude fell 10.92% to around $100 after the delay announcement, reflecting market skepticism. Three scenarios post-deadline are possible: a temporary freeze agreement (oil at $80–90), extended talks (oil at $95–110), or resumed strikes with Hormuz blockade (oil up to $150+). Trump’s demands go far beyond the 2015 nuclear deal, including zero uranium enrichment and halting missile development. Current indirect mediation via Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan lacks the structure of past multilateral talks. If talks fail, Trump’s options include strikes on power plants or Kharg Island (handling 90% of Iran’s exports), tariffs on nations trading with Iran, and cyber operations. Iran can counter by blocking the Strait of Hormuz (20% of global oil transit) for months and using its remaining missiles. Both sides face a credibility trap—military escalation risks oil price spikes, while repeated delays weaken threat credibility. The 5-day window is part of an ongoing high-stakes cycle.

比推03/24 12:49

US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

比推03/24 12:49

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