# Technical Indicators İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Technical Indicators" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Will Solana fall to $57 next? What SOL’s KEY metrics suggest

Solana (SOL) faced significant bearish pressure, dropping 4.5% to $88.2 and breaching the $90 support level. Analysts warn of a potential major crash, citing a bearish flag pattern that previously led to a 56% decline. If the pattern fully forms, SOL could drop to between $40 and $45. The decline is driven by negative sentiment in the derivatives market, with outflows reaching $2.13 billion and net flows turning negative at -$103 million. Open interest fell to $5 billion, and over $6 million in long positions were liquidated. Technical indicators, including the Future Grand Trend and ADX, suggest further weakness, with a possible drop to $75 or even $57 in the worst case. However, spot ETFs have provided some support, recording $4.5 million in net inflows and avoiding outflows, which reduces selling pressure. Spot net flow also remained negative at -$35.5 million, indicating accumulation by some investors. If spot demand, particularly from ETFs, holds, SOL may avoid a major crash and potentially rebound to $93 after testing the $85 level.

ambcrypto03/27 04:10

Will Solana fall to $57 next? What SOL’s KEY metrics suggest

ambcrypto03/27 04:10

"Marking the Boat to Find the Sword"-Style Price Predictions Go Viral: The Practical Logic and Flaws of Mystical Prophecies

"Carving the Boat to Find the Sword"-style cryptocurrency price predictions, which rely on historical pattern analogies, have gained popularity during uncertain market phases. Analysts like CryptoBullet and KillaXBT use methods such as "tick-tock fractals" and historical rhythm analysis to predict market tops, bottoms, and trends, often claiming accuracy rates of 75–80%. While these predictions sometimes align with actual movements—such as correctly identifying a downturn in January 2026—they often miss precise price levels or timing. The appeal lies in three factors: market cycles often rhyme due to recurring liquidity and sentiment patterns; common technical indicators show similar predictive power but lack visual simplicity; and survivorship bias amplifies the perception of accuracy, as failed predictions are often ignored or deleted. However, these methods are flawed in practice. They offer directional guidance rather than executable trading strategies, lacking precise entry/exit points, stop-loss levels, or clear failure conditions. For instance, predicting a October 2025 top without specific price targets or risk management rules provides little actionable insight. Ultimately, while historical analogies can help identify market phases, they should not be mistaken for reliable trading signals. History rhymes—but never repeats exactly.

marsbit03/13 07:36

"Marking the Boat to Find the Sword"-Style Price Predictions Go Viral: The Practical Logic and Flaws of Mystical Prophecies

marsbit03/13 07:36

Matrixport Research: $25 Billion Gamma Liquidation Imminent, Liquidity Yet to Return Despite Rebound

Based on Matrixport's research, Bitcoin's recent breakdown below a key support level, as indicated in the October 31, 2025, report, has confirmed a bearish trend. The magnitude and rhythm of this pullback are comparable to previous bear market phases. The market focus has shifted from debating a potential trend reversal to anticipating the next optimal window for asset allocation. The analysis, utilizing a cyclical framework, identifies that Bitcoin likely entered a confirmed bear market phase after multiple characteristics of a late fifth bull cycle emerged and key support level was lost. A critical development was Bitcoin's break below its one-year moving average in November 2025, a historical signal often marking the start of a bear market that typically lasts around 12 months. This projects the next potential bull cycle to begin in Q4 2026, with a cyclical low possibly arriving earlier in Q3 2026. The report posits that Bitcoin's "four-year cycle" is less driven by halving events and is more likely synchronized with the rhythm of U.S. mid-term election cycles, which bring regulatory and political uncertainty that better explains the timing of market tops and bottoms. From a technical perspective, key monthly indicators have not yet reached crucial oversold thresholds that have historically signaled a market bottom. The monthly Stochastic oscillator, which often completed its bottoming process after falling below 15%, currently sits at approximately 39%. Similarly, the monthly RSI, which finds key support near 48, is currently around 50. A true bottoming signal often requires a "break below key support followed by an upward reversal" confirmation, which is not yet present. The research concludes that the final low of this bear market may not yet be in. History suggests Bitcoin more commonly bottoms during phases of low volume, receding selling pressure, and falling market enthusiasm. The recent rapid decline, accompanied by liquidations and falling volumes, resembles a capitulation event rather than a final cyclical low. Therefore, the truly worthwhile window for re-accumulation requires patience, waiting for key monthly indicators to hit extreme oversold zones and show confirmed reversal signals. The prerequisite for an orderly recovery is confirmed downward momentum exhaustion, not merely judging a trend reversal based on price proximity to historical lows.

Matrixport02/27 08:53

Matrixport Research: $25 Billion Gamma Liquidation Imminent, Liquidity Yet to Return Despite Rebound

Matrixport02/27 08:53

Matrixport Research: Bear Market Confirmed, the True Window for Bottom-Fishing May Not Have Arrived Yet

Matrixport Research confirms that the crypto market has entered a bear phase, with Bitcoin's recent break below a key support level signaling a confirmed downtrend. Historical cycle analysis suggests this correction aligns with typical bear market patterns in both scale and rhythm. The focus has now shifted from whether the trend has reversed to identifying the next optimal accumulation window. Key observations indicate that Bitcoin's break below its one-year moving average often marks the start of a bear market, which historically lasts about 12 months. This suggests the next bull cycle may not begin until Q4 2026, with a potential cycle low likely in Q3 2026. The report also posits that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle correlates more strongly with U.S. midterm election cycles than with halving events, citing heightened regulatory and political uncertainty as key drivers of market tops and bottoms. From a technical perspective, neither the monthly Stochastic oscillator (currently at ~39%) nor the monthly RSI (near 50) has yet reached key oversold thresholds that historically signaled major bottoms. A clear reversal confirmation—typically occurring after a break below extreme levels—has not appeared. The report concludes that the final market low has likely not been reached and emphasizes the need for patience. A sustainable recovery should be confirmed by clear signals of exhausted selling momentum, not just proximity to perceived low prices.

Matrixport02/13 08:37

Matrixport Research: Bear Market Confirmed, the True Window for Bottom-Fishing May Not Have Arrived Yet

Matrixport02/13 08:37

Chainlink (LINK) Faces a Critical Battle: Will It Defend the $10 Floor?

Amid a broader crypto uptick of 2.06%, Chainlink (LINK) saw a modest 0.71% gain, trading around $11.97. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook. The MACD and signal lines are below zero, indicating bearish momentum, while the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at -0.20 reflects strong selling pressure. The RSI at 48.94 is neutral, but a break below 45 could trigger further declines. Support levels are identified at $11.77 and $11.56, with resistance at $12.17 and $12.37. Despite a slight positive reading in Bull Bear Power, buyer momentum remains weak, and the overall sentiment leans toward the bears taking control.

TheNewsCrypto01/28 13:33

Chainlink (LINK) Faces a Critical Battle: Will It Defend the $10 Floor?

TheNewsCrypto01/28 13:33

AAVE Flags a Downside Move: Bearish Target Near $130

AAVE is experiencing a bearish trend, with its price declining by 1.42% and trading around $150.19. It has broken below a descending flag pattern, with key support levels at $149 and $142, and a potential downside target near $130. Technical indicators, including MACD, Chaikin Money Flow, and Bull Bear Power, all signal strong selling pressure and continued bearish momentum. The RSI at 40.79 suggests weak to neutral momentum with limited buying strength. If the downtrend persists, AAVE could fall below $145.32, potentially reaching $140.12. A shift to bullish momentum would require breaking above the $155.78 resistance level.

TheNewsCrypto12/30 13:29

AAVE Flags a Downside Move: Bearish Target Near $130