# Non-Farm Payrolls İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Non-Farm Payrolls" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Unexpected Weak Non-Farm Payrolls Data Pushes BTC to Rebound 11%, FOMC Minutes to Test the Narrative of This Rally

Bitcoin has rebounded 11% from its 21-month low, but the sustainability of this rally hinges entirely on the Federal Reserve's release of the June FOMC meeting minutes. The bounce was triggered by a weaker-than-expected US jobs report, which showed only 57,000 jobs added in June—about half of economists' forecasts. This data prompted traders to scale back bets on further Fed rate hikes, fueling a rally in Bitcoin alongside gold and stocks. The upcoming minutes are critical. They will reveal whether Fed officials, in their mid-June meeting, were already expressing concerns about a weakening labor market, tight credit conditions, or the risks of overtightening—factors that would support the market's recent dovish shift. Conversely, if the discussion focused on persistent inflation and the conditions for more rate hikes, the rally's foundational narrative would crumble. Market indicators show the rebound's fragility. While US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a significant single-day inflow, it followed a prolonged period of outflows. On-chain data indicates a substantial increase in Bitcoin being moved to exchanges, creating potential sell pressure. Options market positioning suggests key price levels around $60,000 and $62,000 that could either stabilize or accelerate price movement. In essence, Bitcoin's 11% gain is built on speculation about the Fed's private deliberations three weeks ago. The FOMC minutes will replace that speculation with concrete details, and the discrepancy between market expectations and the actual record will determine whether Bitcoin holds above $64,000 or falls back toward $58,000.

marsbit07/08 04:52

Unexpected Weak Non-Farm Payrolls Data Pushes BTC to Rebound 11%, FOMC Minutes to Test the Narrative of This Rally

marsbit07/08 04:52

Trading Moment: Non-Farm Payroll Data Imminent, Bitcoin Challenges $65K Support Level, Market May Remain Volatile in the Short Term

Key Market Focus: U.S. nonfarm payrolls data is expected to be released, with market expectations set at only 70,000 new jobs. A lower-than-expected result could pressure the dollar and support gold. Bitcoin is testing key levels around $65K, with analysts noting it as a critical support zone. If broken, it may decline toward $60K or even lower targets like $52K–$42K. Some analysts believe $60K could be the bottom, while others warn of a potential drop to $30K–$40K. Ethereum is consolidating below $2K, with signs of accumulation between $1.8K–$2K. Market sentiment remains in "extreme fear." BTC and ETH ETFs saw net inflows, while overall crypto markets remain bearish with meme coins leading losses. Key events today include NFP data release and Binance Alpha airdrop.

marsbit02/11 08:57

Trading Moment: Non-Farm Payroll Data Imminent, Bitcoin Challenges $65K Support Level, Market May Remain Volatile in the Short Term

marsbit02/11 08:57

Crypto market holds $3T as investors digest U.S. jobs data

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report released on 9 January showed 50,000 jobs added, below most forecasts, with unemployment at 4.4% and average hourly earnings at 3.8% YoY. Despite the cautious macro backdrop, the cryptocurrency market remained stable above $3 trillion, with a total market cap of around $3.07 trillion. The muted reaction indicates that labor data alone is insufficient to drive crypto markets, as monetary policy expectations remain largely unchanged. The market's stability suggests reduced volatility and selective risk-taking, with investors awaiting clearer signals from upcoming inflation data and Federal Reserve guidance.

ambcrypto01/09 20:32

Crypto market holds $3T as investors digest U.S. jobs data

ambcrypto01/09 20:32

Is the Plunge Just Beginning? Three 'Macro Bombs' for BTC About to Detonate

Bitcoin experienced a sharp drop on December 15, falling from $89,000 to around $85,000, nearing its December 1 low. The market fear and greed index has fallen to 21, indicating extreme fear. Three major macroeconomic events are expected to further impact Bitcoin's price: First, the U.S. November non-farm payroll data will be released on December 16. Due to the previous government shutdown, October data was incomplete, which may lead to market volatility. Weak data could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut in January 2026, but could also increase selling pressure on Bitcoin. Second, the Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on December 19, marking its highest rate in 30 years. This could end the long-standing yen carry trade, reducing liquidity in risk assets like Bitcoin. Historical data shows Bitcoin often drops over 20% following BoJ rate hikes. Third, uncertainty over the next Fed Chair is growing. Kevin Warsh, considered more hawkish, has gained traction as a potential nominee over Kevin Hassett. A Warsh appointment could mean tighter monetary policy, further suppressing Bitcoin’s upward momentum. These factors materialize, Bitcoin may face continued downward pressure, with some analysts predicting a fall toward $70,000.

Odaily星球日报12/16 09:33

Is the Plunge Just Beginning? Three 'Macro Bombs' for BTC About to Detonate

Odaily星球日报12/16 09:33

Tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls Report Is Unconventional! October Data 'Missing', But November Unemployment Rate Set to Soar?

The US November nonfarm payrolls report, unusually delayed to a Tuesday in mid-December due to the government shutdown, is the market's key focus. This release will include both November data and October's job growth figures, though October's unemployment rate is missing due to the shutdown's disruption. Economists expect a modest 50,000 job gain in November, with the rate holding at 4.4% or potentially rising. The report is expected to be volatile and complex due to the shutdown's impact, including federal worker furloughs and extended data collection windows. Beyond the headline numbers, details on sectoral job growth, wage trends, and labor force participation will be crucial for assessing the economy's health. The data will significantly influence the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions. Bitcoin may see volatility in reaction, with strong data potentially pressuring prices via a stronger dollar, while weak data could boost expectations for rate cuts.

marsbit12/16 06:29

Tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls Report Is Unconventional! October Data 'Missing', But November Unemployment Rate Set to Soar?

marsbit12/16 06:29

Weekly Outlook: Macro 'Data Deluge' Week: Delayed CPI and the Bank of Japan's 'Rate Hike Pursuit'

This week marks a critical period for global markets as a flood of delayed macroeconomic data and major central bank decisions converge, breaking months of uncertainty. The key events include the US Labor Department's release of two months of non-farm payroll data (October and November) on Tuesday, which is expected to show contradictory signals—a decline in October jobs followed by a rebound in November. This data may reveal structural weaknesses in the labor market, potentially triggering "recession trading" and risk-off sentiment. On Thursday, the delayed US November CPI report will be released. A higher-than-expected reading could signal premature Fed rate cuts and strengthen the US dollar, negatively impacting risk assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, softer inflation would support the case for further rate cuts. The Bank of Japan's meeting on Friday is another major event, with a 98% market probability priced in for a 25-basis-point rate hike. This divergence from global monetary policy could disrupt yen carry trade, potentially causing leveraged capital to exit crypto markets and testing Bitcoin's support near $88,000. Amid the macro turmoil, crypto institutions are pushing forward strategically. Coinbase plans to launch prediction markets and tokenized stocks on Wednesday, aiming to integrate traditional equity liquidity into crypto. Also on Wednesday, HashKey Group is listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, seeking to raise up to HK$1.67 billion and boost confidence in Asian Web3 markets. Additional factors include US regulatory discussions and delays in South Korea’s stablecoin regulations, which may dampen retail investor participation. In summary, macro events will test market stability, while institutional developments could define crypto’s next growth phase. Traders are advised to monitor the DXY and USD/JPY closely and adopt a defensive stance ahead of Friday’s BoJ decision.

marsbit12/15 03:18

Weekly Outlook: Macro 'Data Deluge' Week: Delayed CPI and the Bank of Japan's 'Rate Hike Pursuit'