# ETF İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "ETF" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Unexpected Weak Non-Farm Payrolls Data Pushes BTC to Rebound 11%, FOMC Minutes to Test the Narrative of This Rally

Bitcoin has rebounded 11% from its 21-month low, but the sustainability of this rally hinges entirely on the Federal Reserve's release of the June FOMC meeting minutes. The bounce was triggered by a weaker-than-expected US jobs report, which showed only 57,000 jobs added in June—about half of economists' forecasts. This data prompted traders to scale back bets on further Fed rate hikes, fueling a rally in Bitcoin alongside gold and stocks. The upcoming minutes are critical. They will reveal whether Fed officials, in their mid-June meeting, were already expressing concerns about a weakening labor market, tight credit conditions, or the risks of overtightening—factors that would support the market's recent dovish shift. Conversely, if the discussion focused on persistent inflation and the conditions for more rate hikes, the rally's foundational narrative would crumble. Market indicators show the rebound's fragility. While US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a significant single-day inflow, it followed a prolonged period of outflows. On-chain data indicates a substantial increase in Bitcoin being moved to exchanges, creating potential sell pressure. Options market positioning suggests key price levels around $60,000 and $62,000 that could either stabilize or accelerate price movement. In essence, Bitcoin's 11% gain is built on speculation about the Fed's private deliberations three weeks ago. The FOMC minutes will replace that speculation with concrete details, and the discrepancy between market expectations and the actual record will determine whether Bitcoin holds above $64,000 or falls back toward $58,000.

marsbit3 saat önce

Unexpected Weak Non-Farm Payrolls Data Pushes BTC to Rebound 11%, FOMC Minutes to Test the Narrative of This Rally

marsbit3 saat önce

CryptoQuant Founder: The Cost to Double BTC Has Increased by 20,000 Times, Where Will the $100 Billion Buying Power Come From?

CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju analyzes Bitcoin's current capital challenge. He notes that the cryptocurrency market has grown too large for retail-driven momentum alone to generate massive price increases as in past cycles. His calculations show that in 2011, approximately $2.7 million in capital inflow could push BTC's price up by 550x, whereas the current cycle requires an estimated $101 billion in new capital just for a 100% price increase. This shift underscores that sustaining a bull run now depends on attracting large-scale, long-term institutional capital rather than short-term speculative trading. Recent outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs, totaling nearly $10 billion since May, highlight the fragility of current demand and challenge the narrative of deep institutional support. While surveys indicate continued institutional interest, these entities prioritize regulated products, risk management, and portfolio integration over speculative gains. For the next significant bull market, Bitcoin must transition to being a core macro asset. The key drivers are no longer just more buyers, but capital allocation from larger, slower-moving entities like wealth advisors, corporate treasuries, banks, and sovereign wealth funds. This new phase pits Bitcoin against other major asset classes like AI for a share of institutional capital, making its growth trajectory dependent on sustained, high-quality inflows from diversified financial balance sheets.

marsbitDün 05:07

CryptoQuant Founder: The Cost to Double BTC Has Increased by 20,000 Times, Where Will the $100 Billion Buying Power Come From?

marsbitDün 05:07

Crypto Welcomes the 'July Rebound'? On-Chain Bottom Signals Align, Reversal Still Requires Breakthrough Above $70k

The cryptocurrency market is showing signs of a potential "July rebound," with Bitcoin leading a recovery above $63,000 and total market cap rising. This bounce is attributed to improved macro expectations (weaker US jobs data easing Fed hike fears), a short squeeze in derivatives, and signs of whale accumulation. Key on-chain metrics signal a potential bottom, including the Sharpe Ratio hitting extreme lows, the AHR999 index nearing historic buy zones, and miner pressure reaching significant levels. However, analysts caution this is likely a corrective rebound rather than a confirmed trend reversal. Persistent challenges include weak spot demand, negative Coinbase Premium indicating institutional caution, and ongoing selling pressure in the altcoin market. Market sentiment remains in "extreme fear" territory, and the AVIV ratio suggests the average active Bitcoin investor is still at a loss. For a true bullish reversal, Bitcoin needs to convincingly break above the key $70,000 level (aligned with the Short-Term Holder Realized Price). The path to a new parabolic bull market is seen as dependent on attracting substantially more capital, as capital efficiency has declined. While prices may be approaching a cyclical bottom zone (with estimates between $37k-$60k), the market requires more sustained positive signals for a definitive uptrend.

marsbitDün 10:04

Crypto Welcomes the 'July Rebound'? On-Chain Bottom Signals Align, Reversal Still Requires Breakthrough Above $70k

marsbitDün 10:04

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