# Crude Oil İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Crude Oil" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Weekend Market Watch by TradeXYZ | Two Consecutive Weeks of TACO

For two consecutive weekends, market focus has centered on the US-Iran situation. This weekend began with escalating tensions, as reports emerged of a US-ordered military strike and alleged Iranian drone attacks. However, on Sunday morning, the US called off the planned action, citing requests from regional nations and conditional on a swift agreement. On TradeXYZ, oil contracts (WTI) reacted sharply, plummeting from around $85.5 to below $79, a drop exceeding 8%, as war risk premiums unwound. In contrast, the S&P 500 index rose about 0.8%, trading on the de-escalation. However, uncertainty remains as the specifics of any shipping corridor agreement for the Strait of Hormuz are unresolved. Precious metals saw initial gains, with spot gold briefly surpassing $4080, but those gains narrowed after futures market open. In equities, the weekend saw a broad rally. The tech-heavy "Mag 7" group advanced, though Apple underperformed peers due to concerns over its service growth and China market. The memory chip sector was notably strong. Overall, markets initially priced in the reduced immediate conflict risk, pressuring oil and supporting stocks. However, traders remain cautious, leaving room for volatility if geopolitical signals shift again.

marsbitDün 08:16

Weekend Market Watch by TradeXYZ | Two Consecutive Weeks of TACO

marsbitDün 08:16

Wall Street Morning News: V-shaped Rebound at Month-end, but Nasdaq Suffers Worst July in 12 Years; Funds Accelerate Concentration Towards Cloud Giants

Despite a V-shaped rebound at the end of July, the Nasdaq posted its worst July since 2004, while the S&P 500 had its worst July since 2014. Markets were jolted by geopolitical shifts, as President Trump canceled a planned strike on Iran, leading WTI crude to plunge over 8%. This, alongside OPEC+ announcing a supply increase, reversed crude's sharp July gains. Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year yield rising over 30 basis points in July—its largest July increase since 2005. In a rare move, the US and Japan jointly intervened to weaken the USD/JPY, aiming to prevent potential Japanese sales of US Treasuries. While the tech sector faced deleveraging pressure throughout July, cloud giants staged a massive rally on strong earnings. Microsoft, Amazon, and Google collectively added nearly $1.5 trillion in market value last week. Amazon soared over 15% on accelerating AWS growth, Microsoft extended historic gains, Google fully recovered post-earnings losses, and Meta ended an 11-day losing streak. In contrast, Apple tumbled over 7% on supply chain and guidance concerns, ceding its "world's most valuable company" title to Nvidia. The memory and storage sector corrected sharply. Gold edged up 0.91% in July, with analysts viewing the ~30% pullback from January highs as a potential basing period, supported by long-term central bank demand. Key events to watch this week include earnings from Palantir, AMD, SpaceX (its first post-IPO report), and memory giants like Western Digital. The US July non-farm payrolls report on Friday will be critical for gauging the Fed's policy path. SpaceX also faces a significant lock-up expiration, testing market liquidity.

marsbitDün 05:21

Wall Street Morning News: V-shaped Rebound at Month-end, but Nasdaq Suffers Worst July in 12 Years; Funds Accelerate Concentration Towards Cloud Giants

marsbitDün 05:21

Wall Street Morning Report: Fed Holds Steady, Nasdaq Falls for 6th Straight Day, Memory Stocks Plunge for 4th Day, Philly Semiconductor Index Down Nearly 30% from Peak

Wall Street Morning Report: Major indices plummeted amid geopolitical tensions, a hawkish Fed split, and shaken AI confidence. The Dow Jones saw its largest single-day point drop since April 2025, while the Nasdaq closed lower for a sixth consecutive session. The Fed held rates steady, but a rare three dissenting votes calling for a hike signaled significant internal hawkish pressure. Chair Warsh reaffirmed a hard line on inflation above 2% and scrapped forward guidance, pushing market expectations for a September rate hike above 65%. Long-term Treasury yields, especially the 30-year, surged to multi-decade highs as investors demanded higher inflation risk premiums. The chip sector was hammered, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling into a bear market, down nearly 29% from its peak. Storage stocks like Micron plunged for a fourth day, and data showed retail investors executed their largest net stock sell-off since early 2020, heavily targeting chip names. In earnings, Microsoft beat expectations while Meta's weak guidance sparked a sell-off. Oil prices jumped nearly 8% as U.S.-Iran hostilities reignited. Key upcoming events include U.S. Q2 GDP and core PCE data, along with earnings from Apple and Amazon.

marsbit07/30 04:46

Wall Street Morning Report: Fed Holds Steady, Nasdaq Falls for 6th Straight Day, Memory Stocks Plunge for 4th Day, Philly Semiconductor Index Down Nearly 30% from Peak

marsbit07/30 04:46

In the Second Half of 2026, Commodities Enter an Era of 'High-Frequency Black Swans'

Heading into the second half of 2026, Citigroup warns that the commodities market is entering an era of "High-Frequency Black Swans," where extreme, paradigm-shifting events are becoming increasingly common. The report outlines major tail-risk scenarios beyond its baseline forecasts. The highest-impact scenario is a prolonged US-Iran conflict disrupting Gulf energy infrastructure and key shipping chokepoints, potentially causing a sustained 5-10 million barrel per day oil supply deficit and pushing crude prices above $200/barrel. Other geopolitical risks include stricter sanctions on Russian energy, which would hit gas markets harder than oil, particularly liquefied natural gas (LNG). A high-probability risk is a global scramble by governments to stockpile critical minerals. Large-scale strategic buying, particularly of copper, could drive prices above $20,000/ton. For gold, Citigroup sees near-term downside risk towards $3,800/ounce before a potential long-term rally to $6,000/ounce, supported by central bank demand and de-dollarization trends. An extreme El Niño weather pattern poses a medium-probability, high-impact threat to agriculture, potentially sending cocoa prices back to $10,000/ton and sugar above 20 cents/pound. The AI boom presents a dual-sided risk: a bust would hurt metals and power demand, while sustained growth would exacerbate structural deficits in copper and aluminum. Two other significant scenarios are the finalization of Russia's Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline to China, which could depress Asian LNG prices to $5-6/MMBtu in the 2030s, and an extreme application of the Monroe Doctrine blocking Americas oil exports, which could create a price split with global benchmarks soaring above $100/barrel while regional benchmarks crash. The overarching conclusion is that traditional supply-demand analysis may fail in a market where such high-impact, interconnected shocks are becoming more frequent.

marsbit07/24 08:17

In the Second Half of 2026, Commodities Enter an Era of 'High-Frequency Black Swans'

marsbit07/24 08:17

U.S.-Iran Flames Reignite, Hedge Funds Aggressively Boost Crude Holdings at Fastest Pace in a Decade

The escalating US-Iran conflict is reshaping global oil markets. Hedge funds have increased their net long positions in Brent crude at the fastest pace in nearly a decade. This surge in bullish bets, following a period of low prices, is driven by renewed US military action against Iran and Iranian attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint. These disruptions are tightening oil supply and pushing global refining margins to record highs. Simultaneously, Ukraine's attacks on Russian refineries and a subsequent Russian diesel export ban are worsening global fuel supply shortages, particularly for diesel, intensifying market pressures and attracting further speculative investment.

链捕手07/18 04:05

U.S.-Iran Flames Reignite, Hedge Funds Aggressively Boost Crude Holdings at Fastest Pace in a Decade

链捕手07/18 04:05

Crude Oil Surges 10% in Intraday Trading! US Military Restores Blockade on Iran, Trump Warns of 'Heavy Blows' Tonight and Tomorrow, Imposes 20% Fee on Strait Shipping

Crude oil prices surged up to 10% intraday as tensions between the US and Iran escalated sharply. President Trump announced the reinstatement of a maritime blockade against Iran, targeting its ships and their customers, while stating the Strait of Hormuz would remain open to all other nations. He further declared that the US, as the "guardian" of the strait, would impose a 20% fee on all cargo transiting the strategic waterway to compensate for security costs. The US Central Command confirmed the naval blockade would commence on July 14 (GMT). Following Trump's statements, reports emerged of explosions near Iran's Larak Island and the port of Bandar Abbas, though Iranian authorities did not confirm their nature. Iran's Foreign Minister criticized the proposed 20% fee as excessive, asserting Iran's role as the guardian of the strait. An Iranian military spokesperson warned of a strong response to any unauthorized US interference in the waterway. The United Nations' International Maritime Organization (IMO) expressed opposition to charging tolls for passage through international straits, stating such measures lack legal foundation. Market reactions were pronounced, with Brent crude briefly surpassing $83 and WTI above $78. The situation intensified as Trump notified Congress of renewed hostilities with Iran, following US airstrikes on Iranian targets.

marsbit07/14 04:18

Crude Oil Surges 10% in Intraday Trading! US Military Restores Blockade on Iran, Trump Warns of 'Heavy Blows' Tonight and Tomorrow, Imposes 20% Fee on Strait Shipping

marsbit07/14 04:18

Weekly Editor's Picks (0613-0619)

Weekly Editor's Picks (0613-0619): Market Insights & Analysis This weekly digest curates in-depth analysis often lost in the information flow, focusing on key insights across macro trends, investment, and technology. **Macro & Geopolitics:** With the Strait of Hormuz reopening and military conflict shifting to negotiation, markets are pivoting from "war shock" to "supply restoration." Trades include shorting crude risk premiums, longing airlines/tourism, Asian energy importers, and bond duration, while shorting inflation expectations. LNG, fertilizer, and chemical chains are also being repriced. **Investment & VC:** Ray Dalio advises against betting on concentrated AI giants dominating indices, advocating for diversified portfolios of high-quality, low-correlation assets instead. Analysis covers the 4-year crypto cycle, predicting the core surviving product by 2029 will be asset trading markets. Current BTC metrics suggest a potential bottoming zone, presenting a patient accumulation window. SpaceX's high-profile IPO at a $2.1T valuation faces scrutiny over fundamentals, with key watchpoints being its likely inclusion in the Nasdaq index and Q2 earnings. Concerns are raised about potential "gamma squeeze" and systemic risks if its narrative-driven valuation gets amplified by passive index funds. Robinhood (HOOD) is noted for breaking its high correlation with crypto, bolstered by its stock trading and new underwriting business. **Web3 & AI:** A warning highlights ~$1.8T in off-balance-sheet AI infrastructure commitments (purchase commitments, leases) as a potential systemic risk if AI monetization lags. AI models are being used for World Cup predictions, adding a new layer for betting markets. A cost breakdown of a $20 AI subscription reveals the supply chain from model companies to cloud, GPUs, and power. **Prediction Markets:** The emergence of prediction market "concept stocks" is noted, with Robinhood developing its own platform, Rothera, signaling a shift from market competition to a "channel war" for user access. **CeFi & DeFi:** The SpaceX IPO tested perpetual contract mechanisms for pre-IPO assets, highlighting challenges in handling corporate actions like stock splits on-chain. The de-pegging of STRC (Strategy's preferred share) to ~$89 reflects market concerns over MicroStrategy's capital structure and BTC-backed leverage model. BlackRock's covered-call Bitcoin ETF (BITA) offers yield but caps upside, appealing to yield-seeking institutions. **Ethereum:** An opinion piece argues Ethereum's core strength is its vast developer community and composability, solidifying its role as the default operating system for the financial internet. **Weekly Hot Topics:** Include the US-Iran deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Fed's hawkish hold, Anthropic restricting model access, SpaceX acquiring Cursor, and a humorous stock surge for "Liuliumei" due to its "LLM" ticker.

marsbit06/20 03:42

Weekly Editor's Picks (0613-0619)

marsbit06/20 03:42

War Trade Unwinding | TradeXYZ Weekend Observations

Weekend markets saw a clear return of risk appetite. Major indices rose broadly, with significant gains in tech and precious metals, while energy sectors fell sharply on the "end of war" narrative. On June 14, oil prices initially rose on reports Iran had not yet finalized a memorandum of understanding. Later, YNET reported Trump might immediately lift the maritime blockade on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. At 21:30, Trump confirmed on Truth Terminal that a deal with Iran was done, authorizing an immediate end to the US blockade and toll-free opening of the Strait. Iran's deputy foreign minister simultaneously announced an immediate and permanent halt to military actions on multiple fronts. Oil prices had already fallen to weekend boundaries, pre-pricing the news. The S&P 500 subsequently touched 7530. Markets will likely remain in a waiting period until the formal peace deal signing on June 19. At the moment of the deal announcement, gold jumped from ~4,221 to a high of 4,337, and silver from ~67.85 to 70.83, before stabilizing at higher levels. Individual stocks and ETFs like NBIS, RKLB, and LITE performed strongly. NBIS, added to the Nasdaq index, saw a target price increase due to strong AI cloud growth. RKLB, also added to the index, benefited from positive SpaceX valuation sentiment. LITE received a $1,130 target from JPMorgan. SPCX rose quickly after Musk tweeted SpaceX could potentially reach ~$1 trillion in revenue by 2030. In summary, the market shock from the multi-month war is beginning to dissipate. Israel's actions remain the key variable before the June 19 signing. Upcoming events like Fed Chair Warsh's debut and BoJ rate hike expectations will also significantly impact markets this week.

marsbit06/15 22:52

War Trade Unwinding | TradeXYZ Weekend Observations

marsbit06/15 22:52

Plunging 10% Then Surging: Weekend Crude Oil Market Watch

Following a 10% plunge, oil prices surged over the weekend as geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz escalated dramatically. The initial market optimism, driven by the strait’s brief reopening on Friday, quickly reversed on Saturday when Iran reinstated restrictions and fired on vessels, halting nearly all traffic. In response, oil contracts rose approximately 4.52%, while S&P futures fell nearly 0.8%. U.S. President Trump alternated between diplomatic gestures—sending an envoy for talks—and threats to destroy Iranian infrastructure if no deal was reached. Iran rejected further negotiations, fearing a U.S. attack before the midweek ceasefire deadline. This triggered another spike in oil, surpassing Saturday’s highs, and further pressured equity markets. Crypto-related stocks underperformed significantly. Market optimism is expected to be punished, and the week ahead hinges on whether Iran maintains its refusal to negotiate.

marsbit04/20 11:07

Plunging 10% Then Surging: Weekend Crude Oil Market Watch

marsbit04/20 11:07

Rare Annualized Rate of 400%: Is TradeXYZ Handing Out Money to Oil Bulls?

Amidst volatile oil markets due to geopolitical tensions, Trade.xyz’s WTIOIL-USDC perpetual contract exhibited an unusually negative annualized funding rate of -300% to -400%. This meant long positions received approximately 1% of their position value daily from shorts. The anomaly stemmed from the structure of WTI futures curves in extreme backwardation, where near-month (May) contracts traded at a significant premium to far-month (June) contracts. Trade.xyz’s oracle gradually shifts price weighting from near-month to far-month over five trading days during rollover. Anticipating this decline, traders heavily shorted the perpetual, driving the funding rate deeply negative. Three strategies were discussed: 1. Shorting Trade.xyz’s contract while going long on CME’s far-month futures—initially profitable but later eroded by high funding costs. 2. Shorting far-month futures and longing Trade.xyz’s near-month contract before rollover, which gained traction as arbitrage opportunities emerged. 3. Betting against funding rates via Boros, a rate-trading platform, though limited by low leverage and high slippage. The situation highlights how DeFi traders are adapting to traditional futures mechanics and advanced instruments like rate markets, reflecting the evolving infrastructure of crypto-native trading platforms.

marsbit04/10 08:29

Rare Annualized Rate of 400%: Is TradeXYZ Handing Out Money to Oil Bulls?

marsbit04/10 08:29

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