# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Volatility

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Volatility", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Kalshi Estimates a Low ETH Price This Year After $200B Liquidated in Two Weeks

Kalshi forecasts a further decline in ETH price, potentially dropping to as low as $1,410 by 2026, amid a broader crypto downturn. The crypto market has lost approximately $200 billion in liquidations over two weeks, with total market cap shrinking by $800 billion since October 2025 highs. Gold and Silver also fell sharply, reflecting broader investor caution. Despite the bearish sentiment, near-term projections remain bullish: BTC is expected to rise over 33% in the next month, while ETH is forecasted to increase by 12.45% to around $2,514.83.

TheNewsCrypto02/02 11:33

Kalshi Estimates a Low ETH Price This Year After $200B Liquidated in Two Weeks

TheNewsCrypto02/02 11:33

Why are stablecoin balances falling? Binance outflows, risk-off mood and more…

Stablecoin balances are declining as capital exits crypto markets amid thinning liquidity and fading risk appetite. Following an initial $9.6 billion drop, outflows resumed with Binance accounting for over $3.1 billion, reflecting its role as a key liquidity venue. The reduction is driven by macro uncertainty, ETF outflows, and lower speculative activity. This weakens on-exchange liquidity and price momentum. Binance data shows significant net outflows, indicating a broad withdrawal from risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, while stablecoins such as USDT see inflows, suggesting reallocation rather than full exit. Reversing the trend requires improved macro clarity and renewed incentives for capital deployment.

ambcrypto02/02 11:02

Why are stablecoin balances falling? Binance outflows, risk-off mood and more…

ambcrypto02/02 11:02

Bitcoin Supercycle 2026 Cancelled! — Changpeng Zhao (CZ) Explains Why

CZ, the former CEO of Binance, has reversed his previous prediction of a Bitcoin "supercycle" in 2026. He now expresses uncertainty about a major bull run in the near term due to recent market turbulence. Key factors for his changed outlook include widespread FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), misinformation on social media, macroeconomic instability, and geopolitical tensions, all contributing to high volatility and significant liquidations. While he was previously optimistic about institutional adoption and pro-crypto policies, CZ now advises the crypto community to focus on long-term strategies like "buy and hold" rather than reacting to short-term market noise. He remains cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential but stresses that the current global climate makes forecasting unreliable.

ccn.com02/02 10:37

Bitcoin Supercycle 2026 Cancelled! — Changpeng Zhao (CZ) Explains Why

ccn.com02/02 10:37

XRP Slides Below $1.60 Amid Broader Crypto Market Pullback

The broader crypto market experienced a significant pullback, declining over 4.3% and dragging total market capitalization to approximately $2.55 trillion. XRP, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency, was notably affected, falling more than 4% in 24 hours to trade near $1.58. Over the past week, XRP extended losses to nearly 15.7%, trading about 20% below its January highs. Data from Coinglass indicates a 6.06% drop in open interest, suggesting traders are closing positions. Despite the downturn, XRP ETFs saw positive inflows, with $16.7 million on January 30, led by the 21Shares XRP ETF. Technical analysis shows XRP facing bearish pressure, with key support at $1.55 and resistance between $1.62 and $1.67. Indicators like the MACD and an RSI of 26 signal strong oversold conditions, hinting at possible short-term consolidation amid ongoing market volatility.

TheNewsCrypto02/02 09:57

XRP Slides Below $1.60 Amid Broader Crypto Market Pullback

TheNewsCrypto02/02 09:57

Nomura Cuts Crypto Risk After Q4 Profit Decline

Nomura Holdings is reducing its crypto market risk exposure following a decline in fourth-quarter profits, though this move does not signal a long-term exit from digital assets. The company aims to stabilize earnings amid high market volatility and sharp price fluctuations in major cryptocurrencies. While maintaining its belief in the future role of digital assets, Nomura is adjusting its risk management strategy in response to current profit pressures and broader market uncertainty. This approach reflects a broader trend among financial institutions to scale risk exposure according to market conditions, emphasizing stability and strategic management rather than disengagement. The institution remains involved in crypto through infrastructure, partnerships, and custody services.

TheNewsCrypto02/02 09:36

Nomura Cuts Crypto Risk After Q4 Profit Decline

TheNewsCrypto02/02 09:36

Is BitMine pushing its Ethereum thesis too far after $6 billion hit?

Tom Lee's BitMine, known for its aggressive accumulation of Ethereum, is facing a severe test as its massive bet faces a sharp downturn. The company's Ethereum portfolio, holding over 4 million ETH, has plummeted in value by approximately $6 billion due to a 28% drop in the asset's price over the past month. This decline has contributed to BitMine's overall losses, which also include significant holdings in Bitcoin and Solana. The sell-off was exacerbated by forced liquidations in derivatives markets, impacting the company's stock price as well. Despite the losses, Lee had previously warned investors of a volatile period in early 2026, citing macro risks like trade tensions and an upcoming Federal Reserve leadership transition. He maintains a long-term conviction, advocating to "buy the dip." The outcome of BitMine's $9 billion crypto treasury strategy now hinges on whether this downturn validates Lee's Ethereum supercycle thesis or proves the company overextended itself.

ambcrypto02/02 09:02

Is BitMine pushing its Ethereum thesis too far after $6 billion hit?

ambcrypto02/02 09:02

Bitcoin: From $124,700 to $78,000 – BTC’s rise, fall, and reality check

Bitcoin's price has fallen to $78,441 in early 2026, erasing nearly all gains from its 2025 rally that peaked at a record $124,700 in October. The decline drivers include the hawkish Federal Reserve Chair nomination, geopolitical tensions, capital rotation away from risk assets, large liquidations, fading spot Bitcoin ETF interest, and unmet expectations like a U.S. Bitcoin reserve. This has revived fears around Satoshi Nakamoto’s unmoved coins, though some see it as a market-clearing phase. Technically, indicators like MACD remain bearish, but oversold RSI levels suggest potential support and a short-term bounce. Market sentiment strain persists, yet Bitcoin’s high dominance indicates capital isn’t fleeing to altcoins, leaving the market in a tense waiting phase.

ambcrypto02/02 08:02

Bitcoin: From $124,700 to $78,000 – BTC’s rise, fall, and reality check

ambcrypto02/02 08:02

VIRTUAL: THESE levels hint at a potential reversal ahead

Crypto markets declined due to geopolitical and policy concerns, with VIRTUAL dropping 11% to a key demand zone near $0.6240. Technical indicators suggest seller exhaustion, with Stochastic RSI in oversold territory and MVRV Z-score indicating undervaluation. Reduced withdrawals and low dormant circulation point to accumulation and a potential reversal. However, confirmation requires holding current levels and breaking above short-term resistance. Volatility may persist until a clear recovery is established.

ambcrypto02/02 07:04

VIRTUAL: THESE levels hint at a potential reversal ahead

ambcrypto02/02 07:04

Retail Investors Are Not the Noise of the Market, But the Main Melody

The article challenges the conventional hierarchy of market difficulty, arguing that retail-driven markets like Crypto and meme stocks, often dismissed as "simple," actually offer higher returns due to their predictable emotional dynamics, not despite them. The author’s key shift was moving from asking "How much expertise does this market require?" to "What determines price in this market?" In retail-dominated markets, price is not set by fundamentals but by collective sentiment. This isn't a flaw but the core mechanism—retailers are not market "noise" but the main driver, creating powerful feedback loops of buying (FOMO) and selling (panic) known as reflexivity. Unlike institutional markets (e.g., U.S. stocks) where valuation models and arbitrage limit moves,散户 markets lack these anchors, allowing emotions to drive massive, predictable cycles: from ignorance and curiosity to FOMO,狂热, panic, and despair. This emotional trajectory is more reliable than forecasting fundamentals. Consequently, these high-volatility markets offer significant opportunities on both the long side (as sentiment turns positive) and the short side (after peak euphoria). The playing field is level; success depends on understanding human psychology, not deep research or insider information. The ultimate insight is to stop seeking "value" and start following the predictable certainty of crowd sentiment.

marsbit02/02 06:38

Retail Investors Are Not the Noise of the Market, But the Main Melody

marsbit02/02 06:38

Bitcoin Continues to Plunge, Whether MSTR Is Forced to Sell Becomes Focus

Bitcoin is experiencing a sharp decline, falling below the key $80,000 level and approaching the cost basis of major institutional holders like MicroStrategy. This has intensified concerns about potential forced liquidations among highly leveraged players. Despite the sell-off, MicroStrategy's executive chairman Michael Saylor signaled intentions to continue accumulating Bitcoin, even as the company raised dividends on its preferred shares to attract capital—a move that could strain cash flow if prices fall further. Analysis indicates that institutional entities, including ETFs and MicroStrategy, now hold approximately 10% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply, with an average acquisition cost around $85,360. At current prices, these positions are underwater, with unrealized losses totaling about $7 billion. The market is facing a crisis of narrative, as the once-bullish "institutional adoption" theme has reversed, with ETF outflows persisting and no new catalysts emerging to attract buyers. The high concentration of institutional holdings, largely at a loss, may now become a source of sustained selling pressure.

marsbit02/02 04:17

Bitcoin Continues to Plunge, Whether MSTR Is Forced to Sell Becomes Focus

marsbit02/02 04:17

活动图片

Популярные категорииright-arrow

Популярные тегиright-arrow

Project Updates