# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Trading Volume

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Trading Volume", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Crypto’s red streak continues: Weak U.S. sentiment behind week 4 of outflows

Crypto markets are experiencing a fourth consecutive week of outflows, with $3.74 billion withdrawn over the past month, driven by weakening U.S. investor sentiment. A recent CoinShares report highlights a sharp decline in trading activity, falling from $63 billion to $27 billion week-over-week. While the U.S. led outflows with $403 million withdrawn, Germany, Canada, and Switzerland saw inflows totaling $230 million. Bitcoin faced the strongest selling pressure with $133 million in outflows, followed by Ethereum with $85.1 million. However, some altcoins like XRP and Solana attracted new investments. Despite social media speculation about an "altcoin season," the Altcoin Season Index remains at 31, indicating the market is still in a Bitcoin-dominant phase. The overall trend suggests cautious sentiment, with the next major move likely dependent on broader economic developments.

ambcrypto02/17 02:02

Crypto’s red streak continues: Weak U.S. sentiment behind week 4 of outflows

ambcrypto02/17 02:02

RENDER surges 12% – Examining 2 possible reasons behind the rise

Render (RNDR) surged 12% in 24 hours, largely driven by broader dollar weakness following lower-than-expected CPI data, which boosted risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Two key factors supported the rally: a significant spike in whale orders, indicating strong conviction and potential accumulation rather than distribution, and a notable increase in both spot and futures trading volume, reflecting heightened market participation and momentum. However, the token faces resistance near prior distribution zones. For the rally to sustain, bulls must absorb selling pressure, with a key liquidity cluster around $1.680 potentially triggering a breakout if whale interest and trading activity remain elevated.

ambcrypto02/15 06:01

RENDER surges 12% – Examining 2 possible reasons behind the rise

ambcrypto02/15 06:01

How COAI’s price can rally by 45% after hitting THIS key resistance

ChainOpera (COAI) has surged 39% in 24 hours, hitting a key resistance level at $0.445. A breakout above $0.45 could trigger a further 45% rally toward $0.685, while a close below $0.388 may invalidate the bullish trend. Technical indicators like the ADX (33.66) and RSI (70.87) suggest strong momentum, though the RSI indicates overbought conditions. Despite increased trading volume and leveraged long positions, exchange reserves rose 1.94%, signaling potential selling pressure and mixed sentiment among traders.

ambcrypto02/15 04:01

How COAI’s price can rally by 45% after hitting THIS key resistance

ambcrypto02/15 04:01

The 'True and False Prosperity' of Perpetual Contracts: Can You See Through It?

Perpetual futures (perps) have become a dominant force in crypto trading, with volumes surging to about 75% of spot trading activity. While cumulative perp trading volume doubled to $14 trillion in just the past six months—exceeding the total volume of the previous four years—this growth occurred even as the total crypto market cap fell nearly 40%. However, volume alone can be misleading. To better understand market depth and trader conviction, Open Interest (OI) is a critical metric. OI has tripled from ~$4B last February to ~$13B now, indicating increased capital commitment. The OI-to-volume ratio rose from 0.33x to 0.49x over the past year, though it fluctuated significantly—peaking at ~0.72x mid-year before dropping after a major liquidation event in October. At the protocol level, platforms like Hyperliquid show strong capital efficiency, converting over 45% of daily volume into open positions and generating a take rate of ~3.2 bps. Others, like Aster, prioritize capital retention over fee maximization. The key takeaway is that sustainable growth in perp markets depends not just on high volume, but on growing OI and converting trading activity into sticky, confident capital.

marsbit02/12 03:11

The 'True and False Prosperity' of Perpetual Contracts: Can You See Through It?

marsbit02/12 03:11

The 'True and False Prosperity' of Perpetual Contracts: Have You Seen Through It?

The article "Perpetual Contracts: Real or Illusory Boom?" examines the explosive growth of perpetual futures (perps) markets, arguing that trading volume alone is a misleading metric. While perps have become dominant—growing from 44% to 75% of DEX spot volume since February 2025—this surge doesn't necessarily reflect meaningful capital deployment. Key insights include: - Total perp volume doubled to $14 trillion in just six months, even as crypto market cap fell 40%. - Open Interest (OI), which measures unrealized risk exposure, only grew ~50% in that period, indicating much of the volume is from rapid capital recycling rather than new committed capital. - The OI/Volume ratio (a measure of capital efficiency) rose from 0.33x to 0.49x over the past year, but with significant volatility, including a sharp drop after a major liquidation event in October. - Protocol-level analysis shows Hyperliquid leads in capital efficiency (OI/Vol >45%) and fee generation (~3.2 bps take rate), while others like Aster prioritize capital retention over fees. The conclusion: True market health is best read by combining volume with OI and fee data. Sustainable platforms will be those that optimize for "conviction" (long-term capital) rather than just incentivized volume.

比推02/11 19:29

The 'True and False Prosperity' of Perpetual Contracts: Have You Seen Through It?

比推02/11 19:29

Trading Volume Hits New Highs Repeatedly, Why Is Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Experiencing a Tale of Extremes?

Amidst a declining broader market, the prediction market sector has shown remarkable resilience, with trading activity hitting record highs. Kalshi, the largest regulated prediction market platform in the U.S., reached over $9.5 billion in trading volume in January, ranking first in the sector and setting a new monthly record. This has sparked renewed discussions about the fair pre-IPO share price of Kalshi, which is poised to become the "first prediction market stock." Currently, significant price discrepancies exist on crypto-based pre-IPO trading platforms: PreStocks lists Kalshi shares between $364 and $369, while Jarsy shows a price of around $504. In traditional markets, Nasdaq Private Market prices shares at approximately $320, and Hiive at $358. Kalshi completed a Series E funding round last year at a $11 billion valuation. Based on this, the reasonable pre-IPO share price range is estimated to be between $320 and $358. However, considering Kalshi's dominant market share and January volume nearing the entire prediction market's size from October last year, its implied valuation could be at least $15 billion. This would adjust the reasonable share price range to approximately $320–$423. Thus, Jarsy's current pricing appears high, while PreStocks may present arbitrage opportunities. With 2026 being a major year for global sporting events, Kalshi's annual revenue potential is significant, likely exceeding earlier estimates for competitor Polymarket, which could further drive up its pre-IPO valuation in the future.

比推02/11 15:25

Trading Volume Hits New Highs Repeatedly, Why Is Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Experiencing a Tale of Extremes?

比推02/11 15:25

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

Amidst a declining crypto market, prediction markets have emerged as a standout sector. Kalshi, the largest regulated prediction market platform in the U.S., reached a record monthly trading volume exceeding $9.5 billion in January, sparking renewed interest in its pre-IPO stock pricing. Current pre-IPO share prices for Kalshi show significant discrepancies across platforms. On PreStocks, prices are around $369 (implied market cap) and $364 (capitalization-based). In contrast, Jarsy lists a price of approximately $504 per share. Meanwhile, traditional financial markets like Nasdaq Private Market and Hiive show prices around $320 and $358, respectively. Kalshi completed a Series E funding round last year at an $11 billion valuation. Based on this, a reasonable pre-IPO share price range is estimated to be $320–$358. However, considering its surging trading volume and a projected market capitalization of at least $15 billion, a more optimistic price range of $358–$423 is plausible. This suggests Jarsy's current pricing may be high, while PreStocks might present an arbitrage opportunity. With major sporting events in 6 expected to boost activity, Kalshi's annual revenue potential is significant, potentially exceeding earlier estimates for competitor Polymarket, which could further drive up its pre-IPO valuation.

marsbit02/11 10:57

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

marsbit02/11 10:57

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

Amidst a recent market downturn, the prediction market sector has shown remarkable resilience. Kalshi, the largest regulated prediction market platform in the US, reached a record single-month trading volume exceeding $9.5 billion in January, making it the sector leader. This surge has sparked renewed interest in pricing its pre-IPO shares. Significant price discrepancies exist across different pre-IPO trading platforms. On PreStocks, Kalshi shares are priced between $364 and $369. On Jarsy, the price is notably higher at around $504. In contrast, traditional private markets like Nasdaq Private Market and Hiive list shares at approximately $320 and $358, respectively. The analysis suggests a reasonable pre-IPO share price range for Kalshi is between $320 and $423. This is based on its last private funding round valuation of $11 billion and an estimated implied valuation of at least $15 billion, supported by its surging trading volume which now nearly equals the entire prediction market's size from October of the previous year. The article concludes that Jarsy's current price appears high, while PreStocks may present a potential arbitrage opportunity. Furthermore, with 2026 being a major year for global sporting events, Kalshi's annual revenue potential is seen as substantial, potentially exceeding estimates for competitor Polymarket, which could lead to further increases in its pre-IPO valuation.

Odaily星球日报02/11 10:44

Kalshi Trading Volume Continues to Break Records, What Is the Reasonable Pre-Market Stock Price?

Odaily星球日报02/11 10:44

Hyperliquid Surpasses Coinbase with Twice Its 2025 Notional Trading Volume

Hyperliquid, a decentralized perpetual futures exchange, has surpassed Coinbase in 2025 notional trading volume, handling $2.6 trillion compared to Coinbase's $1.4 trillion. This highlights a significant shift towards decentralized trading platforms. The exchange's native token, HYPE, has also seen a 31.7% price increase this year, while Coinbase shares declined 27%. Despite a recent 7% drop in HYPE's value to $29.99, largely long-position liquidations of $4.41 million, the platform continues to demonstrate strong performance with high volume and open interest. The growing discussion around Hyperliquid underscores the rising prominence of decentralized exchanges in the crypto derivatives market.

TheNewsCrypto02/10 09:39

Hyperliquid Surpasses Coinbase with Twice Its 2025 Notional Trading Volume

TheNewsCrypto02/10 09:39

Was the Prediction Market the Biggest Winner of This Year's Super Bowl?

This year's Super Bowl marked a potential turning point, with prediction markets emerging as a serious competitor to traditional sports betting. Platforms Kalshi and Polymarket offered markets on the game, halftime show, and ads. While the American Gaming Association projected a record $1.76 billion in traditional sports bets, an analyst estimated prediction markets could capture 80% of the year-over-year growth, with a forecast of $630 million in volume for the event. However, available data suggests prediction markets fell short of this forecast. Kalshi's top Super Bowl-specific markets saw a combined volume of approximately $233 million. Its season-long "Who will win the Super Bowl" contract accumulated over $500 million in volume, but this was spread over the entire NFL season. Kalshi's significant growth is aided by its CFTC regulatory status, allowing a US mobile app, leading to 1.9 million downloads in January alone. Polymarket, lacking direct US app access for most users, saw about $76 million in volume across its top three Super Bowl markets. Its strength was demonstrated in information discovery, as its market accurately predicted Lady Gaga's surprise halftime show appearance days in advance. The activity occurs amidst an unresolved regulatory conflict, with Kalshi operating under federal CFTC oversight while state gaming regulators challenge it in court. Although prediction markets did not meet the $630 million hype for the Super Bowl weekend, their rapid user growth and informational advantages present a clear and growing threat to established sportsbooks.

比推02/10 01:02

Was the Prediction Market the Biggest Winner of This Year's Super Bowl?

比推02/10 01:02

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