Can Bitcoin hold its ground after low activity, rising RVTS signal market imbalance?
Bitcoin is exhibiting a state of market imbalance, with its price holding firm near $66,940 despite a significant decline in on-chain network usage. This divergence is highlighted by the Realized Value Transaction Volume (RVTS) Ratio reaching a record high of 85, indicating that adjusted on-chain volume is shrinking relative to valuation. The current phase suggests that price discovery is being driven more by derivatives and liquidity flows rather than spot market activity, as capital circulates off-chain.
Historically, such high RVTS levels have occurred during low-participation phases, often near cycle bottoms. However, the current reading exceeds previous spikes, pointing to deeper structural apathy. Despite this, the compression often precedes accumulation, as weaker hands exit and stronger, long-term holders absorb supply. Long-Term Holder supply has increased to 14.90 million BTC, while exchange reserves remain near multi-year lows at around 2.7 million BTC, reducing sell pressure.
Although the market shows resilience and a tightening supply structure, a meaningful price upside still depends on the return of stronger demand and participation. For now, Bitcoin's stability appears sustained by positioning rather than organic network activity.
ambcrypto04/04 15:02
