# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Elections

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Elections", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Is the Crypto Market Doomed to Face Pressure in Q1? Progress of the CLARITY Act Becomes a Key Factor

The CLARITY Act, introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives on May 29, 2025, aims to provide regulatory clarity for the digital asset market. It is currently stalled in the Senate after being received and referred to committee. Market participants are concerned that without significant progress in Q1, the bill faces increasing obstacles. Key reasons include the limited legislative window in the Senate from January to March, which is typically reserved for complex, non-urgent bills like CLARITY. If no substantive committee action occurs in January, the bill risks being sidelined by the legislative schedule. The Act is not a minor policy adjustment but a restructuring of regulatory authority, making it slow-moving, highly amendable, and prone to delays rather than outright rejection. If delayed until after the midterm elections, its prospects become even more uncertain due to potential shifts in Congressional power. Should Democrats gain influence post-election, the bill’s chances would likely decrease. Democratic leadership generally favors broader SEC authority, regulatory flexibility, and is hesitant to limit enforcement discretion—contrary to CLARITY’s goal of defining regulatory boundaries and reducing regulation by enforcement. In a Democrat-led Senate, the bill could be substantially rewritten, broken into smaller pieces, or indefinitely postponed. These factors explain the anxiety among U.S. crypto stakeholders and contribute to current market pessimism.

marsbit01/13 10:08

Is the Crypto Market Doomed to Face Pressure in Q1? Progress of the CLARITY Act Becomes a Key Factor

marsbit01/13 10:08

When Polymarket Enters the Dow Jones, Prediction Markets Are Becoming Part of Serious News

Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has entered into an exclusive partnership with Dow Jones Media Group. Under the agreement, Polymarket’s real-time prediction probabilities will become the sole source of prediction market data across all Dow Jones consumer platforms, including dedicated data modules, event pages, and customized earnings calendars. This integration will reach audiences of major financial publications such as The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and MarketWatch. The collaboration signals a significant shift in how news is presented, moving beyond traditional expert analysis and polls to incorporate crowd-sourced, money-backed probabilistic forecasts on elections, economic trends, and cultural events. This endorsement from a highly credible financial news organization suggests prediction markets are increasingly viewed as serious informational tools rather than mere gambling platforms. 2025 has been a breakthrough year for prediction markets, with Polymarket and competitor Kalshi recording nearly $40 billion in trading volume and achieving multibillion-dollar valuations. Polymarket’s notably accurate predictions during the 2024 U.S. elections—where it consistently projected a Trump victory with high certainty—demonstrated the effectiveness of incentive-driven crowd wisdom. However, regulatory challenges remain. While Kalshi holds a CFTC license, it faces legal scrutiny in states like Nevada, where prediction markets are still considered unlicensed gambling. Polymarket has also encountered criticism around potential insider trading, highlighting the lack of clear regulatory frameworks. Despite these issues, the Dow Jones partnership marks a major step toward the mainstream acceptance of prediction markets as a credible supplement to traditional news.

Odaily星球日报01/13 07:27

When Polymarket Enters the Dow Jones, Prediction Markets Are Becoming Part of Serious News

Odaily星球日报01/13 07:27

2026 US Crypto Policy: Keep an Eye on These Six Key Milestones

The year 2026 is poised to be a pivotal period for US cryptocurrency policy, marked by six key dates. The policy revolution initiated under President Trump's second term is expected to continue, with major legislative and regulatory actions scheduled throughout the year. In January, the Senate is anticipated to hold hearings on the market structure bill, aiming to resolve the regulatory turf war between the SEC and CFTC. Additionally, SEC Chair Paul Atkins is expected to introduce an "innovation exemption" for new technologies. On May 15, the term of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ends. President Trump is likely to appoint a more dovish successor, whose monetary policy decisions could significantly impact crypto markets and inflation. A new crypto licensing law, the Digital Financial Assets Law, takes effect in California on July 1, potentially setting a precedent for other states. By July 18 deadline, federal and state regulators must issue supplementary rules for the recently passed stablecoin legislation (the Genius Act), covering areas like licensing and anti-money laundering. This process is already facing contention from banks and industry groups. By the end of August, two key developments are expected: the potential passage of crypto tax legislation (the Parity Act) addressing staking and small transactions, and the finalization of CFTC rules on blockchain technology applications in capital markets. The November 3 midterm elections represent the most significant variable. The current pro-industry "golden age" in Washington, facilitated by a Republican-controlled Congress, could end if Democrats regain control of either chamber, drastically reducing the likelihood of future crypto-friendly legislation. The passage of any pending bills too close to this date carries a high risk of stalling.

比推01/02 04:52

2026 US Crypto Policy: Keep an Eye on These Six Key Milestones

比推01/02 04:52

活动图片