# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Elections

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Elections", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

A new wave of ETF applications has been submitted to the SEC by asset managers including Bitwise, GraniteShares, and Roundhill Investments. These ETFs aim to track the outcomes of U.S. political elections—such as the 2028 presidential race and 2026 midterm control of Congress—by packaging prediction market contracts into tradable securities. This would allow mainstream investors to use traditional brokerage accounts to bet on electoral results, similar to platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi, but within the regulated financial system. Prediction markets aggregate crowd-sourced probabilities through financial incentives, often demonstrating stronger predictive accuracy than traditional polls, as seen during the 2024 U.S. election. The proposed ETFs would reflect binary event probabilities, with share prices fluctuating between $0 and $1. If the predicted outcome occurs, the ETF value approaches $1; otherwise, it nears zero. Most funds would liquidate after the event settles. This move could significantly broaden participation and liquidity, potentially making prediction markets a tool for hedging policy risks or macro strategies. However, it also raises regulatory and ethical concerns, including potential market influence on public perception and the risk of manipulation. The SEC’s approval remains uncertain, as it may view these products as blurring the line between investing and gambling. The outcome of these applications could signal a major shift in how probabilistic events are traded and perceived in mainstream finance.

Odaily星球日报02/22 12:43

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

Odaily星球日报02/22 12:43

Hyperliquid unveils lobbying arm ahead of U.S. elections – Details

Hyperliquid, a leading perpetual DEX, has launched a lobbying group called the Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) ahead of the U.S. elections. Led by pro-crypto lawyer Jake Chervinsky, HPC aims to address regulatory challenges in DeFi and perpetual derivatives markets. The project is funding the initiative with 1 million HYPE tokens, worth approximately $29 million, to advocate for laws that protect users and builders. Founder Jeff Yan emphasized the importance of U.S. financial regulation in democratizing finance. Despite Hyperliquid's success—with over $1 billion in revenue and $4 trillion in trading volume—concerns exist about regulatory risks, including potential tax evasion or sanctions bypassing by traders. Analysts suggest the move may be a precaution against possible anti-crypto policies if Democrats regain congressional control, which could heighten regulatory scrutiny.

ambcrypto02/19 19:02

Hyperliquid unveils lobbying arm ahead of U.S. elections – Details

ambcrypto02/19 19:02

Bitwise files for prediction market ETF: Election bets to go mainstream?

Bitwise has filed for a prediction market ETF called "PredictionShares," focusing on event contracts tied to U.S. election outcomes in 2026 and 2028. This move follows a similar filing by Roundhill Investments, signaling growing interest from TradFi in crypto-based prediction markets. Analysts expect more players to enter the space, citing the "ETF-ization of everything." The segment saw record growth, reaching $12.4 billion in monthly volume in January. However, regulatory uncertainty persists: the CFTC supports these markets as hedging tools, while many states view them as gambling and seek stricter oversight.

ambcrypto02/18 17:02

Bitwise files for prediction market ETF: Election bets to go mainstream?

ambcrypto02/18 17:02

Crypto super PAC Fairshake moves to unseat Democrats over state crypto votes

Fairshake, a crypto-funded super PAC, is intervening in Democratic House primaries in Illinois, targeting candidates who supported state-level digital asset regulations. Campaign filings reveal the group has booked ads in Illinois’ 7th Congressional District, focusing on state Rep. La Shawn Ford, who voted for a 2025 state law imposing new compliance rules on crypto firms. Fairshake is also reportedly targeting state Sen. Robert Peters for supporting the same legislation. The super PAC criticizes such state rules as "draconian" and argues they create a patchwork of regulations that harm U.S. competitiveness. Backed by major crypto firms like Coinbase and Ripple, Fairshake has a $190 million war chest and is part of a broader national effort to influence the 2026 congressional elections, including spending against critics like Rep. Al Green. This move highlights how state crypto votes are becoming a key issue in federal primaries, amid ongoing debates over federal vs. state oversight of digital assets.

ambcrypto02/17 23:55

Crypto super PAC Fairshake moves to unseat Democrats over state crypto votes

ambcrypto02/17 23:55

Crypto And The 2026 Elections: By The Numbers And What Lies Ahead

The cryptocurrency industry is preparing to significantly influence the 2026 midterm elections, building on its role in the 2024 cycle. The leading crypto-aligned super PAC, Fairshake, entered 2026 with over $193 million in cash. It is already targeting key races, such as supporting Republican Barry Moore for Senate in Alabama and opposing Democratic Representative Al Green in Texas. The industry's political spending, which reached nearly $180 million in the last cycle, aims to secure regulatory clarity. While it achieved a victory with the stablecoin-focused GENIUS Act, its top priority—the broader CLARITY Act for market structure—remains stalled in the Senate. Critics question the use of "unregulated money" in elections, but advocates argue the spending is necessary to push for responsible regulation and innovation.

bitcoinist02/17 11:32

Crypto And The 2026 Elections: By The Numbers And What Lies Ahead

bitcoinist02/17 11:32

White House Crypto Adviser Warns Time Is Running Out To Pass CLARITY Act

White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt warns that time is running out to pass the CLARITY Act, a key crypto market structure bill, as the 2026 midterm elections approach and political focus shifts. Bipartisan consensus remains elusive, with stablecoin regulation—particularly whether they should be allowed to offer yield—being a major sticking point. Banking industry leaders fear deposit outflows without clear rules. Despite delays, the administration continues to refine the proposal. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong remains optimistic, predicting legislation within months and calling for a "win-win" outcome for banks, crypto firms, and the public.

bitcoinist02/14 00:31

White House Crypto Adviser Warns Time Is Running Out To Pass CLARITY Act

bitcoinist02/14 00:31

Takaichi’s Victory Sends Nikkei to Records as Bitcoin Reclaims $72K; What this Means for $HYPER

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's decisive election victory and a $135B stimulus package propelled the Nikkei to record highs, boosting global risk appetite. Bitcoin reclaimed $71K amid this bullish sentiment, though volatility from ETF flows remains a concern. The article highlights that macro rallies often benefit Bitcoin infrastructure projects, leading to a discussion on Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER). Positioned as a Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, it aims to solve scalability and speed issues for DeFi and apps. The project's presale has raised over $31M, attracting significant whale interest, indicating growing confidence in its potential to enhance Bitcoin's utility.

bitcoinist02/09 14:49

Takaichi’s Victory Sends Nikkei to Records as Bitcoin Reclaims $72K; What this Means for $HYPER

bitcoinist02/09 14:49

From Bitcoin Core to Trump's Cabinet: Uncovering Epstein, Peter Thiel, and Putin's Crypto Power Network

From Bitcoin Core to Trump's Cabinet: Uncovering Epstein, Peter Thiel, and Putin's Crypto Power Network This investigation reveals how Jeffrey Epstein leveraged his international connections to position cryptocurrency at the center of geopolitics. Through recently disclosed emails, the article traces the complex ties between Epstein, Silicon Valley billionaire Peter Thiel, former Trump strategist Steve Bannon, and high-ranking Russian officials. Epstein advised Russia to use Bitcoin to achieve a "leapfrog" reshaping of the global financial system, provided critical funding to Blockstream to sustain Bitcoin Core development, and was deeply involved in Thiel's venture capital firm. These early crypto-political maneuvers, now influencing global elections and state power through figures like J.D. Vance, represent Epstein's most隐秘 and damaging legacy. The network connected Kremlin interests, far-right populist movements, and Silicon Valley's anti-regulatory ideology, using cryptocurrency as a tool for political disruption and unaccountable financial influence.

marsbit02/09 13:24

From Bitcoin Core to Trump's Cabinet: Uncovering Epstein, Peter Thiel, and Putin's Crypto Power Network

marsbit02/09 13:24

How Senate Democrats pushed CLARITY Act approval odds to 72%

Following a reportedly positive and productive meeting among Senate Democrats, market optimism surged regarding the passage of the CLARITY Act, a key crypto market structure bill. Prediction market Polymarket showed approval odds jumping to 72% on February 4th. Journalists cited that the effort, once considered nearly dead, is now very much alive, with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer described as "very desperate" to get the bill passed, influenced by a $193 million war chest from a crypto PAC ahead of elections. A critical White House-led negotiation is ongoing, with a end-of-February deadline set to resolve the key sticking point: stablecoin yields. If a compromise is reached, a Senate committee vote could occur in March. Market odds have fluctuated, briefly dipping to 64%, but analysts believe the bill's progress could help stabilize the crypto market.

ambcrypto02/05 12:01

How Senate Democrats pushed CLARITY Act approval odds to 72%

ambcrypto02/05 12:01

Fairshake Raises $193 Million as Crypto Firms Prepare for 2026 Midterm Elections

Fairshake, the largest crypto-backed political action committee (PAC), has raised $193 million in preparation for the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. Major contributors include Ripple, Andreessen Horowitz, and Coinbase. The group supports candidates based on their stance toward cryptocurrency, aiming to influence lawmakers to back clear crypto regulations. It operates through affiliated groups supporting both Democrats and Republicans who are crypto-friendly. Key legislative priorities include the stalled Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, which defines regulatory roles and rules for crypto companies. Fairshake is mobilizing early to prevent further delays in crypto legislation, particularly if Democrats gain congressional control, and to protect the industry from becoming a political target. The effort underscores crypto’s growing influence in U.S. politics.

TheNewsCrypto01/29 11:36

Fairshake Raises $193 Million as Crypto Firms Prepare for 2026 Midterm Elections

TheNewsCrypto01/29 11:36

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