# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Dovish

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Dovish", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Will the Fed Still Cut Interest Rates? Tonight's Data Is Crucial

The core debate surrounding the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts is intensifying amid geopolitical conflict and rebounding inflation. The key question is whether high energy prices will cause persistent inflation or weaken consumer demand enough to force the Fed to cut rates. Citigroup presents a bullish case for cuts, arguing that oil supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz are temporary and will not lead to lasting inflationary pressure. They point to receding bond yields and oil prices as evidence the market is pricing in a short-lived shock. Citi's data also shows tightening financial conditions, a stabilizing labor market, and healthy tax returns, supporting their view that the path to lower rates remains open. Conversely, Deutsche Bank offers a starkly contrasting, more hawkish outlook. They argue the Fed's current policy is already neutral and expect rates to remain unchanged indefinitely. Their view is based on stalled disinflation progress and a shift toward more hawkish rhetoric from key Fed officials like Waller, who cited risks from prolonged Middle East conflict and tariffs. Other officials, including Williams and Hammack, signaled rates would likely stay on hold for a "considerable time." The market pricing has shifted dramatically, now forecasting zero cuts in 2026. The imminent release of the March retail sales "control group" data is highlighted as a critical test. This metric, which excludes gas station sales, will reveal if high gasoline prices are eroding consumer spending in other areas. A weak reading could support the case for imminent rate cuts, while a strong one would bolster the argument for the Fed to hold steady. This data is pivotal for determining the near-term policy path.

marsbit04/21 02:47

Will the Fed Still Cut Interest Rates? Tonight's Data Is Crucial

marsbit04/21 02:47

The Eve of the Storm: Powell Holds Rates, Trump Announces New Fed Chair?

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady in its first policy decision of 2026, with markets pricing in a near-100% probability of no change. While this outcome is largely anticipated, the focus has shifted to future policy direction and the potential announcement of a new Fed Chair by former President Trump. Key uncertainties remain regarding the pace of potential rate cuts in 2026. Although the Fed began a rate-cutting cycle in late 2025 due to a softening labor market, persistent inflation at 2.8%—above the 2% target—has led to a more cautious stance. The composition of the voting members on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has also shifted, with two new "hawkish" regional bank presidents joining, which may influence future decisions. Chair Powell’s post-meeting remarks will be closely watched for signals on the duration of the pause and the likelihood of further easing. Simultaneously, Trump has indicated he may soon nominate a new Fed Chair, with candidates narrowed down to four individuals. Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income and a proponent of lower rates, is currently the betting favorite. Trump may choose to announce his nominee around the time of the FOMC meeting to shift market attention away from any potentially hawkish signals from Powell and instead emphasize a more dovish long-term outlook. The timing and choice of nominee could significantly influence market sentiment and expectations for monetary policy.

Odaily星球日报01/28 11:33

The Eve of the Storm: Powell Holds Rates, Trump Announces New Fed Chair?

Odaily星球日报01/28 11:33

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