# Сопутствующие статьи по теме CVDD Metric

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "CVDD Metric", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

The article analyzes the shifting effectiveness of traditional Bitcoin bottom-buying indicators and proposes new metrics to identify potential market bottoms. Four classic indicators are discussed: - **MVRV Z-Score** (currently ~1.31) is distorted by institutional holdings, making historical "extreme negative" values unlikely. - **Ahr999 Index** has remained below 0.45 for nearly 50 days, but its long-term predictive power has diminished due to macro factors. - **SOPR Metrics** show STH-SOPR consistently below 1 (bearish), while LTH-SOPR remains between 0.75–1, indicating no full capitulation. - **Mayer Multiple** (price/200-day MA) has also stayed below 0.8 for 50 days but lacks consistent predictive strength. Three alternative indicators are suggested: 1. **CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed)**: Models a historical "iron bottom" near $45,000. 2. **NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)**: Currently at 0.2; negative values often signal market bottoms. 3. **Stablecoin Exchange Netflow**: Sustained inflows of USDT/USDC to exchanges typically precede rebounds by 2–4 weeks, but current outflows suggest no immediate bottom. The conclusion emphasizes that indicators are reference tools, not guarantees, and cautions that widespread public euphoria (e.g., mainstream adoption talks) may signal a sell opportunity rather than a buy.

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

Analyst warns Bitcoin may enter ‘new redistribution phase’ – $63,700 next?

The crypto market is experiencing cooling volatility after a period of heightened tension. Bitcoin, which peaked at $73,000 amid the US-Iran conflict, is now in a corrective phase, trading around $67,174. Analysts highlight $63,700 as a critical on-chain support level; a break below could lead to further declines toward $57,000 or even $52,400. A drop to $48,700 would signal a stronger correction and challenge the medium-term bullish outlook. Analyst Joao Wedson warns that losing key structural levels may mark the start of a "new redistribution phase." Bitcoin's current trading range ($67k–$74k) places it in a "high heat" zone, indicating a stretched market. However, long-term holders remain calm, with the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) metric at 0.34—well below the 2.0 level typical of market tops—suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. Short-term signals remain weak, with the MVRV Ratio near -10%, indicating unrealized losses for recent buyers. Market sentiment reflects "Extreme Fear," with a reading of 12 on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Upcoming geopolitical developments, particularly potential Middle East ceasefire talks, could influence Bitcoin's direction. A ceasefire may boost risk appetite, while prolonged tensions could favor traditional safe-haven assets, potentially limiting Bitcoin's upside above $70,000.

ambcrypto03/08 11:01

Analyst warns Bitcoin may enter ‘new redistribution phase’ – $63,700 next?

ambcrypto03/08 11:01

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