# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Crypto

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Crypto", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoiners Celebrate ‘Genesis Day’ As US Debt Swells Past $38 Trillion

The US federal debt surpassed $38 trillion on January 3, 2026, coinciding with the Bitcoin community's observance of Genesis Day—the anniversary of Bitcoin's first block mined in 2009. The timing highlighted a contrast between rising public debt and Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins. Treasury data shows the debt has grown sharply from $34 trillion in early 2024, increasing by about $6 billion daily due to sustained deficits, higher interest payments, and government spending. Economists warn that rising debt could crowd out other fiscal priorities, while some investors view Bitcoin as a hedge against fiscal risks. Bitcoin was trading near $91,487 amid the discussions.

bitcoinist01/04 17:02

Bitcoiners Celebrate ‘Genesis Day’ As US Debt Swells Past $38 Trillion

bitcoinist01/04 17:02

Venezuela Attack: US Lawmaker To Introduce Prediction Market Bill Targeting Insider Trading

US Representative Ritchie Torres plans to introduce a bill banning government officials from insider trading on prediction markets. This follows reports that three recently created wallets netted over $630,000 in profits on Polymarket by betting on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro just hours before a US military operation. The proposed "Public Integrity In Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026" would prohibit federal officials from trading prediction contracts when possessing nonpublic government information. Meanwhile, the crypto market remained resilient, with Bitcoin rising 2.13% to $91,414 and the total market cap reaching $3.08 trillion.

bitcoinist01/04 15:04

Venezuela Attack: US Lawmaker To Introduce Prediction Market Bill Targeting Insider Trading

bitcoinist01/04 15:04

Render eyes $1.90 as AI tokens heat up – Traders, THIS may come first!

Render (RNDR), a leading AI token, surged 16.55% in a day and 24% in a week amid growing interest in the AI and big data crypto sector, which saw a 14% increase in market cap. While Bitcoin dominance dipped slightly, suggesting potential altcoin strength, Render's long-term trend remains bearish with key resistance at $1.90 and $2.82. The recent rally, fueled by speculative interest and low weekend liquidity, may not be sustainable. Traders are advised to take profits near resistance and consider re-entering on a pullback to $1.50 or a confirmed breakout above $1.90. The AI sector could continue rising short-term, but caution is urged due to volatility.

ambcrypto01/04 13:08

Render eyes $1.90 as AI tokens heat up – Traders, THIS may come first!

ambcrypto01/04 13:08

Based on a16z's Annual Predictions, Which Crypto Projects Are Worth Watching?

Based on a16z's 2026 predictions, several key crypto sectors and projects are worth watching. 1. **Payments & Stablecoins**: Stablecoins are becoming the internet's settlement layer. Key projects include Circle (USDC) for regulatory compliance, m0 for zero-fee USDC issuance, Ether_fi and Plasma as crypto-native neobanks, and x402 for agent-native programmable payments. 2. **RWA & On-Chain Credit**: The focus shifts from tokenization to native on-chain credit origination for efficiency. Projects to watch: Centrifuge, Blackrock's BUIDL, Maple, Plume, Pendle, Ondo, and Backed. 3. **AI Agents & Payments**: As autonomous AI agents transact, payments must become internet-native, instant, and programmable. Key players: Catena (KYA standards), Nevermined (data markets), KiteAI, ASI, EigenCloud, Fetch, and x402 implementations. 4. **Privacy**: Privacy creates user lock-in and becomes a key moat. Projects: Aztec, Nillion, Arcium, Aleo, Walrus/Seal (Sui), Payy_link, Zcash, and Monero. 5. **Security**: The shift from "code is law" to "spec is law" requires runtime enforcement and continuous monitoring. Leaders: OpenZeppelin, Trailofbits, SpearbitDAO, Cyfrin, and Immunefi. 6. **Prediction Markets**: Evolving from niche betting to real-time information infrastructure. Top platforms: Polymarket, Kalshi, FractionAI, Opinion, and Myriad Markets. 7. **zkVMs & Verifiable Computation**: zkVMs are making verifiable computation a viable systems primitive. Key projects: RiscZero, Succinct, Brevis_zk, Axiom_xyz, and ZKML stacks. 8. **On-Chain Wealth Management**: Active, personalized portfolio management becomes automated and ubiquitous. Watch: Veda, Upshift, Midas, Base (Coinbase), Morpho, and Infinit.

marsbit01/04 11:38

Based on a16z's Annual Predictions, Which Crypto Projects Are Worth Watching?

marsbit01/04 11:38

Here’s How Much BlackRock Spent Buying Bitcoin And Ethereum In 2025

BlackRock significantly expanded its cryptocurrency holdings in 2025, accumulating an additional $23.52 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Its total crypto portfolio grew from $54.83 billion at the start of the year to approximately $78.36 billion by January 2026, a 43% increase. The firm increased its Bitcoin holdings by 217,740 BTC (39% growth), reaching 770,290 BTC valued at $68.05 billion. Ethereum holdings saw even more substantial growth, rising 224% to 3.47 million ETH worth $10.31 billion. This aggressive accumulation was largely driven by strong institutional demand and persistent inflows into BlackRock's spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, despite market volatility and price corrections throughout the year.

bitcoinist01/04 10:59

Here’s How Much BlackRock Spent Buying Bitcoin And Ethereum In 2025

bitcoinist01/04 10:59

AI Prediction Record: Want to Make Money in Prediction Markets with AI? But It Might Not Even Have Read the Question Clearly

An experiment tested whether AI (Gemini 2.5 Pro and Grok 4 Fast) could profitably predict outcomes on crypto prediction markets, pitting it against successful human traders. The AIs were given event titles, descriptions, and answer choices (Yes/No), with instructions to use web searches for news and expert analysis while ignoring market data. They were to reason logically and output only a final answer. After 21 settled predictions, Grok achieved the highest win rate at 75%, outperforming the humans (66.7%) and Gemini (52.4%). However, analysis revealed significant flaws in the AI's reasoning: * **Temporal Confusion:** Gemini sometimes misjudged the current date, leading to erroneous conclusions. * **Lack of Depth:** Grok often relied on immediate, surface-level information instead of identifying deeper patterns or historical context. * **Over-reliance on Assumption:** Gemini occasionally based predictions on subjective common-sense assumptions rather than the specific evidence found. * **Misinterpreting Conditions:** Both AIs sometimes failed to correctly parse the precise settlement criteria for a market, leading to logical errors despite having the correct information. The conclusion is that while Grok's win rate was impressive, its underlying reasoning process is often flawed and requires significant refinement to be reliably profitable.

Odaily星球日报01/04 10:54

AI Prediction Record: Want to Make Money in Prediction Markets with AI? But It Might Not Even Have Read the Question Clearly

Odaily星球日报01/04 10:54

Can Ethereum Reach $25,000 in 2026? Bullish Executives Told To ‘Pay Up’ After Missing Prediction Bets

Ethereum investors are debating ambitious price targets after a high-profile bet by Infinex founder Kain Warwick expired unfulfilled. Warwick had wagered $50,000 that ETH would reach $25,000 by the end of 2025, but the price fell short by over 700%, currently trading around $3,047. The bet, made against Multicoin Capital’s Kyle Samani, has reignited discussions about Ethereum’s potential to reach such levels by 2026. ChatGPT suggested that a move to $25,000 would require a fundamental repricing of Ethereum’s value, driven by sustained on-chain growth, institutional adoption, and a supportive macro environment. In contrast, Grok was more skeptical, arguing that Ethereum’s already mature and that catalysts like ETFs and upgrades may not justify a 7-8x price increase. Technical analysis also indicates near-term downside risk, with potential declines toward $2,500 due to rising exchange reserves.

ccn.com01/04 10:24

Can Ethereum Reach $25,000 in 2026? Bullish Executives Told To ‘Pay Up’ After Missing Prediction Bets

ccn.com01/04 10:24

Bitcoin news: MSTR’s Q4 losses revive flash-crash fears for BTC

The article discusses concerns surrounding MicroStrategy (MSTR) following its anticipated multi-billion-dollar Q4 loss, which has revived fears of a potential Bitcoin flash crash in early 2026. Despite a recent 3.43% rally in MSTR's stock at the start of the year, the company faces significant challenges after Bitcoin’s 24% decline in Q4 erased a $2.8 billion profit from Q3. MSTR shares fell 48% in 2025 and remain 70% below their November 2024 peak. Analysts project full-year operating results ranging from a $7 billion loss to a $9.5 billion profit, with expectations leaning toward the lower end due to Bitcoin’s year-end price of around $87,600. The article highlights MSTR’s technical weakness, including its first six-month losing streak since adopting its Bitcoin strategy in 2020, resulting in a cumulative loss of 134%. Given market caution and Bitcoin’s 25% drop from pre-October crash highs, the sustainability of MSTR’s Bitcoin-heavy model is in question, and another flash crash remains a possibility.

ambcrypto01/04 09:28

Bitcoin news: MSTR’s Q4 losses revive flash-crash fears for BTC

ambcrypto01/04 09:28

AI Prediction Record: Want to Make Money in Prediction Markets with AI? But It Might Not Even Have Read the Question Clearly

Based on an experiment comparing AI predictions against human "smart money" on Polymarket, this article investigates whether AI can reliably profit in prediction markets. The author tested Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro and xAI's Grok (via OpenRouter), both equipped with web search, on 21 resolved non-crypto market questions. The core finding is a divergence in performance: Grok achieved the highest win rate at 75%, outperforming humans (66.7%) and significantly beating Gemini (52.4%). However, a detailed analysis of the AI's reasoning revealed critical flaws. Gemini frequently misjudged the current date, leading to erroneous conclusions. Both models sometimes relied on superficial or commonsense assumptions instead of deep, evidence-based logic. A major failure mode was misinterpreting the specific settlement conditions of a market, such as confusing "any files" with "all files" being released. While Grok's results are promising, the experiment concludes that AI often fails to fully comprehend the question's nuances, highlighting a significant gap between raw information retrieval and true contextual understanding needed for reliable prediction.

marsbit01/04 08:59

AI Prediction Record: Want to Make Money in Prediction Markets with AI? But It Might Not Even Have Read the Question Clearly

marsbit01/04 08:59

When War Is Settled Before the News: How Prediction Markets 'Priced' Maduro's Capture Six Days in Advance

"Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, demonstrated their ability to forecast major geopolitical events ahead of official announcements, as illustrated by the fictional yet plausible account of insider trading prior to the U.S. military operation that captured Venezuelan President Maduro in early January 2026. According to the article, several anonymous accounts on Polymarket placed large bets days before the actual event, with one address initiating trades as early as December 27, 2025—six days before the operation occurred. These insiders, likely individuals with access to classified U.S. government or military intelligence, collectively profited over $630,000. The piece highlights how Polymarket’s structure—anonymous, non-KYC, and crypto-settled—enables such trades with minimal risk of exposure. While prediction markets can serve as decentralized early-warning systems for the public, they also raise serious concerns about national security and insider trading. The incident may prompt stricter U.S. regulatory measures, such as the proposed 'Predictive Markets Integrity Act,' aimed at preventing officials from trading on non-public information. The tension between market transparency and state secrecy underscores a growing challenge: when prediction markets outpace official narratives, they risk disrupting traditional information control and operational security."

Odaily星球日报01/04 07:44

When War Is Settled Before the News: How Prediction Markets 'Priced' Maduro's Capture Six Days in Advance

Odaily星球日报01/04 07:44

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