# Сопутствующие статьи по теме BTC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "BTC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

MACD Real Backtest: Can Technical Indicators Lead You to Profit?

Based on a comprehensive 5-year backtest of the MACD trading strategy on BTC and ETH, this analysis delivers a sobering reality check for traders. The key finding is that 90% of short-term trading activity, particularly lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h), underperforms a simple "buy and hold" strategy due to transaction costs, noise, and psychological strain. The "benchmark" returns for simply holding the assets were +48.86% for BTC and +53.00% for ETH. The data reveals that MACD strategy performance is highly dependent on timeframe and leverage: * **Short Timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h):** Nearly all configurations resulted in significant losses or complete liquidation (-100%), severely underperforming the buy-and-hold benchmark. * **4-Hour Timeframe:** This was the only timeframe where the MACD strategy consistently generated alpha. * **BTC 4h (1x leverage):** ~+96% return, successfully outperforming buy-and-hold by avoiding major bear markets. * **ETH 4h (1x leverage):** ~+205% return, dramatically outperforming its buy-and-hold benchmark due to ETH's strong trend-following characteristics. * **Leverage Impact:** Leverage (2x, 3x) on the 4h timeframe amplified these gains effectively (e.g., ETH 4h 3x leverage yielded +552%). However, higher leverage (5x) often led to diminished returns due to funding fees and volatility decay, despite increased risk. The "Death Matrix" of results shows that short-term, high-leverage trading is akin to gambling" with a near-certain outcome of failure. The final recommendation is clear: for most investors, a buy-and-hold strategy is superior to active trading on low timeframes. For those seeking to outperform, the only viable approach is applying moderate leverage (2x-3x) exclusively on the 4-hour timeframe, with ETH presenting the best opportunity for significant excess returns.

marsbit01/17 08:45

MACD Real Backtest: Can Technical Indicators Lead You to Profit?

marsbit01/17 08:45

Japan’s gold reserves jumped 60% in 2025 – Is that good or bad for Bitcoin?

The 2025 market cycle highlighted a significant divergence between gold and Bitcoin, with gold (XAU) rising 12% in Q4 while Bitcoin (BTC) fell 23%. Over 12 months, gold surged 65% compared to BTC’s 6.3% decline, resetting the BTC/XAU ratio to pre-election levels. This shift was driven by macro uncertainty, including Trump’s tariff threats, which boosted traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Japan’s economic struggles, including high debt and inflation, led its gold reserves to jump 60% YoY to $120 billion, doubling since 2022. This reinforced gold’s safe-haven appeal and created rotational pressure on Bitcoin. With the Bank of Japan (BOJ) considering a rate hike, further capital flow from BTC to gold appears likely, keeping the focus on macro dynamics and safe-haven demand.

ambcrypto01/16 16:02

Japan’s gold reserves jumped 60% in 2025 – Is that good or bad for Bitcoin?

ambcrypto01/16 16:02

Strategy stock jumps 6% as insider buys $780K – Will MSTR rally now?

MicroStrategy's (MSTR) stock surged 6.34% to $179.33, driven by a significant insider purchase and a rally in Bitcoin above $95,000. Director Carl Rickertsen bought 5,000 shares worth $780,000, marking his first open-market purchase since 2022. This signals leadership confidence after a 68% pullback from 2024 highs. Wall Street analysts project a bullish average 12-month price target of $448.18, implying nearly 150% upside. The company also expanded its Bitcoin holdings to 687,410 BTC. A major liquidity overhang was removed after MSCI postponed a decision that could have triggered $8.8 billion in forced selling, allowing MSTR to remain in key indexes.

ambcrypto01/15 19:02

Strategy stock jumps 6% as insider buys $780K – Will MSTR rally now?

ambcrypto01/15 19:02

Bitcoin reclaims $97K – Why this BTC breakout still looks fragile

Bitcoin briefly reclaimed the $97,000 level, a key resistance point not seen in two months, following a delayed Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and a hotter-than-expected PPI report. The rally triggered a $275 million short squeeze and boosted market sentiment. However, the breakout is considered fragile, driven by a temporary alignment of macro stability and strong ETF inflows. With the FOMC meeting approaching and fading rate-cut expectations, the sustainability of the move is uncertain, leaving open the possibility of a sharp reversal.

ambcrypto01/15 09:02

Bitcoin reclaims $97K – Why this BTC breakout still looks fragile

ambcrypto01/15 09:02

BTC Breaks Through $97,000, Crypto Market Stands at a New Structural Turning Point

Bitcoin surged past $97,000, reaching a high of $97,924, while ETH and SOL also rose but remained below key resistance levels. The rally triggered significant liquidations, with shorts seeing the largest losses since the October 2021 crash. Notably, crypto-related stocks outperformed traditional equities. A key driver is renewed institutional interest: after weeks of outflows, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a substantial $750 million net inflow in a single day. Bitcoin’s strongest gains occurred during U.S. trading hours, a reversal from late 2025 trends. Macro conditions remain mixed: December CPI held steady at 2.7%, but strong retail data and persistent inflation suggest the Fed will hold rates in January, though 150 bps of cuts are expected in 2026. Regulatory developments are critical. The CLARITY Act, aimed at defining U.S. crypto regulations, faces a key Senate vote. Industry opinion is split, with Coinbase withdrawing support due to concerns over DeFi and stablecoin rules, while others back the bill for providing regulatory clarity. On-chain, Ethereum staking demand remains strong, with over 30% of ETH supply locked. MicroStrategy (now Strategy) continued accumulating Bitcoin, adding 13,627 BTC. Market structure may be shifting. Analysts note that the traditional four-year cycle has weakened, with altcoins underperforming. A sustained rally may require broader ETF adoption beyond BTC/ETH, renewed wealth effect from major cryptocurrencies, and a return of retail investor interest—currently diverted to AI and tech stocks. The market is at a potential structural inflection point.

marsbit01/15 06:29

BTC Breaks Through $97,000, Crypto Market Stands at a New Structural Turning Point

marsbit01/15 06:29

BTC Breaks Through $97,000, Crypto Market Stands at a New Structural Turning Point

BTC surged past $97,000, reaching a high of $97,924, while ETH and SOL also rose but remained near key resistance levels. The rally triggered significant liquidations, with shorts seeing the largest squeeze since the "1011 crash." Notably, crypto-related stocks outperformed traditional equities. A key shift occurred in BTC ETF flows, with a notable $750 million net inflow after a period of outflows, signaling renewed institutional interest. Price action was strongest during U.S. trading hours, reversing previous weak performance in that session. Macro conditions showed stable but sticky inflation, with the Fed expected to hold rates, though 2026 rate cuts are anticipated. Regulatory attention is on the CLARITY Act, which aims to define U.S. crypto regulation but faces industry division, notably after Coinbase withdrew support. On-chain, Ethereum staking demand remains strong with over 36 million ETH locked. MicroStrategy continued accumulating BTC, now holding 687,410 coins. Market structure may be changing, with the classic "four-year cycle" potentially broken. A sustained rally may require: broader ETF adoption beyond BTC/ETH, strong continued outperformance from major assets to spur altcoin interest, and a return of retail investor attention currently focused on other high-growth sectors like AI.

Odaily星球日报01/15 06:20

BTC Breaks Through $97,000, Crypto Market Stands at a New Structural Turning Point

Odaily星球日报01/15 06:20

After Hitting $94,000, Holding Firm at $90,000, BTC Continues to Face Risk Appetite Test (01.05~01.11)

BTC opened the week at $91,499.04 and closed at $90,872.01, a slight decline of 0.68% with amplified volatility of 6.15%. After briefly testing the $94,000 resistance level—driven by improved Fed liquidity and soft-landing expectations from U.S. employment data—selling pressure from ETF investors and long-term holders pushed the price back toward the $90,000 support zone. Macro conditions show a resilient U.S. economy with low unemployment and steady wage growth, reducing the likelihood of a January rate cut. This has kept risk appetite subdued, particularly for high-duration assets like Bitcoin. Despite this, technical indicators suggest a gradually strengthening structure, with the 60-day moving average providing support. A break above $94,000 could open a path toward $95,000. On-chain data reveals continued distribution by long-term holders, though the pace has slowed. Capital flow trends show net outflows from BTC ETFs and stablecoins, while large holders (“whales”) continue accumulating at lower levels without aggressively supporting upward moves. The market remains in a fragile balance between distribution and accumulation, with overall sentiment cautious. According to EMC Labs’ cycle metrics, BTC is currently in a “downtrend” phase (bear market).

marsbit01/14 12:15

After Hitting $94,000, Holding Firm at $90,000, BTC Continues to Face Risk Appetite Test (01.05~01.11)

marsbit01/14 12:15

MEXC Begins 2026 With Strong Reserves: January Audit Shows BTC Coverage at 158%

MEXC has released its January 2026 Proof of Reserve Audit Report, showing strong reserve ratios for all major assets. BTC coverage increased to 158%, while USDC rose to 140%. USDT and ETH remained at 127% and 107%, respectively. The exchange holds 6,172.88 BTC, $2.24 billion USDT, $111.54 million USDC, and 61,729.67 ETH in reserves. The audit, conducted by blockchain security firm Hacken, uses a Merkle Tree system to allow users to independently verify their balances. MEXC emphasizes its commitment to user asset security through excess reserves and regular third-party audits to ensure transparency and trust.

TheNewsCrypto01/14 10:16

MEXC Begins 2026 With Strong Reserves: January Audit Shows BTC Coverage at 158%

TheNewsCrypto01/14 10:16

US Stocks End Tuesday on a Low, Inflation Surges Slightly, What’s for Crypto?

US stocks closed lower on Tuesday, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all declining. The drop was partly driven by a sharp fall in shares of Visa, Mastercard, and JPMorgan after former President Trump proposed capping credit card interest rates. Meanwhile, December 2025 inflation came in slightly higher at 2.71%, up from 2.68% the previous month, further diminishing hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut. In contrast, the crypto market defied the trend, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surging 3.29% and 6.40%, respectively. The global crypto market cap rose 4.61% to $3.25 trillion.

TheNewsCrypto01/14 06:47

US Stocks End Tuesday on a Low, Inflation Surges Slightly, What’s for Crypto?

TheNewsCrypto01/14 06:47

US President Donald Trump Imposes 25% Tariff on Iran-Linked Trade, Will Crypto Market Feel the Pinch?

US President Donald Trump has announced an immediate 25% tariff on all trade with countries doing business with Iran, calling the order final. This follows his recent approval of a bipartisan sanctions bill imposing a 500% tariff on nations purchasing Russian energy products. The move may hinder international trade, with China, India, Germany, the UAE, and the EU likely impacted. China has already opposed the measure as coercive. For the crypto market, the tariffs could increase trade costs and inflation, potentially preventing the Federal Reserve from cutting rates and sustaining market volatility. The global crypto market cap has dipped slightly to $3.13 trillion, with tokens like ETH and SOL seeing declines, while BTC posted minor gains. Investors are advised to remain cautious amid ongoing uncertainty.

TheNewsCrypto01/13 09:27

US President Donald Trump Imposes 25% Tariff on Iran-Linked Trade, Will Crypto Market Feel the Pinch?

TheNewsCrypto01/13 09:27

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