# Сопутствующие статьи по теме BTC

No Rebound For Bitcoin Yet — Short-Term BTC Holders Continue Holding At A Loss

Bitcoin's recent attempts to rebound have been capped as it struggles to hold above the $68,000 resistance level, with the price continuing a downward trajectory. Short-term holders are currently facing significant unrealized losses, averaging 26.3%, indicating a bearish market phase. According to analysts, such high loss levels historically present accumulation opportunities for long-term investors. Meanwhile, Bitcoin Spot ETFs are experiencing sustained outflows, marking 25 consecutive days of negative performance, which points to weakening investor confidence and potential increased volatility ahead.

bitcoinist03/03 01:01

BTC Market Pulse: Week 10

BTC Market Pulse Week 10 indicates a market in early-stage recovery but still fragile. Momentum is improving with RSI lifting from recent lows, though it remains below neutral. Spot CVD has improved, suggesting reduced selling pressure, while futures CVD stays negative, reflecting caution. Open interest has slightly decreased, indicating modest de-risking. Options markets show mixed signals with negative volatility spread but elevated downside hedging demand. On-chain activity is improving with increased active addresses and transfer volume, yet realized cap change remains negative and NUPL is still loss-dominant. Overall, the market shows signs of stabilization but lacks strong bullish confirmation.

insights.glassnode03/02 16:01

Arthur Hayes Says US-Iran Tensions Could Lead to Fed Easing, Boost BTC

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, argues that escalating U.S.-Iran tensions could lead to Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, historically boosting Bitcoin and crypto assets. He cites past military engagements, like the Gulf War and post-9/11 actions, where the Fed injected liquidity to calm markets amid conflict and economic strain. Hayes suggests that if current tensions escalate, similar monetary easing could occur, potentially benefiting Bitcoin. He advises investors to wait for rate cuts before buying. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's price recently fell 1.10% to $66,291, down significantly from its 2025 peak.

TheNewsCrypto03/02 08:26

Undercurrents of Capital in the Midst of Middle East Turmoil: Option Data Reveals BTC's Safe-Haven Logic

Amidst the unprecedented geopolitical shock triggered by the U.S.-Israel military strike on Iran on March 1, 2026, global markets witnessed a classic flight to safety, with oil and gold surging while risk assets faced initial sell-offs. Bitcoin, positioned between its “digital gold” narrative and high-risk asset attributes, showed resilience by holding the key support level of $67,000. Deribit期权数据揭示BTC期权隐含波动率 surged to 51.3%, reflecting heightened expectations of near-term volatility. The significant divergence between the spot price (~$67,400) and the options max pain point at $76,000 indicates persistent institutional bullish sentiment before the crisis. The put/call open interest ratio of 0.75 shows dominant call holdings, while the 24-hour volume put/call ratio of 1.37 reveals tactical hedging via puts amid the crisis. A break below $65,000 could trigger a sell-off due to market maker hedging, potentially testing $60,000. Conversely, if tensions ease, a gamma squeeze above $70,000 could rapidly push BTC toward the $76,000 max pain level. The event underscores Bitcoin’s growing role as a non-sovereign, uncorrelated asset in institutional portfolios amid escalating geopolitical risks.

比推03/02 04:04

Geopolitical Earthquake in the Middle East: Deciphering Safe-Haven Capital Flows and BTC Pricing Logic Through Options Data

In an unprecedented geopolitical shock on March 1, 2026, a direct U.S.-Israel military strike resulted in the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader, triggering a global repricing of risk across asset classes. While traditional safe-havens like crude oil and gold surged, Bitcoin exhibited a dual narrative—oscillating between "digital gold" and high-risk asset behavior. BTC held key support near $67,000 with robust spot market activity ($1.74B in 24h volume), indicating strong institutional accumulation despite initial volatility. Deribit options data revealed critical insights: the March 27 expiry期权 had a max pain of $76,000—12% above spot—suggesting pre-event bullish positioning remained largely intact. Implied volatility spiked to 51.3%, reflecting heightened hedging demand. The put/call open interest ratio stood at 0.75 (call-heavy), while the volume ratio reached 1.37, indicating tactical put buying for short-term protection. A breakdown below $65,000 could trigger negative gamma feedback toward $60,000. Conversely, stabilization above $70,000 may induce a gamma squeeze, accelerating a move toward max pain near $76,000. Medium-term outlook suggests a broad range between $62k–$70k with violent swings. However, as panic subsides, BTC’s structural role as a non-sovereign, uncorrelated asset may strengthen, with a high probability of a rebound toward $75k–76k by late March. This event underscores Bitcoin’s evolving function in global macro portfolios amid escalating geopolitical fragmentation.

marsbit03/02 02:52

Bitcoin: Why analysts warn BTC could drop to $38K in current cycle

Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a recent brief positive shift in the Coinbase Premium, indicating a potential return of U.S. investor demand for the first time since December. However, analysts caution this may be a fakeout and that the premium must remain positive for several days to confirm a true recovery. Market volatility is elevated, with realized volatility reaching its highest level since 2022, signaling significant price swings. Options data from Glassnode shows high implied volatility, indicating the market is anticipating a potential 14% price move in the next month. The put skew in options further suggests traders are hedging against a possible downturn. Analyst projections, based on historical cycle drawdowns, warn that Bitcoin could drop to $38k in the current cycle, representing a 70%–75% decline from its all-time high. Current evidence suggests the market bottom has likely not yet been reached.

ambcrypto02/28 21:01

Bitcoin Retreats After 5% Surge, Trades Near $66K Amid Liquidity Concerns

Bitcoin (BTC) retreated to around $66.3K, down 1.04% in the past 24 hours, after a brief 5% surge that pushed prices near $68,843. The rally was driven by strong inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs, including a $506.51 million inflow on February 25—the largest single-day net flow in weeks. However, the upward momentum proved temporary due to uneven institutional demand and ongoing market uncertainty. Analyst Willy Woo suggested that selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion, potentially leading to a period of sideways consolidation or a test of higher levels near the mid-$70,000s, though a sustained rebound remains uncertain without stronger underlying demand. Market caution persists amid constrained liquidity in both spot and futures markets.

TheNewsCrypto02/27 17:25

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee has Forecasted More Rate Cuts

TheNewsCrypto02/27 12:46

Bitwise Invest CIO Matt Hougan Lists Reasons for BTC Price Decline

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Invest, has identified the recent decline in Bitcoin's price as being driven by long-term holders selling their exposure. This selling occurred through spot market sales, unwinding leveraged positions, or by writing call options against their holdings. Hougan suggests this activity may be part of Bitcoin's typical four-year cycle or a shift of capital into AI startups. Despite the downturn, he expresses optimism that the majority of the selling is over and that Bitcoin may be bottoming, setting the stage for new future highs. His positive outlook aligns with recent comments from Michael Saylor, who called the price dip a buying opportunity, and Eric Trump, who highlighted his company's substantial Bitcoin accumulation. At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $67,345.78, inching closer to the $69,000 mark amid bearish market sentiment and high volatility.

TheNewsCrypto02/27 11:13