# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Altcoin

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Altcoin", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Analyzing 10 Key BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?

"Analysis of 10 Key Bitcoin Top Indicators: Why the Current Bull Run Differs from the Past" This analysis examines 10 classic on-chain and technical indicators to assess whether Bitcoin has reached its cycle top. Historically, market peaks were marked by multiple indicators flashing extreme overbought signals simultaneously. However, the current bull run (as of Q4 2025) shows notably divergent, more moderate readings. Key findings include: The Pi Cycle Top indicator has not yet triggered a crossover signal. The Puell Multiple remains in a moderate 1-2 range, indicating miner selling pressure is not extreme. The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart shows price is in the yellow-orange zone, not the red "sell" bubble territory. The MVRV Z-Score sits in a neutral 2-4 range, far from previous cycle peaks of 7-10. The Altcoin Season Index remains low (30-40), showing no major capital rotation from BTC to altcoins. Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply shows a slow distribution, but Short-Term Holder (STH) supply, while rising, did not peak concurrently with the price high on October 6th. Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has declined to 0.34 from a high of 0.64 in March 2024. The analysis concludes that the market's structure has fundamentally changed. The explosive, retail-driven peaks of 2017 and 2021 are being replaced by a more gradual, institutional-led market, largely attributed to Bitcoin ETF inflows providing stability. This suggests Bitcoin is transitioning from a cyclical asset to a mainstream reserve, making historical indicator thresholds less reliable and requiring adjusted analysis frameworks for future cycles.

深潮12/22 08:16

Analyzing 10 Key BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?

深潮12/22 08:16

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, shares his macro outlook and investment strategy in a recent podcast. He argues that the market is waiting for a "magic word like QE" from the Fed, but it won't come in its traditional form. Instead, he predicts a rebranded version of money printing called "Reserve Management Purchases" (RMP) will provide liquidity, with its full impact being recognized by the market around March next year, leading to a significant asset price recovery. Hayes is heavily invested, having deployed 90% of his capital, and remains confident in Bitcoin's long-term rise, reiterating a $250,000 price target for 2026. He warns against shorting AI-related stocks like NVIDIA, calling it a trap. For altcoins, he sees the next major narrative in privacy and ZK technologies, with Zcash (ZEC) as a current holding, though he acknowledges regulatory hurdles for privacy coins. He highlights Ethena (ENA) as one of his most successful and confident bets, expecting a sharp rally as monetary conditions ease. Hayes dismisses the idea that "altseason" is missing, stating it's always happening with new trends, and criticizes those who are too risk-averse to participate. The most dangerous macro narrative, in his view, is the belief that central banks will tighten policy. His key advice is to avoid excessive leverage and stop blaming market makers for price movements.

Odaily星球日报12/20 02:15

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

Odaily星球日报12/20 02:15

活动图片