Ethereum [ETH] saw $80.2 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours, with $65.6 million being long liquidations. These numbers were relatively tame compared to the $1.1 billion in ETH liquidations on the 31st of January.
That did little to lighten the mood around the leading altcoin. Crypto and stock markets were in the same boat of extreme despair after recent losses.
The Ethereum whales’ unrealized profit ratio climbed back into positive territory again as prices pierced the $2k level. While this seemed to suggest bullish momentum can build, AMBCrypto highlighted the $2,353 level as the aggregate realized price.
In other words, the $2.4k area could arrest any potential rally, as ETH holders might exit the market at breakeven, given the extremely fearful conditions. The longer-term trends gave a mixed picture.
The bullish long-term swing structure of ETH
On the weekly timeframe, ETH has a bullish swing structure. Based on the 2025 rally from $1,383 to $4,955, a set of Fibonacci retracement levels was plotted. It showed that the 78.6% level was at $2,147.
The ETH bulls have been fighting to reclaim this retracement level as support since losing it in February and were close to rallying the price back above it.
One concern was that the OBV had made a lower low compared to April 2025. At the same time, the MACD was yet to form a bullish crossover, a sign that higher timeframe momentum has not begun to change.
Meanwhile, the 1-day structure was bearish, and the H4 swing structure was bullish. These were conflicting signs, unlike Bitcoin [BTC], which was bearish on both the weekly and daily timeframes.
Which way should Ethereum investors and traders anticipate the price to go?
Ethereum tends to follow Bitcoin, and the leading crypto has a bearish long-term trend. In the coming weeks, a rally toward $83k-$89k was possible. This could take Ethereum toward the $2,770-$3,049 Fibonacci golden pocket on the daily timeframe.
Therefore, a sustained Bitcoin rally could push ETH toward $2.5k-$2.7k. This was the optimistic scenario. A lack of strong demand, as the OBV’s weekly timeframe lower low hints at, could severely curtail any Ethereum rally.
Investors should also remember the aggregate realized price and the threat of profit-taking if a rally materializes.
Final Summary
- Ethereum gave mixed signals on multiple timeframes. Its bullish weekly and bearish daily charts posed a challenge for investors.
- A rally toward $3k is possible, but it depends on Bitcoin climbing above $80k in the coming weeks and a shift in crypto market sentiment.
