Indepth Research

Provide in-depth research reports and independent analysis, leveraging data, technology, and economic insights to deliver a comprehensive examination of the blockchain ecosystem, project potential, and market trends.

How to Deal with Trump? Here's the 'Deal-Maker's Playbook'

The Kobeissi Letter outlines a consistent 10-step "conflict playbook" used by former President Trump in geopolitical and trade disputes, from Iran to tariffs. It begins with verbal pressure and strategic posturing, often followed by "Friday night surprise" actions to allow market digestion. Markets initially bet on quick deals, but Trump’s "forever war" rhetoric reverses optimism, forcing repricing. A conditional de-escalation signal (like Trump’s recent Iran comments) emerges when structural market stress (oil >$90, stocks down 5%) or political costs mount. Eventually, deals are struck, triggering violent market reversals due to defensive positioning. Three scenarios are projected for the next 2-4 weeks, all pointing to an eventual agreement—Trump’s conflicts consistently end with deals, not prolonged war.

marsbit03/11 02:09

How to Deal with Trump? Here's the 'Deal-Maker's Playbook'

marsbit03/11 02:09

Assessing Bitmine’s 5,300 Ethereum transfer amid ETF outflows

Bitmine Immersion Technologies, led by Tom Lee, transferred 5,300 ETH (worth $10.75 million) to a Coinbase Prime address on March 10, a notable move given the company’s aggressive accumulation strategy. While this may suggest a temporary adjustment, the transfer could also relate to operational needs like OTC trading or liquidity management rather than a strategic shift. The action coincides with a 9.64% drop in Bitmine’s stock and ETF outflows, yet corporate Ethereum holdings have grown significantly since mid-2025, exceeding 6 million ETH. Bitmine stakes roughly two-thirds of its 4.5 million ETH holdings, generating substantial annual revenue, reflecting long-term confidence in Ethereum as income-generating infrastructure.

ambcrypto03/10 23:03

Assessing Bitmine’s 5,300 Ethereum transfer amid ETF outflows

ambcrypto03/10 23:03

The Limits of Finance, The Channel Value of Global Markets

This article explores the evolving relationship between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi), focusing on the growing institutional interest in on-chain vaults and real-world assets (RWA). While major asset managers like BlackRock and Apollo are investing heavily in DeFi tokens, the sector faces challenges, including liquidity crises and structural limitations. A central theme is the absence of a native DeFi risk-free interest rate. Despite multiple attempts—from algorithmic stablecoins to liquidity staking tokens—DeFi has largely adopted USDT and USDC for their scale, effectively making U.S. Treasury bonds the de facto benchmark. However, this dependency creates vulnerability, as DeFi cannot interact bidirectionally with traditional finance. The article argues that the next phase of DeFi will revolve around vaults—on-chain repositories that aggregate assets and yield. These vaults, managed by "curators," aim to offer fixed-rate products and credit systems but currently lack mechanisms for asset price inflation and clear risk management. The piece concludes that while vaults and curators are gaining traction, the true innovation lies in creating efficient "channels" or broker-like systems that enhance global capital flow. These could eventually replace centralized exchanges as the primary liquidity hubs, enabling a more integrated and efficient financial system without relying on traditional tokenomics.

marsbit03/10 13:23

The Limits of Finance, The Channel Value of Global Markets

marsbit03/10 13:23

IOSG: A Panoramic View of On-Chain Yields, from Yield-Bearing Stablecoins to the Evolution of Crypto Credit Products

IOSG Research analyzes the on-chain yield landscape, highlighting the growing preference for yield-bearing stablecoins and fixed-income products during bear markets. While bull markets drive TVL growth across all yield products, bear markets see capital shift toward lower-risk, stablecoin-based options. Key trends include protocols expanding into front-end (wallets, mobile interfaces) and back-end services (stablecoin-as-a-service for L1/L2 chains). Anticipated U.S. interest rate cuts may reduce Treasury yields, pushing yield-bearing stablecoins to diversify into alternative real-world assets (RWA) like private credit and GPU financing. The report also notes institutional adoption through end-to-end staking services and crypto-native credit products (e.g., preferred shares), which function as crypto equivalents to Treasury bonds, offering stable yields from DeFi and staking revenues. Exclusive yield sources and transparent revenue-sharing models are becoming crucial differentiators.

marsbit03/10 11:26

IOSG: A Panoramic View of On-Chain Yields, from Yield-Bearing Stablecoins to the Evolution of Crypto Credit Products

marsbit03/10 11:26

From Understanding Skill to Learning How to Build Crypto Research Skill

This article explores the evolution and application of Agent Skill, a modular framework introduced by Anthropic in late 2025, which has become a foundational design pattern in the AI Agent ecosystem. Initially a tool to improve Claude's performance on specific tasks, it evolved into an open standard due to high developer adoption. Agent Skill functions like a "dynamic instruction manual" that AI can reference to perform tasks consistently without repetitive user prompting. It is built using a `skill.md` file containing metadata (name and description) and detailed instructions. The system operates through an on-demand loading workflow: the AI first scans lightweight skill metadata, matches the user's intent, then loads only the relevant skill's full instructions, optimizing token usage. Two advanced mechanisms enhance its functionality: - **Reference**: Conditionally loads external documents (e.g., a finance handbook) only when triggered by specific keywords, avoiding unnecessary context consumption. - **Script**: Executes external code (e.g., a Python script) without reading its content, enabling actions like file uploads with zero token cost. The article contrasts Agent Skill with Model Context Protocol (MCP), noting that MCP connects AI to data sources, while Skill defines how to process that data. For advanced use cases like crypto research, combining both is recommended: MCP fetches real-time data (e.g., blockchain info, news APIs), while Skill structures the analysis and output format. A practical example demonstrates building a crypto research agent using an `opennews-mcp` server. The Skill automates workflows like due diligence on new tokens (pulling Twitter data, news sentiment, KOL tracking) and real-time event monitoring (e.g., ZK-proof breakthroughs) to generate structured reports or trading alerts. This combination creates a powerful, automated research system tailored for Web3 analytics.

marsbit03/10 10:41

From Understanding Skill to Learning How to Build Crypto Research Skill

marsbit03/10 10:41

RWA Weekly Report｜Representative Assets Drop Nearly 14%; Stablecoin Market Cap Reclaims $300 Billion (Mar 4 - Mar 10)

RWA Weekly Report: Representative Assets Drop Nearly 14%; Stablecoin Market Cap Reclaims $300B (Mar 4-10) The total on-chain value of RWA assets increased slightly by 0.8% to $26.43B, though growth slowed compared to previous weeks. In contrast, the value of representative assets fell by 13.9%, dropping about $54B to $336.08B. User adoption showed mild recovery, with total holders rising 1.18% to 665.3K. The stablecoin market cap rebounded by 0.85% to over $301B, led by USDT ($195.15B) and USDC ($796.47B). Structurally, U.S. Treasuries remained the core RWA asset, growing to $11B, while commodities and private credit saw slight declines. Key developments include U.S. regulatory debates around the CLARITY Act and stablecoin taxation, the NYSE’s parent company ICE investing in OKX at a $25B valuation, and new stablecoin regulations advancing in Florida and South Korea. Ondo Finance integrated tokenized stocks as collateral in DeFi via Chainlink, and MSX launched a Pre-IPO investment section. Overall, the RWA market is consolidating with a shift toward higher certainty assets like Treasuries and gradual risk appetite expansion into corporate bonds and alternative funds.

Odaily星球日报03/10 10:26

RWA Weekly Report｜Representative Assets Drop Nearly 14%; Stablecoin Market Cap Reclaims $300 Billion (Mar 4 - Mar 10)

Odaily星球日报03/10 10:26

Your AI Anxiety Is Being Harvested

The article critiques the excessive hype and anxiety surrounding AI, arguing that much of the online discourse is a form of fear-based marketing designed to harvest attention and engagement. It points out that blindly copying others' AI setups—like popular coding configurations—is ineffective because these are tailored to specific needs and contexts, not universal solutions. The author warns against over-reliance on AI, noting that it can erode independent thinking and core human skills like judgment, creativity, and time management. Citing data from Fortune, Goldman Sachs, and academic studies, the article reveals that many companies report no actual productivity gains from AI adoption; instead, it often intensifies workloads and leads to burnout. The key takeaway is to use AI strategically for repetitive tasks while preserving human strengths for critical thinking and decision-making. True success lies not in using AI everywhere, but in knowing when not to use it.

marsbit03/10 08:39

Your AI Anxiety Is Being Harvested

marsbit03/10 08:39

Latest Report from Top US Think Tank CSIS: 4 Truths and 1 Misjudgment About China's Technology...

Based on a comprehensive CSIS report by Scott Kennedy, this analysis examines China's high-tech drive, highlighting four key realities and one major misjudgment. China has significantly increased R&D investment, reaching $1 trillion (PPP) in 2023, leading to notable successes in sectors like EVs (e.g., BYD) and batteries (e.g., CATL), driven by intense domestic competition and market forces. The biopharma sector thrives through global integration and efficient clinical trials. However, the report identifies persistent structural weaknesses: stagnation in total factor productivity, a quality gap in innovation (e.g., low-value patents), and critical dependencies in semiconductors (reliance on global supply chains for advanced chips) and aviation (e.g., C919's high import dependency). The report argues that China's tech power translates into geopolitical influence through military-civil fusion and growing participation in international standard-setting, though it lacks unilateral rule-making ability. A key misjudgment is the belief in "decoupling." The report finds comprehensive separation is counterproductive, fueling China's self-sufficiency while harming global supply chains, inflation, and green energy transitions. Instead, it advocates for "calibrated coupling": targeted restrictions on critical military technologies while maintaining cooperation in non-strategic areas and global issues like climate change. The ultimate advantage will go to those fostering open, inclusive innovation ecosystems.

marsbit03/10 03:29

Latest Report from Top US Think Tank CSIS: 4 Truths and 1 Misjudgment About China's Technology...

marsbit03/10 03:29

a16z: After AI Grants Humans Superpowers, Where Do We Go From Here?

A new paper titled "The Minimal Economics of AGI" explores the economic implications of AI automation, particularly as AI agents evolve from tools into collaborative partners capable of long-horizon tasks. The authors, Christian Catalini and Eddy Lazzarin, argue that the core economic divide will be between automation (tasks that can be measured and automated) and verification (tasks requiring human oversight, judgment, and contextual understanding). Key themes include: - The "coder’s curse": top experts training AI systems may inadvertently automate their own roles over time. - Three future human roles: directors (setting intent), verifiers (domain experts ensuring quality), and meaning-makers (creating cultural and social value). - Cryptocurrency and blockchain are positioned as critical for identity, provenance, and trust in a world flooded with AI-generated content. - Two potential economic outcomes: a "hollow economy" with systemic risk from under-verification, or an "augmented economy" where AI amplifies human potential and reduces costs for education, healthcare, and innovation. - The importance of small, agile teams leveraging AI for outsized impact, with crypto infrastructure enabling coordination at scale. The authors emphasize that AI acts as a force multiplier, granting individuals "superpowers," and urge a focus on verification, adaptability, and ambitious experimentation.

marsbit03/09 11:31

a16z: After AI Grants Humans Superpowers, Where Do We Go From Here?

marsbit03/09 11:31

活动图片

Популярные категорииright-arrow

Популярные тегиright-arrow

Trading Strategies

Indepth Research