Bitcoin

Focuses on news, price analysis, technological evolution, and market trends within the Bitcoin ecosystem. It explores its role and influence in the global financial system.

Broke the Cycle. How Bitcoin's Price Changed Over 10 Years on Christmas

The article "Прервал цикличность. Как менялась цена биткоина за 10 лет в Рождество" (Breaking the Cycle: How Bitcoin's Price Changed Over 10 Christmases) analyzes the price of Bitcoin on December 25th for each year from 2015 to 2025. The key finding is that 2025 broke a recent pattern. After nine years where a price drop only occurred the year after three consecutive years of growth, Bitcoin's price in 2025 fell by 11% to $87,600 from the previous Christmas ($98,700 in 2024). This decline is attributed to macroeconomic shocks and large-scale liquidation events in October, making it only the third year in the dataset with a year-over-year Christmas decline. The summary of each year's price and key drivers is as follows: * **2015:** $456 - Consolidation phase. * **2016:** $894 (+96%) - Growth ahead of the halving. * **2017:** $14,300 (+1500%) - Peak of retail frenzy. * **2018:** $4,000 (-72%) - Deep correction after the bubble. * **2019:** $7,300 (+81%) - Initial recovery. * **2020:** $23,800 (+227%) - New institutional cycle begins. * **2021:** $50,900 (+114%) - New all-time high. * **2022:** $16,800 (-67%) - "Crypto winter" with major collapses. * **2023:** $43,000 (+155%) - Recovery on ETF approval hopes. * **2024:** $98,700 (+130%) - Bull run continues post-ETF launch. * **2025:** $87,600 (-11%) - Correction due to macroeconomics. The article concludes that while Bitcoin's growth cycles reach new levels with greater institutional adoption, the 2025 price drop is a reminder that the maturing market remains volatile and sensitive to global risks. A standard disclaimer notes that the content is for informational purposes and cryptocurrency is a volatile asset.

RBK-crypto12/25 14:28

Broke the Cycle. How Bitcoin's Price Changed Over 10 Years on Christmas

RBK-crypto12/25 14:28

VanEck Report: Bitcoin Undergoes Structural Rebalancing, Building Momentum for 2026 Rally

VanEck's December "ChainCheck" report indicates Bitcoin is undergoing structural rebalancing, setting the stage for potential growth by 2026. Despite a 9% price drop and high volatility in Q4 2025, improving liquidity and a reset in speculative leverage offer cautious optimism. Digital asset treasuries significantly accumulated Bitcoin, adding 42,000 BTC in December—their largest monthly increase since July—bringing total holdings above 1 million BTC. In contrast, ETF investors reduced exposure, signaling a shift from retail speculation to institutional accumulation. Some treasuries are adopting strategic financing methods, like issuing preferred shares to fund Bitcoin purchases. On-chain data shows mid-term holders (1-5 years) are selling, while long-term holders (>5 years) remain inactive, indicating confidence among seasoned investors. Mining challenges persist, with a 4% drop in hash rate due to regulatory pressures, though historically such declines have preceded price rallies within 90-180 days. VanEck's GEO framework highlights improved liquidity and institutional accumulation offsetting weak on-chain activity. Macro factors like a weaker dollar add complexity, but emerging "everything exchanges" could enhance Bitcoin's utility. Despite reduced cyclical volatility, Bitcoin remains volatile. The current rebalancing phase, marked by institutional accumulation and miner scaling back, may lead to consolidation ahead of a potential Q1 2026 rally.

marsbit12/25 06:09

VanEck Report: Bitcoin Undergoes Structural Rebalancing, Building Momentum for 2026 Rally

marsbit12/25 06:09

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