Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan Expects BTC Price to go Parabolic if ETF Demand Persists

TheNewsCryptoОпубликовано 2026-01-14Обновлено 2026-01-14

Введение

Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, predicts that the price of Bitcoin could go parabolic if demand for its ETFs persists, drawing a parallel to the historical performance of Gold. He notes that while initial price movements may be modest, sustained demand can eventually lead to explosive growth, as seen with Gold's significant price surges in the years following a period of stability. Currently, Bitcoin is testing a resistance level near $96k, with the ETF recording net inflows for two consecutive days, including a substantial $753.8 million inflow on January 13, 2026. Hougan also highlights a survey indicating that nearly all financial advisors plan to maintain or increase their crypto exposure in the coming years. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $95,038.37, up over 3% in 24 hours, with predictions suggesting a potential rise to around $102,438 in the next month.

Matt Hougan, Bitwise CIO, has said that BTC price would go parabolic. He has compared the scenario to that of Gold’s, tracking the pattern back to 2022. Bitcoin tokens are currently teasing a resistance zone of $96k, with ETF noting net inflows for the second consecutive day.

Matt Hougan on BTC Price

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan has drawn a comparison between BTC price and Gold to explain how the former could go parabolic in the times to come. He has underlined that their prices primarily depend on demand and supply, adding that purchases could tilt the equation but may not necessarily show up in prices immediately.

In 2022, his post read, Gold rose only by 2%. However, it surged by 13% and 27% in the following two years, respectively. And, it was only in 2025 when Gold prices went parabolic after sellers ran out of ammo and demand persisted.

His post further read that the same thing was happening to BTC and Bitcoin ETF since its debut in January 2024. Prices have not gone parabolic, but could draw the trajectory if demand for the ETF persists long-term.

Earlier Statement by Matt Hougan

Bitwise CIO earlier tabled a key point from the 8th annual Bitwise/VettaFi Benchmark Survey. He underlined that almost 99% of financial advisors plan to either increase or maintain crypto exposure in 2026 after making allocations in 2025.

Only 1% of the participants said that they plan to decrease their crypto exposure this year. Several crypto enthusiasts have reacted to this by calling it an incredible stat. Bitwise itself recently filed for 11 altcoin ETFs. Needless to say, it is still recommended to do thorough research and risk assessment before investing in cryptocurrencies.

BTC Price and ETF Performance

BTC price is currently up by 3.07% over the last 24 hours, trading at $95,038.37 when the article is being written. The 24-hour trading volume has surged by 59.39% to $59.88 billion. BTC price prediction now estimates the flagship token to soar by almost 7.30% to approximately $102,438 in the next 1 month.

Spot Bitcoin ETF, meanwhile, just recorded net inflow for the second consecutive day. Funds worth around $753.8 million were injected on January 13, 2026, after an inflow of $116.7 million on the previous day.

Highlighted Crypto News Today:

Changpeng Zhao Backs Non-Custodial Trading Platform Genius Through YZi Labs

TagsBitcoin ETFBitwiseBTC price

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat does Matt Hougan, Bitwise CIO, expect to happen to the BTC price if ETF demand persists?

AMatt Hougan expects the BTC price to go parabolic if ETF demand persists.

QWhat asset did Matt Hougan compare Bitcoin's potential price trajectory to?

AHe compared Bitcoin's potential price trajectory to that of Gold.

QAccording to the article, what is the current trading price of BTC and its 24-hour price change?

ABTC is currently trading at $95,038.37, up 3.07% over the last 24 hours.

QWhat key finding from the Bitwise/VettaFi Benchmark Survey did Matt Hougan highlight regarding financial advisors?

AHe highlighted that almost 99% of financial advisors plan to either increase or maintain their crypto exposure in 2026 after making allocations in 2025.

QHow much net inflow did the Spot Bitcoin ETF record on January 13, 2026, according to the article?

AThe Spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $753.8 million on January 13, 2026.

Похожее

Stuck Polymarket: The Real Test After Riding the Traffic Boom Has Arrived

Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, is facing significant technical challenges as its growth outpaces its current infrastructure on Polygon. Users are experiencing laggy transactions, unresponsive orders, and delayed confirmations, severely impacting the trading experience. In response, DeFi Engineering VP Josh Stevens outlined a comprehensive engineering overhaul. The plan includes reducing on-chain data delays, fixing order cancellation issues, rebuilding the central limit order book (CLOB), improving website performance, and developing a unified SDK and API. A major revelation was the ongoing "chain migration," indicating a potential move away from Polygon. The core issue is that Polymarket has evolved from a simple prediction market into a high-frequency trading platform, making Polygon's limitations—such as block space, gas fees, and block time—a ceiling for further growth. The migration is not just a simple chain switch but a fundamental rebuild of its trading system to support more complex products like perpetual contracts (Perps). This announcement has sparked competition among chains like Solana, Sui, and Algorand, all vying to host Polymarket. For Polygon, losing this key application, which contributes significantly to its gas fee revenue, would be a major setback. The real test for Polymarket is no longer attracting users but proving it can provide a stable, reliable trading environment that retains them.

Odaily星球日报24 мин. назад

Stuck Polymarket: The Real Test After Riding the Traffic Boom Has Arrived

Odaily星球日报24 мин. назад

Key Lawmaker 'Relents', Wash's Biggest Obstacle to Assuming Fed Chair on May 15 Cleared

Key political opposition to Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has been removed after Senator Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) withdrew his objection, clearing the way for a committee vote on April 29. Tillis had previously blocked the nomination due to a criminal investigation into current Chair Jerome Powell, which he viewed as a threat to Fed independence. The Justice Department has since dropped the investigation. Warsh, who has broad Republican support, is expected to be confirmed by the Senate in time for Powell’s term expiration on May 15. If confirmed, Warsh has signaled significant policy changes, including abolishing the "dot plot" of interest rate projections and reevaluating the Fed’s forward guidance framework. These changes could fundamentally alter the market’s pricing mechanisms for stocks, bonds, and currencies. Although the criminal case against Powell is closed, uncertainty remains as he retains his board seat until 2028. President Trump has not fully endorsed Powell, citing an ongoing review of Fed renovation spending. Warsh’s potential reforms target the communication tools developed post-2008, which have become foundational to global asset pricing.

marsbit47 мин. назад

Key Lawmaker 'Relents', Wash's Biggest Obstacle to Assuming Fed Chair on May 15 Cleared

marsbit47 мин. назад

Lowering Expectations for BTC's Next Bull Market

The author, Alex Xu, explains his decision to significantly reduce his Bitcoin holdings (from full to ~30% of his portfolio) during the current bull cycle, citing a lowered long-term outlook for BTC's price appreciation in the next cycle. He outlines six key reasons for this reduced expectation: 1. **Diminished Growth Drivers:** The narrative of exponential user adoption has largely played out with institutional ETF adoption. The next major growth phase—adoption by sovereign national reserves or central banks—seems unlikely in the near future. 2. **Personal Opportunity Cost:** More attractive investment opportunities have emerged in other assets, such as undervalued companies. 3. **Industry-Wide Contraction:** The broader crypto industry is struggling, with most Web3 business models (SocialFi, GameFi, DePIN) failing. This overall萧条 (depression) reduces the fundamental demand and consensus for Bitcoin. 4. **Strain on Major Buyer:** MicroStrategy, a major corporate buyer of BTC, faces rising financing expenses for its debt, which could slow its purchasing rate and create significant marginal pressure on the market. 5. **Increased Competition from Gold:** The emergence of "tokenized gold" has closed the functional gap (portability, divisibility) between physical gold and Bitcoin, offering a strong competitor in the non-sovereign store-of-value space. 6. **Security Budget Concerns:** The block reward halving continues to exacerbate the long-standing issue of funding Bitcoin's network security, with new fee source explorations like Ordinals and L2s largely failing. The author's decision to hold a significant (though reduced) position reflects a cautious, not bearish, outlook. He remains open to increasing his exposure if the fundamental reasons for his skepticism change or if new positive catalysts emerge.

marsbit1 ч. назад

Lowering Expectations for BTC's Next Bull Market

marsbit1 ч. назад

Prediction Markets Cannot Exist Without Insider Trading, But Insider Trading Is Killing Them

Prediction markets face a fundamental contradiction: they rely on insider trading to generate accurate prices, yet this same activity erodes public trust and threatens their survival. Recent scandals, such as a U.S. special forces member making $400,000 on Polymarket using classified information about a raid, highlight the severity of the issue. While platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi market themselves as venues where "everyone is an expert" and encourage informed trading, they also enforce policies against illegal insider trading. The core dilemma is that these markets depend on informed insiders for price efficiency but require uninformed retail participants to provide liquidity. If insider trading is too rampant, retail traders leave, perceiving the market as unfair. If restrictions are too strict, valuable information flow dries up, reducing the market’s predictive utility. The challenge is finding a balance that maintains both accuracy and perceived fairness—a task complicated by regulatory pressures and recurring scandals.

marsbit1 ч. назад

Prediction Markets Cannot Exist Without Insider Trading, But Insider Trading Is Killing Them

marsbit1 ч. назад

Can Iran 'Control' the Strait of Hormuz?

Iran has announced a comprehensive plan to assert control over the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil shipping chokepoint. The proposed measures include requiring all vessels to obtain Iranian permission for passage, imposing fees for security, environmental protection, and navigation management—preferably paid in Iranian rials—and absolutely banning Israeli ships. Vessels from countries deemed hostile by Iran’s top security bodies may also be barred. Analysts suggest Iran’s motives are multifaceted: increasing pressure on the U.S. and Israel by leveraging control over oil transit to influence global prices and inflation; creating a new revenue stream, potentially exceeding $7.7 billion annually, to counter Western sanctions and support postwar reconstruction; and using transit permissions as bargaining chips in future negotiations, notably with the U.S. However, the plan faces significant practical and diplomatic challenges. Enforcing comprehensive interception and fee collection in the busy waterway, patrolled by international military forces, would be difficult. The U.S. has already countering with a blockade of Iranian ports and threats to intercept any ship paying fees, potentially strangling Iran’s oil exports and fee revenue. Broad international opposition, led by European and Gulf states, and legal controversies further complicate implementation. The proposal may ultimately serve more as a negotiating tactic than a feasible policy, with its execution remaining highly uncertain.

marsbit2 ч. назад

Can Iran 'Control' the Strait of Hormuz?

marsbit2 ч. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы
活动图片

Популярные категорииright-arrow

Популярные тегиright-arrow