2026-04-22 Среда

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The Block Research Predicts: IPOs Will Outperform Token Launches, Forecasting That Prediction Markets Will Launch Their Own Chains

The Block Research's annual prediction report for 2026 presents a mix of bullish and cautious forecasts from its analysts. Key predictions include Bitcoin potentially reaching $140,000, stablecoin market cap surpassing $500 billion, and notable token launches from Polymarket and Base—both expected to enter the top 10 by fully diluted valuation. Several analysts emphasize the growing dominance of Bitcoin, with its market share remaining above 50%. A significant theme is the shift from token launches to IPOs among crypto companies, with firms like Kraken, BitGo, and Consensys expected to go public. Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket and Kalshi, are projected to see substantial growth, with at least one likely to launch its own blockchain. Stablecoins are anticipated to see accelerated adoption in both emerging and developed markets, with USDC becoming a key bridging asset. Other highlights include the rise of mobile-first crypto apps on Base, increased institutional adoption of stablecoins for payments, and the continued growth of decentralized perpetual exchanges—especially for stocks and commodities. However, not all sectors are optimistic; NFTs and memecoins are expected to decline, and many digital asset trusts (DATs) may face selling pressure due to persistent discounts to net asset value. The market is predicted to be selective, favoring projects with real users and sustainable models over speculative assets.

Odaily星球日报01/05 05:59

The Block Research Predicts: IPOs Will Outperform Token Launches, Forecasting That Prediction Markets Will Launch Their Own Chains

Odaily星球日报01/05 05:59

The First Wave of 2026's Market Trend Turns Out to Be Meme Coins: Prelude to Recovery or Bull Trap?

After a challenging Q4 2025, the cryptocurrency market is showing early signs of recovery in 2026, led unexpectedly by meme coins rather than Bitcoin or Ethereum. Meme coin market capitalization has surged by nearly $100 billion since late December, reaching over $47.7 billion, with top performers like PEPE rising 64.81%, SHIB up 18.37%, and DOGE gaining nearly 20%. Trading volume skyrocketed by 300% to $8.7 billion. The rally appears broad-based, spanning multiple tokens across both Ethereum and Solana ecosystems, suggesting a sector-wide rotation of capital rather than isolated speculation. Technical indicators like the TOTAL3 chart (crypto market cap excluding BTC) show a shift from a downtrend to a recovery phase, testing key levels around $848 billion. A breakout could signal further upside for altcoins. Derivatives data supports the move, with open interest and trading volume rising significantly for major meme coins, indicating genuine bullish positioning rather than just short covering. However, high leverage also raises the risk of a sharp pullback if sentiment reverses. Analysts note that meme coins often lead market risk-on rotations, and a sustained rally could benefit Solana, which has strong cultural and economic ties to meme coin activity. The key question remains whether this is the start of a broader altcoin recovery or a short-lived, sentiment-driven bounce. The answer may soon become clear as the market watches for follow-through in other crypto sectors.

Odaily星球日报01/05 05:56

The First Wave of 2026's Market Trend Turns Out to Be Meme Coins: Prelude to Recovery or Bull Trap?

Odaily星球日报01/05 05:56

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