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$660M in Ethereum leaves exchanges – Yet ETH’s bottom remains unclear!

Ethereum exchange balances have seen significant outflows, with $660 million worth of ETH withdrawn recently, indicating accumulation by long-term holders. Despite this, ETH's price bottom remains uncertain. Key metrics show persistent bearish pressure: negative ETF netflows for three months, deeply negative funding rates suggesting extreme short positioning, and declining Open Interest. While a short squeeze is possible, current conditions suggest the market downturn may not be over. Notably, Bitmine Immersion Technologies continued accumulating ETH aggressively, though broader market sentiment remains cautious. Overall, holder conviction is strong, but a sustained bottom may take time to form.

ambcrypto02/13 13:01

$660M in Ethereum leaves exchanges – Yet ETH’s bottom remains unclear!

ambcrypto02/13 13:01

Before Buying the Dip, Understand the Two Types of Market Drawdowns

The article distinguishes between two types of stock drawdowns: systemic (market-driven) and idiosyncratic (company-specific). Systemic drawdowns, like the 2008 financial crisis, affect the entire market and can be navigated with behavioral advantages such as patience, as markets tend to recover. Idiosyncratic drawdowns, such as the recent AI-driven sell-off in software stocks, require analytical advantages—investors must accurately assess whether a company’s long-term prospects remain intact despite market pessimism. Using FactSet as an example, the author emphasizes that investors must differentiate between temporary panic and fundamental erosion of a company’s competitive moat. Relying solely on behavioral strategies for idiosyncratic risks is inadequate; deep analysis is essential to avoid mistaking arrogance for conviction.

比推02/13 12:59

Before Buying the Dip, Understand the Two Types of Market Drawdowns

比推02/13 12:59

U.S. Government Shutdown Odds for Feb. 14 Spike, Crypto Markets React

The probability of a U.S. federal government shutdown by February 14, 2026, has been highly volatile, with prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi showing odds fluctuating between 29% and 97%. A shutdown could occur if funding for the Department of Homeland Security is not approved. This follows the longest U.S. shutdown in history from October to November 2025, which lasted 43 days. Crypto markets are reacting to the heightened fiscal uncertainty. Bitcoin, which traded near $125K during the previous shutdown, is now around $66K, down over 23% year-to-date. Ethereum and other altcoins have also weakened, with total crypto market cap dropping below $2.28 trillion. If a shutdown occurs, key economic data may be delayed, regulatory agencies could operate with reduced staff, and crypto markets might face increased volatility and further downward pressure, potentially testing Bitcoin's support near $60,000.

TheNewsCrypto02/13 12:52

U.S. Government Shutdown Odds for Feb. 14 Spike, Crypto Markets React

TheNewsCrypto02/13 12:52

Earning $80,000 in One Day: How Top Players Turn Polymarket into Their Personal ATM?

In just under a day, a top trader on Polymarket, using the handle Bidou28old, netted $80,000 by exploiting the platform’s newly launched ultra-short-term prediction markets (5-minute and 15-minute intervals). The user is believed to be a quantitative trader or arbitrageur leveraging low-latency data feeds to capitalize on pricing delays. With only 48 total predictions, the trader maintained a remarkably high risk-reward ratio, often buying outcomes with only a 3-8% probability (e.g., betting on a Bitcoin rebound within minutes during a sharp decline). Even with 7 losses exceeding $10,000, the strategy remained profitable due to high payoff multiples—sometimes as high as 33x. The trader employed strict position management, placing large bets ($7,000–$19,000) on high-probability opportunities and securing returns between $4,800–$6,400 per successful trade. In one notable 30-minute span, the user executed three consecutive winning trades, earning over $18,000, demonstrating a high-frequency, data-driven approach. Activity was concentrated during U.S. evening hours (7:30–11:00 PM ET), suggesting either a North American night trader or a professional Asian quant operating during daytime hours. The trader focused predominantly on Bitcoin and Ethereum due to their high liquidity and volatility. This case highlights how sophisticated players use quantitative strategies and real-time market data to systematically profit from short-term market movements on prediction platforms.

比推02/13 12:51

Earning $80,000 in One Day: How Top Players Turn Polymarket into Their Personal ATM?

比推02/13 12:51

Bitcoin Selloff Drew Spot Volume, But Demand Lacked Follow-Through: Glassnode

Bitcoin spot trading volume spiked during the recent selloff that drove the price toward $60,000, but the surge was short-lived, according to on-chain analytics firm Glassnode. The initial increase reflected panic reactions and short-term repositioning rather than sustained buying interest. The lack of follow-through demand suggests shallow absorption relative to selling pressure. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has found support in the $60,000–$72,000 range, a zone where prior buyers appear to be defending their positions. As of the report, BTC's price has declined to around $65,900.

bitcoinist02/13 12:32

Bitcoin Selloff Drew Spot Volume, But Demand Lacked Follow-Through: Glassnode

bitcoinist02/13 12:32

Chainalysis: Crypto Flows to Trafficking Networks Surge 85%

Chainalysis reports an 85% surge in cryptocurrency flows to suspected human trafficking networks last year, with a significant reliance on stablecoins and operations linked to Telegram. The data indicates these networks are becoming more professional. Approximately half of transactions tied to Telegram-based international escort services exceeded $10,000. The firm identified four main categories of illicit activity: escort services, labor placement agents connected to scam compounds, prostitution networks, and child sexual abuse material (CSAM) vendors. Blockchain's inherent transparency provides a critical tool for law enforcement to track these flows and disrupt operations. While stablecoins are preferred by escort and prostitution networks for price stability, CSAM vendors are increasingly using Layer 1 networks and Monero for laundering. Transaction sizes vary, with CSAM payments typically under $100, indicating subscription-based models. The report also notes a growing overlap with online extremism communities and increased use of privacy tools.

TheNewsCrypto02/13 12:18

Chainalysis: Crypto Flows to Trafficking Networks Surge 85%

TheNewsCrypto02/13 12:18

MEXC and Ondo Finance Expand Tokenized Stock Partnership With 17 New Spot Pairs and Zero-Fee Trading

MEXC and Ondo Finance have expanded their tokenized stock partnership by adding 17 new spot trading pairs with zero-fee trading for the first 30 days. The new pairs include tokenized U.S. equities from sectors such as technology, healthcare, and finance. All tokens are ERC-20 assets on Ethereum, denominated in USDT, and supported by MEXC’s market-making technology for liquidity. This marks the ninth phase of collaboration between the two companies, building on MEXC’s initiative launched in September 2025 to offer tokenized traditional assets. The expansion aims to provide MEXC’s 40 million users with diversified exposure to real-world assets within a digital trading environment, reducing barriers and improving accessibility to traditional markets.

TheNewsCrypto02/13 11:58

MEXC and Ondo Finance Expand Tokenized Stock Partnership With 17 New Spot Pairs and Zero-Fee Trading

TheNewsCrypto02/13 11:58

Who's at the CFTC Table? A Redistribution of American Innovative Financial Discourse Power

On February 12, 2026, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced the formation of its Innovation Advisory Committee (IAC), a significant step signaling a shift from reactive oversight to collaborative governance in financial innovation. The committee comprises 35 members from diverse sectors, including major cryptocurrency exchanges (Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini), DeFi and blockchain infrastructure leaders (Uniswap, Solana, Chainlink), prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), top investment firms (a16z, Paradigm), traditional financial institutions (Nasdaq, CME Group), and academic representatives. The IAC, replacing the former Technical Advisory Committee, is tasked with providing expert advice on emerging technologies like AI and blockchain, focusing on their impact on derivatives and commodity markets. It aims to help the CFTC develop adaptive regulatory frameworks that foster responsible innovation while maintaining market integrity. Key implications include the legitimization of prediction markets as financial instruments, official recognition of DeFi and public blockchain infrastructure, and the consolidation of compliance advantages for established crypto platforms. This initiative reflects the CFTC’s commitment to engaging with industry stakeholders early in the innovation process, balancing regulatory clarity with support for technological advancement in modern financial markets.

marsbit02/13 11:08

Who's at the CFTC Table? A Redistribution of American Innovative Financial Discourse Power

marsbit02/13 11:08

Can Bitcoin reclaim $74K? – $559M BTC whale dump raises doubts

Bitcoin's bearish pressure intensified after rejection at $72k, dropping to around $66k and later trading near $60k. A significant whale sold 8,200 BTC worth $559 million on Binance, contributing to a 3% price decline. Whale selling has dominated for two weeks, indicating strong bearish sentiment. Technical indicators like the Ease of Movement and Money Flow Index reflect sustained selling pressure and weak buying interest. BTC risks falling toward $60k unless buyers return. A reversal would require renewed whale demand, as seen in brief recoveries when exchange netflow turned negative. The market remains in a risk-off phase with thin liquidity.

ambcrypto02/13 11:01

Can Bitcoin reclaim $74K? – $559M BTC whale dump raises doubts

ambcrypto02/13 11:01

30% of Ethereum Supply Now Locked as Whales Accumulate Amid ETH Price Weakness

Approximately 30% of Ethereum's total supply is now locked in staking contracts, reaching a record high in the proof-of-stake ecosystem. Despite recent ETH price weakness, with values trading below $2,000, staking activity continues to rise, with 36.6 million ETH currently staked. This trend is largely driven by institutional and whale accumulation, effectively reducing liquid supply. The locked supply may constrain immediate selling pressure and could amplify future price movements if demand increases. Analysts note that this structural shift, combined with ongoing accumulation, might set the stage for a new phase in Ethereum’s market cycle despite current price challenges.

bitcoinist02/13 11:01

30% of Ethereum Supply Now Locked as Whales Accumulate Amid ETH Price Weakness

bitcoinist02/13 11:01

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