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Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends

Based on historical data from 2025, Bitcoin's (BTC) price action around FOMC meetings reveals a distinct pattern: the market often prices in macroeconomic expectations in advance, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" dynamic. Despite the actual policy decisions, BTC typically experiences selling pressure post-announcement, even during rate-cut cycles. Key findings show that BTC declined after most FOMC events in 2025, with the sharpest seven-day drops (-6.9% and -8%) occurring after the two 25-basis-point rate cuts in September and October. In contrast, meetings with unchanged rates resulted in mixed performance, ranging from +6.92% to -4.58%. This counterintuitive reaction is attributed to structural market dynamics rather than macroeconomic fundamentals. Before FOMC meetings, especially in July, September, and October, significant capital inflows and leveraged long positions were observed, leading to reduced spot liquidity. This over-leveraging often meant that any "hawkish" momentum was already priced in, leaving the market vulnerable to a sell-off once the actual decision was announced. Analysts note that FOMC events act more as market reset points than directional catalysts. When policy outcomes are highly anticipated, pre-meeting volatility compresses, and post-announcement volatility expands, creating predictable short-term dislocations. The data suggests that traders should prepare for heightened volatility, with potential retests of key support levels, such as $88,000, following the typical post-FOMC decline.

cointelegraph_中文12/11 05:16

Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends

cointelegraph_中文12/11 05:16

SOL Set for a Comeback? Whales Hoard 200K Coins, Shorts Liquidated, $145 Becomes the Make-or-Break Line

Solana (SOL) is showing multiple bullish signals, indicating a possible major price movement. Large investors, or "whales," have been aggressively accumulating SOL, with one new wallet withdrawing 200,000 SOL from Binance, reducing market supply by approximately $28 million and tightening exchange liquidity. Technically, SOL has formed a bullish MACD crossover, and its price is consolidating with higher lows within a $126-$145 range. A decisive break above the key $145 resistance level could trigger a rally toward $168 and beyond. On-chain data reveals a surge in organic demand, with DEX volume reaching $3.798 billion in 24 hours and $24.6 billion over the past week, a 12.7% increase. Furthermore, short sellers are being squeezed, with $293,000 in short liquidations—more than double the long liquidations—particularly on Binance around the $138.64 level. Futures market data shows persistent buying pressure, with the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) favoring buyers, indicating the accumulation of long-term positions rather than short-term speculation. This aligns with whale accumulation, suggesting coordinated capital deployment ahead of a potential upward move. In summary, SOL exhibits strong reversal signals from whale activity, technical indicators, on-chain momentum, and futures market dynamics. A sustained break above $145 is the critical level needed to confirm a shift from accumulation to a full bullish trend.

金色财经12/11 04:58

SOL Set for a Comeback? Whales Hoard 200K Coins, Shorts Liquidated, $145 Becomes the Make-or-Break Line

金色财经12/11 04:58

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