Новостной центр - Страница 1101

Save These 17 Predictions! a16z's Latest Report Reveals the 2026 Crypto Wealth Code

a16z's latest crypto report outlines 17 key predictions for 2026, focusing on major trends across stablecoins, AI, privacy, and industry infrastructure. Key insights include: stablecoin on/off ramps will mature, enabling seamless integration with traditional finance and daily payments; RWA tokenization will shift towards crypto-native models like perpetual futures rather than simple asset replication; and legacy banking systems will increasingly adopt stablecoins for innovation without core overhauls. AI agents will require new identity frameworks (KYA - Know Your Agent) and will transform research through nested, multi-agent workflows. Privacy will become a critical competitive moat for blockchains, creating strong network effects. The report also highlights the rise of prediction markets, staked media (where credibility is backed by on-chain commitments), and SNARKs becoming efficient enough for broad use beyond blockchain. Finally, it calls for clearer crypto regulations to unlock blockchain's full potential by aligning legal and technical structures.

marsbit12/12 03:21

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin (BTC) Unlikely to Break $100,000 Before Year-End

According to prediction markets, Bitcoin (BTC) is unlikely to surpass the $100,000 mark before the end of the year. Data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi shows the probability of BTC reaching this milestone by January 1st is only around 30-34%. This bearish sentiment follows a significant weakening of bullish momentum since Bitcoin's price crash on October 10th. Several factors are suppressing short-term price recovery, including growing macroeconomic uncertainty and a notable slowdown in Bitcoin purchases by large corporate buyers, such as MicroStrategy. Data from Capriole Investments indicates that the daily rate of corporate BTC acquisitions has been consistently declining, suggesting institutional investors may be experiencing fatigue. Technically, BTC is currently facing resistance around the $ $94,000 level. Analysts note that the price is consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern. A breakout above $ $94,589 could potentially push the price toward the $ $98,000 to $ $100,000 liquidity zone, though this is seen as a challenging hurdle in the short term.

cointelegraph_中文12/12 03:18

4 Key Themes Orchestrating the 2025 Crypto Symphony

Four Keywords Outline Crypto's 2025 Journey: Trump Effect, DAT Treasuries, Stock Tokenization, and the October Crash. 2025 was a pivotal year for crypto, marked by mainstream adoption, regulatory shifts, and extreme volatility. The year unfolded in four distinct acts: **Spring: The Trump Effect.** Following his January inauguration, President Trump's pro-crypto stance fueled a market surge. The "official" TRUMP meme coin created a wealth frenzy, and BTC approached $110k. Key developments included appointing a crypto-friendly SEC chairman and initiating a Bitcoin strategic reserve using seized assets, though not without controversy. **Summer: DAT Treasury Companies & Stablecoins.** A Trump-led global tariff war triggered a "Black Monday" crash in April. The market rebounded with the rise of DAT (Digital Asset Treasury) companies, following Circle's landmark IPO. Public companies like Sharplink and Bitmine pivoted to hold massive ETH treasuries, sparking a trend that later saw many face significant paper losses as hype faded. **Autumn: Stock Tokenization & Hype Cycles.** The success of stablecoins and Circle's stock performance ignited the RWA sector. Platforms like xStocks and MyStonks pioneered tokenized stock trading, a trend even Nasdaq sought to join. Meanwhile, hype surrounded new Perp DEXs like Aster and stablecoin projects like Plasma and the Trump-affiliated WLFI, though many saw dramatic price collapses later. **Winter: The October Crash & Prediction Markets.** After a new BTC high, a Trump-announced tariff hike on October 11th triggered a historic market crash, resulting in an estimated $30-40 billion in liquidations. In the aftermath, prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi emerged as dominant players, both achieving multi-billion dollar valuations as they became central to navigating the volatile political and financial landscape. The year demonstrated that while crypto is increasingly shaped by U.S. policy and TradFi adoption, it remains a high-stakes arena of immense opportunity and risk.

marsbit12/12 03:14

Binance cozies up to Trumps crypto platform with USD1 stablecoin links

Binance has expanded its support for the Trump-linked USD1 stablecoin by adding new fee-free trading pairs with major cryptocurrencies, including ETH, SOL, and BNB. The exchange will also convert all BUSD collateral into USD1 at a 1:1 ratio, further integrating the stablecoin into its ecosystem. USD1, issued by World Liberty Financial—co-founded by Donald Trump and his sons—is backed by U.S. Treasuries and ranks as the seventh-largest stablecoin with a $2.7 billion market cap. The move follows Trump’s recent pardon of Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, who was imprisoned for AML violations. Despite its growth, USD1’s supply has slightly declined since late October.

cointelegraph12/12 03:09

Ether vs. Bitcoin (BTC): ETH Price Could Achieve 80% Gain by 2026

An analysis of the ETH/BTC two-week chart suggests the potential for a significant price increase in Ethereum relative to Bitcoin by 2026. The chart pattern shows a developing inverse head and shoulders (IH&S) formation, a classic bullish reversal indicator that often appears after a prolonged downtrend. The pattern's left shoulder formed during a weak period in late 2024, followed by a sharp selloff in April 2025 that created the head near 0.0176 BTC. A recovery in Q4 2025 established a higher low, forming the right shoulder. The neckline resides near 0.0400 BTC. A decisive break above this resistance could confirm the pattern and pave the way for a move toward a target of 0.063 BTC in 2026, representing an 80% gain from recent levels. This potential rally is compared to a similar structural bottom and subsequent 450% breakout that occurred in the ETH/BTC pair between 2019 and 2020. However, analysts caution that Ethereum remains constrained by a multi-year descending trendline that has rejected every breakout attempt against Bitcoin since 2017. A failure to overcome this major obstacle could invalidate the bullish setup and increase the risk of a pullback toward long-term support near 0.0175 BTC.

cointelegraph_中文12/12 03:07

Dogecoin Barely Blinks As Musk Confirms X Money Is Running Internally

bitcoinist12/12 03:03

Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] tanks 11% – But bulls are quietly reloading

PENGU experienced an 11% decline, the largest among top cryptocurrencies, driven by significant capital outflows from its derivatives market. Open Interest dropped 19%, with $15.4 million withdrawn and nearly $1 million in long positions liquidated. However, bullish signals are emerging. Binance, holding the largest Open Interest at $22.7 million, shows a Long/Short Ratio of 1.6 and a positive funding rate, indicating strong buying interest. Spot markets also reflect accumulation, with $2.26 million net inflows over 48 hours. This suggests a potential rebound as bulls appear to be reloading despite the recent downturn.

ambcrypto12/12 03:01

The Illusion of Zero Fees: How Lighter Extracts Costs Through High Latency

"The Illusion of 'Zero Fees': How Lighter Uses High Latency to Hide Costs Lighter DEX promotes 'zero-fee' trading for retail traders, but this comes with a hidden cost: high latency. The platform offers two account types—standard (0% fee) and premium (low fee)—with the standard account imposing a 200–300ms delay on transactions. In crypto markets, where prices move rapidly, this delay allows faster traders to exploit price movements and trade against slower users. Academic research suggests the actual cost due to adverse selection and slippage ranges from 6–12 basis points per trade for standard accounts, compared to just 0.2–2 basis points for premium accounts. This makes the 'free' account effectively 5–10 times more expensive. The model resembles payment for order flow practices seen in traditional finance, where platforms like Robinhood profit by routing orders to market makers. While Lighter discloses latency data, it emphasizes 'zero fees' in marketing while burying latency details, knowing most users won’t understand the implications. For all traders—especially small retail investors—the premium account is unequivocally the better choice."

marsbit12/12 02:57

SEC clears DTCC to offer securities market tokenization service

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has granted a no-action letter to the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC), allowing its subsidiary, the Depository Trust Company (DTC), to offer a securities market tokenization service. This approval enables DTC to tokenize a range of assets, including the Russell 1000 index, ETFs, and US Treasury securities, in a controlled production environment. The service is expected to launch in the second half of 2026. The no-action letter confirms the SEC will not take enforcement action if the product operates as described. DTCC CEO Frank La Salla highlighted potential benefits such as collateral mobility, 24/7 access, and programmable assets. The approval is part of a broader trend of the SEC using no-action letters to provide regulatory clarity for crypto-related services.

cointelegraph12/12 02:49

DOGE Plummeting? 8% Weekly Drop Hides a $1 Easter Egg, Triple Signals Hint at a 6x Surge?

DOGE has experienced a sharp decline, dropping 5.5% daily and over 8% weekly, with its price hovering around $0.137. It has been trading within the $0.13–$0.155 range since Q4, failing to sustain a breakout after a mid-week drop triggered by the Fed's announcement. Despite the downturn, analysts highlight a strong bullish case. DOGE is currently testing a multi-year support level that has historically sparked significant rallies: three previous tests of this support led to surges of 87%, 210%, and 442%, respectively. If this support holds, some predict a potential 610% rally toward $1 by early 2026. Three key bullish signals are noted: - MACD is nearing a bullish crossover, which previously preceded major rallies. - The chart shows a descending wedge and rounding bottom pattern; a breakout could push DOGE to $0.20 (a 60% rise). - The weekly demand zone aligns with past major rebounds; holding here may lead to a 115% rebound toward $0.30. In summary, while short-term performance is weak, technical indicators and historical trends suggest a potential strong recovery, with short-term gains of 60–120% and a long-term target of $1. This dip may present a buying opportunity.

金色财经12/12 02:47