【龙虎榜】MUSK消息推升DOGE飙升,BTC抛压或再次出现

火必研究院Опубликовано 2022-04-26Обновлено 2022-04-28

Введение

BTC空头主力主导更多抛压,短线行情并不乐观。

1、大盘走势:震荡中反弹,交易量维持低位

随着跌幅不断扩大,4万美元以下的BTC价格迎来技术性反弹。24小时波动强度达到了6%,价格小幅回升2.48%。压力位方面,120日均线和60日均线在41600美元到41800美元之间,抛压距离当前40500美元很近。BTC近期反弹潜力有限,除非有效脱离4.5万美元。

而近期主力带来的抛压较大,交易活跃度较低的情况下,BTC价格易跌难涨。

交易所主力交易占比近期明显持续了两次峰值,分别出现在4月12日和4月24日,数值分别为0.753和0.624,表明主力抛压在这两个交易日的占比较高,意味着近期主力对价格的影响或许更大一些。

2、恐慌指数解读:

恐慌指数小幅反弹期间,数值依然低于30的位置运行,目前波动空间非常小,并且已经持续了多个交易日。因此,恐慌指数继续提示投资者的交易倾向,近期没有提示更强的抄底信号。恐慌指数在2022年以来持续低于50,表明多头实力不占优势,恐慌情绪随时可能蔓延,近期可继续关注对价格下跌的提示预期。

3、龙虎榜:

在主流币整体反弹期间,不同板块的币种都持续了技术性反弹。市值前100的币种里,涨幅靠前的币种有DOGE、GRT、LIDO和SNX等,涨幅都在13%以上。跌幅居前币种普遍回调幅度有限,价格以小幅横盘整理为主。

涨幅榜

DOGE

DOGE受到消息面影响,24小时涨幅扩大到32%以上,价格回升到0.164美元附近,波动强度达到了年内较高的一次。消息面,Twitter接受了埃隆·马斯克的收购交易后,dogecoin的价格暴涨。DOGE短线行情或可继续关注,但是其消息面出发的特征需要注意追踪风险。价格上涨需要更多消息刺激才行。

GRT

WEB3.0概念币种GRT短线技术反弹,24小时涨幅达到了17.4%,价格上涨并且脱离了价格横盘平台。4月份,GRT价格表现相对抗跌,回调期间跌幅显著收窄以后,小幅反弹期间期间持续盈利机会。但是累计放量不足,依然需要关注主流币整体表现对价格影响。

DeFi概念币种里,SNX、AAVE和CRV等涨幅居前,从市场表现看,3个币种都持续了企稳迹象。近期调整空间不大,波动空间减少,可以继续关注低吸交易机会。

LDO

作为ETH2.0质押概念重要币种,LDO市场表现强势,其锁仓维持在高位运行。据此判断,LDO的价格上行趋势还将延续。

跌幅榜

跌幅靠前的币种里,CAKE短线调整空间最大,这与币价在3月份以来始终超过100%有关。多数币种回调空间不大,整体市场反弹阶段,可继续注意低吸机会。同时可控制整体仓位投入,较低资金波动空间。

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