Arbitrum 2022年重大事件回顾与2023年发展路线展望

链茶馆Опубликовано 2023-01-30Обновлено 2023-01-30

Введение

不出意外的话,Arbitrum在未来市场将持续领跑 L2,现在唯一尚未解决的即是,代币究竟何时会出?以及会有怎样的市场反响?

Arbitrum是目前所有L2里完成度最高、用户体验最优的项目,去年平均每月有近40%的高速增长,交易量甚至超过了以太坊,在生态运营上有不少值得可圈可点的地方,本文仅作简单梳理。

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Arbitrum发展时间线

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两年之前的2021年1月,OffchainLabs在Arbitrum测试网启动了一批DeFi生态的Demo产品。

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2021年5月,Offchain Labs部署了Arbitrum One测试网,当时有超过250个团队申请接入。

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2021年9月,Arbitrum正式启动主网Arbitrum One,同时宣布完成了一轮1.2亿美元的B轮融资。

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2022年6月,推出了Odyssey项目,可让用户通过参与Odyssey NFT推广活动或者使用Arbitrum的生态系就能获得空投奖励,Optimism也有类似的机制。

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由于新用户的大量涌入导致交易成本上升甚至宕机,不得不暂停Odyssey,但也因此让团队大刀阔斧地发布了基于WASM架构的Nitro主网。

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2022年8月,推出升级版的Nitro,效率大幅提升。

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Arbitrum完成Nitro升级后,在交易量和日活用户上远远与OP拉开了距离,市场份额高达52.5%,

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目前Arbitrum还没有自己的治理代币,而Optimism的代币自2023年初以来已实现两位数的收益,可以看出两者之间的营运顺序完全相反。Arbitrum是先让技术升级,之后才要开始发币、搞空投、生态基金。

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Arbitrum的DApp生态

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Arbitrum上的常规DEX和借贷类应用并没有太多亮点,绝大多数人还是在Uniswap、Sushiswap的Arb版本上交易,但Arbitrum的DeFi生态大部分项目都是围绕着GMX所开展。

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GMX是去中心化衍生品交易平台,无需KYC认证,只要有链上钱包即可参与交易,而且也有Swap功能、允许最高开到30倍杠杆、支持Avalanche区块链、预言机报价0价差等竞品没有的功能。

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去年GMX排在所有协议/区块链中第8名,且有着超过120%的费用增长,在熊市成为逆风前进的项目。

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截止去年底,Arbitrum上用户地址数超过1000的有58个项目,超过10000的有39个项目。

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目前在Arbitrum上交易数最多的协议分别是Uniswap、Sushiswap、GMX、Hop、TreasureDAO、Galxe、Stargate、dopex 等。

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TVL排名前3的DApp分别为GMX、Uniswap V3、SushiSwap。此外游戏项目 magic网络(TreasureDAO)试图构建web3上的任天堂,要为不同游戏提供各种底层服务,初步展示出生态雏形。

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Arbitrum今年展望

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去年10月offchain labs在SmartCon 2022的演讲中说到,Arbitrum未来的计划会围绕在:

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1.继续降低费用,提升tps

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2.去中心化

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3.将管理和授权软件升级去中心化

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4.验证者去中心化

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5.sequencer去中心化

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以下则是市场预计Arbitrum今年的会有的动作:

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1.重启Odyssey项目

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2.发币、成立生态基金、战投基金等等

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3.强化目前Arbitrum的强势板块(DeFi和游戏)

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4.孵化Nova上的生态(社交+游戏)

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目前开发者生态趋势

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Electric Capital发现,虽然以太坊拥有最多的开发人员,但大多数每月活跃的开发人员其实都在其他生态系统上工作。

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2022年的开发者活跃度比2018年的熊市高很多,去年虽对币圈来说是动荡不安的一年,该行业仍吸引了超过61000名的新开发者,创历史新高。

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以太坊新开发者的占比约为16%,但Solana、NEAR和Polygon的开发人员同比增长40%,Sui、Aptos、Starknet、Mina、Osmosis、Hedera、Optimism和Arbitrum也正在吸引开发人员。

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可以看出,开发者参与度是「创造链上价值的先驱指标」,开发人员会构建杀手级dapp,为最终用户带来价值,不断吸引更多用户,再进而吸引更多开发人员,达到不断循环的最终目标。

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总结

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当然,目前OP虽然领先还是有许多不足之处,但Arbitrum把最核心的欺诈证明功能早以完整形态运作一段期间。在zkEVM成熟之前,持续以Op为主、zk为辅。

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不出意外的话,Arbitrum在未来市场将持续领跑 L2,现在唯一尚未解决的即是,代币究竟何时会出?以及会有怎样的市场反响?

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