2026-04-17 Sexta

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Don't Just Focus on Iran, the US Private Credit Crisis is Step by Step Repeating the 'Subprime Crisis'

Amidst geopolitical tensions, a private credit crisis is rapidly unfolding within the US financial system, drawing parallels to the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis. Major asset managers are facing significant stress: BlackRock restricted redemptions from its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund (HLEND), capping repurchases at 5% despite 9.3% redemption requests to avoid forced asset sales. Similarly, Blackstone’s $82 billion private credit fund (BCRED) saw a record 7.9% in redemption demands, prompting internal capital injections to avoid gating. Blue Owl Capital, whose stock fell below its $10 SPAC IPO price, sold $1.4 billion in loans to manage redemptions, exacerbating liquidity fears. PIMCO issued a stark warning, predicting a "full default cycle" for direct lending due to relaxed underwriting standards, overexposure to the software sector (vulnerable to AI disruption), and insufficient liquidity compensation for investors. The crisis highlights structural vulnerabilities: semi-liquid funds offering quarterly redemptions are backed by long-duration private loans, creating a mismatch. Redemptions force asset sales, driving down valuations and triggering further withdrawals—a vicious cycle reminiscent of 2008. With the private credit market valued at $1.8 trillion, systemic risks from opacity, concentration, and liquidity mismatches are now under severe strain.

比推03/09 05:28

Don't Just Focus on Iran, the US Private Credit Crisis is Step by Step Repeating the 'Subprime Crisis'

比推03/09 05:28

After the Rise of Stablecoin Status, Old Partners Circle and Stripe Compete for Each Other's Turf

Stablecoin Ecosystem Shift: Former Partners Circle and Stripe Now Compete as Boundaries Blur The stablecoin industry, once characterized by clear divisions of labor, is undergoing a significant transformation. Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, and Stripe, the global payment processor, were long-time partners. Circle focused on the "issuance layer," minting digital dollars, while Stripe managed the "payment layer," integrating them into commercial flows. This dynamic is changing as both companies strategically expand into each other's domains, driven by the maturation of the stablecoin market into a potential trillion-dollar financial infrastructure. Circle is moving beyond its role as a mere issuer. Its new strategy involves building a comprehensive payment network to capture more value from the circulation of USDC. Key initiatives include the Arc blockchain, the Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) for liquidity, and the Circle Payments Network (CPN), an open standard payment coordination network. This shifts Circle from a stablecoin supplier to an infrastructure builder. Conversely, Stripe is moving downward from the payment layer to control the underlying financial rails. Its acquisition of stablecoin infrastructure firm Bridge, which recently received preliminary approval for a U.S. trust bank charter, is a critical step. Stripe is also co-developing the Tempo blockchain and acquired wallet infrastructure company Privy, aiming to master the entire stack from issuance to settlement. The result is that these former allies are now on a collision course in the middle of the stablecoin value chain. The competition is evolving from a race for market share in stablecoin supply to a broader contest over who will control the fundamental networks and rails through which digital dollars flow. This signals the industry's transition from a crypto-native experiment to a full-scale rebuild of financial infrastructure.

Odaily星球日报03/09 05:01

After the Rise of Stablecoin Status, Old Partners Circle and Stripe Compete for Each Other's Turf

Odaily星球日报03/09 05:01

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