Why XRP price stalls as ledger activity nears January 2025 peak

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-05Last updated on 2026-02-05

Abstract

XRP price is currently under pressure, declining from over $2.30 to around $1.43. However, despite the downtrend, on-chain activity on the XRP Ledger is heating up. The 7-day SMA of Ledger Velocity has climbed back to 0.013, reaching levels last seen in January 2025, indicating a return to peak network intensity. Meanwhile, sentiment among XRP traders remains more constructive compared to other major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Analysts suggest that if the broader market stabilizes, XRP could potentially break away and move independently. Key factors for a recovery include price stabilization and reclaiming crucial short-term resistance levels.

Ripple’s XRP is under pressure, but there’s more to it than just the price. Activity on the XRP Ledger is picking up again, with velocity climbing back toward yearly highs.

Here’s the rundown.

XRP has the market’s support

Following last week’s major sell-off, traders aren’t as happy as they were with the slide in prices. Market leaders Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] are now seeing historically bearish sentiment.

But all’s not bad, with XRP being better loved in comparison. The positive-to-negative sentiment ratio means XRP traders have a more constructive outlook.

Santiment noted in an X post that markets often move against extreme fear and disbelief among retail participants. XRP’s strength proves that traders are moving differently.

This raises the chance of XRP breaking away and moving on its own... if the market stabilizes or sees a short-term bounce.

Ledger activity heats up

On the 3rd of February, the 7-day SMA of XRP Ledger Velocity climbed to 0.013, returning to the highest levels seen since January 2025. The metric is re-testing the upper end of its one-year range, which means network turnover has reached peak intensity again.

When velocity spikes during a downtrend, it typically signals intense asset circulation. This often happens when older coins are being moved or when short‐term market activity surges.

XRP under pressure

The altcoin was on a downtrend at the time of writing, sliding from above $2.30 at the start of the year to around $1.43. Price traded below the midline of the Bollinger Bands, while the lower band has expanded.

RSI dipped close to oversold territory, so there was selling pressure. MACD was bearish, with downside momentum yet to fully fade.

Despite potential for stable sentiment and activity, XRP is still looking for a base. Any recovery depends on price first slowing its decline and reclaiming key short-term levels.


Final Thoughts

  • XRP sentiment and ledger velocity are holding up even with falling prices.
  • A recovery depends on price stabilizing and reclaiming short-term resistance.

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Related Questions

QWhat is the current state of XRP price and ledger activity according to the article?

AThe XRP price is under pressure and on a downtrend, falling from above $2.30 to around $1.43. However, activity on the XRP Ledger is picking up, with its 7-day SMA velocity climbing back to the highest levels seen since January 2025.

QHow does the sentiment for XRP compare to other major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum?

AXRP has a more positive sentiment compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum. The article states that XRP is 'better loved in comparison, with a positive-to-negative sentiment ratio,' indicating traders have a more constructive outlook on XRP.

QWhat does a spike in XRP Ledger Velocity during a downtrend typically signal?

AA spike in XRP Ledger Velocity during a downtrend typically signals intense asset circulation. This often occurs when older coins are being moved or when there is a surge in short-term market activity.

QWhat are the key technical indicators suggesting about XRP's price momentum?

AThe key technical indicators are bearish. The price was trading below the midline of the Bollinger Bands, the RSI dipped close to oversold territory indicating selling pressure, and the MACD was bearish with downside momentum that had not yet fully faded.

QWhat does the article suggest is needed for an XRP price recovery?

AThe article suggests that for an XRP recovery, the price must first slow its decline and reclaim key short-term resistance levels. This recovery is dependent on the market stabilizing or seeing a short-term bounce.

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