TRON – How long can market bulls defend THIS long-term demand zone?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-11Last updated on 2026-02-11

Abstract

TRON (TRX) faces a critical test as it struggles to defend the long-term demand zone between $0.26 and $0.27. Despite strong network fundamentals and its role as a leading stablecoin settlement layer, the token shows signs of short-term bearish pressure. The weekly chart structure turned bearish after a drop below $0.27, with declining Open Interest and weakened buying momentum. While the $0.26–$0.27 zone presents a potential buying opportunity, further downside toward $0.245 is possible if bulls fail to hold. Traders are advised to remain cautious and monitor Bitcoin’s movement, as a broader market recovery could influence TRX's direction.

TRON [TRX] was unable to defend the $0.29-$0.30 demand zone during the sell-off that began in late January. At the time of writing, though the long-term swing structure of TRX was bullish, there was a good chance of a deeper retracement towards $0.245.

The network functionality has remained strong lately. AMBCrypto has already pointed out TRON’s position as the go-to stablecoin settlement layer. With its high transaction speeds and low fees, it is likely to remain that way in 2026.

On-chain activity and fundamental strength might not protect TRX bulls in the short term. Open Interest has declined steadily in February, indicating a fall in speculative conviction.

The $0.26-$0.27 demand zone was demonstrated to be a strong demand zone using the cost basis distribution heatmap. Will TRX see an influx of buyers to stop prices from falling beneath this floor?

TRON’s price action is at a make-or-break point for the bulls

The weekly chart revealed a steady uptrend since 2023, characterized by a series of higher lows. The most recent one was set at $0.26, coinciding with the cost basis demand zone at $0.26-$0.27.

The weekly RSI fell to 43, and the OBV has been relatively flat after the second half of 2025. Overall, while there is potential for recovery, the momentum and buying pressure have slowed down.

On the 1-day chart, the structure was flipped bearishly after the drop below $0.27 on Thursday, 05 February. The price bounce since then has been shallow, and has only filled the imbalance left behind by that day’s aggressive downward move.

The rally to $0.32 in the first week of December heraled a recovery from the longer-term Fibonacci retracement level at $0.27, but this move was soon fully retraced. Therefore, it seemed likely that TRX would drop deeper, towards the $0.245 support.

Traders’ call to action – Stay sidelined

The $0.26-$0.27 demand zone appeared a good buying opportunity, but the market trend was not indicative of a recovery at press time. It is possible that Bitcoin [BTC] would fall towards $60k to fill the weekly candlewick before a recovery.

Traders and investors can wait for this to play out before deciding whether to buy TRX or wait longer.

Final Thoughts

  • TRON has maintained its strong network performance and on-chain activity.
  • Price weakness could continue in the coming weeks and a drop towards $0.245 is possible.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

Related Questions

QWhat is the key long-term demand zone for TRON (TRX) that the article mentions?

AThe key long-term demand zone for TRON (TRX) is between $0.26 and $0.27.

QAccording to the on-chain data, what does the steady decline in Open Interest during February indicate?

AThe steady decline in Open Interest in February indicates a fall in speculative conviction among traders.

QWhat is the potential downside price target for TRX if the current support level fails?

AThe potential downside price target for TRX is a deeper retracement towards the $0.245 support level.

QDespite the bearish price pressure, what fundamental strength does the TRON network maintain?

AThe TRON network maintains strong fundamental strength as the go-to stablecoin settlement layer, characterized by high transaction speeds and low fees.

QWhat is the recommended trading strategy for TRX at the current market juncture according to the article?

AThe recommended trading strategy is to stay sidelined and wait for Bitcoin to potentially fall towards $60k before deciding whether to buy TRX or wait longer.

Related Reads

A Wave of Resistance Against AI Data Centers Sweeps the U.S., and the Most Vocal Are Not in Wealthy Areas

A nationwide movement against AI data center construction is gaining momentum across the US, from Vermont to California. New York's legislature recently passed a one-year moratorium, and Illinois has paused tax incentives for such projects. A new report, featuring exclusive data analysis from researcher Geoff Holtzman, challenges the narrative that opposition is led by wealthy "NIMBYs." Key findings reveal: 1) Resistance is highest in the poorest communities (19% protest rate) and lowest in the wealthiest (3.8%). 2) Proposed data centers facing community protests are over five times more likely to be canceled or paused (28.2% vs. 5.2%). 3) The higher cancellation rate in low-income areas is directly explained by their higher protest rates. A separate Heatmap poll shows 55% of Americans strongly oppose local data centers, with opposition strongest among Democrats, rural residents, and young adults (80% of 18-35 year olds). The analysis concludes that the anti-data center movement is largely driven by working-class communities and is proving effective at halting projects.

marsbit18m ago

A Wave of Resistance Against AI Data Centers Sweeps the U.S., and the Most Vocal Are Not in Wealthy Areas

marsbit18m ago

Yang Ge Gary: Agent Economy and AI Sub-Microeconomics

"Agent Economy and AI Submicroeconomics" by Gary Yang discusses the evolution of AI Agent economies, written from Singapore in June 2026. The author observes a significant "civilizational generational gap" in AI development, particularly highlighted by events in Silicon Valley. The article identifies a current bottleneck in the transition from Human-to-Agent (H2A) economies to true Agent-to-Agent (A2A) ecosystems. While AI Payment protocols are rapidly emerging, many implementations remain non-AI-native, focusing on traditional human decision-making models rather than leveraging autonomous Agent decision-making. A core thesis is the inevitable formation of an **Agent Economy**, defined as a system where autonomous AI Agents create, exchange, and capitalize value independently. This requires new infrastructure: **AI Protocols**, which are the foundational rules and standards for Agent interaction. The piece explores the relationship and current gap between AI Protocols and Crypto Protocols, suggesting political and regulatory factors from traditional finance are temporarily constraining development. However, a future fusion into a mature Digital Protocol system is deemed inevitable based on first principles. The author introduces **AI Agent Submicroeconomics**, contrasting it with human economics. Key differences include higher transaction frequency, lower value per transaction, efficiency-driven (not emotion-driven) decisions, task-oriented (not consumption-oriented) behavior, and near-zero organizational and communication costs. A biological analogy is drawn, comparing an Agent to a cell, its LLM to a nucleus, and its protocol stack to a cell membrane. The rise of **AIFi** (AI Finance) is presented as a natural consequence, where value originates from AI-native activities and is subsequently tokenized and financialized. This contrasts with DeFi/TradFi, where finance is the source of value. The concept of a **Financial Chip (FinChip)**—an autonomous AI Agent integrated with a crypto smart contract—is highlighted as key infrastructure for this new economy. The conclusion emphasizes that **AI-Native** thinking represents a paradigm shift distinct from "Internet+" upgrades. It requires reasoning from first principles, focusing on energy-value shortest paths and maximum efficiency, which presents a steep learning curve and significant challenge for all participants in this rapidly evolving field.

marsbit24m ago

Yang Ge Gary: Agent Economy and AI Sub-Microeconomics

marsbit24m ago

ViaBTC CEO Haipo Yang: Looking Back at the Decade, Re-understanding the Value of Crypto

In "A Decade in Retrospect: Re-evaluating the Value of Crypto," ViaBTC & CoinEx CEO Haipo Yang reflects on the cryptocurrency industry's evolution since founding ViaBTC in 2016. Initially a niche interest, Crypto has fundamentally transformed key financial infrastructures like market making, trading, settlement, and issuance through open protocols, as seen with Uniswap and GMX, and enabled efficient cross-border transfers via stablecoins. While acknowledging speculation's role in fueling innovation and liquidity, Yang warns it often overshadows real demand. He distinguishes between blockchain (a trust-minimizing technology), Web3 (an application model requiring genuine utility), and Crypto assets. The latter's value derives from block space as a commodity (e.g., gas fees) and "sovereign liquidity premium" (e.g., Bitcoin's censorship resistance), with most tokens lacking such dual support. Looking ahead, Yang argues the next decade's focus should shift from "open participation" to "sustainable participation," emphasizing reliable infrastructure. He predicts consolidation towards networks with strong security and liquidity (like Bitcoin and Ethereum), and sees DeFi becoming a specialized tool rather than a mass replacement for traditional finance. Crypto will integrate into traditional finance (e.g., via Bitcoin ETFs) but may sacrifice some decentralization for mainstream adoption. Real future demand may come from AI agents and machine economies needing permissionless settlement. Ultimately, Yang believes Crypto's enduring value lies not in hype or replacing everything, but in verifiably reducing trust costs, increasing efficiency, and providing stable, transparent services across market cycles.

marsbit24m ago

ViaBTC CEO Haipo Yang: Looking Back at the Decade, Re-understanding the Value of Crypto

marsbit24m ago

Silicon Valley Moguls Gather for 'Werewolf' Reality Show, Billionaires Engage in Power Gameplay

Silicon Valley elites, including OpenAI's Sam Altman, Anduril's Palmer Luckey, and Signal's Moxie Marlinspike, gathered not for a tech discussion, but to film a reality show playing "Mafia" (the US version of Werewolf). The show, titled *MAFIA*, is produced by the legendary venture capital firm Founders Fund. Held at the historic Tosca Cafe in San Francisco, the game revealed participants' real-time decision-making and personalities under pressure. Altman applied analytical logic, Luckey's playful style made him an early target, and Marlinspike skillfully shifted the group's thinking. The session quickly devolved into a battle of intuition and accusation after Figma's Dylan Field was eliminated first. More than just entertainment, the show is seen as a public experiment and a rebellion against standard VC narratives. It demonstrates how Silicon Valley's new elite leverages "infotainment" to build influence. As traditional media wanes, figures like Founders Fund are taking control of content creation, understanding that narrative control and public performance are becoming crucial capital in the internet age. The strategic thinking, persuasive communication, and rapid decision-making displayed in the game mirror the very skills that drive their real-world success.

marsbit1h ago

Silicon Valley Moguls Gather for 'Werewolf' Reality Show, Billionaires Engage in Power Gameplay

marsbit1h ago

ChatGPT's "Dreaming" Feature: A Must-Have for All AIs

ChatGPT has introduced a major new "Dreaming" memory system, making its AI assistant more human-like by automatically learning and updating user preferences over time. Unlike the older "Saved memories" feature, which required explicit user commands to store information, the new system actively synthesizes useful details from past conversations—such as travel plans, work projects, or personal interests—and intelligently determines which facts remain relevant and which have become outdated. OpenAI reports significant performance improvements: accuracy in recalling facts rose from 41.5% with the old system to 82.8% with Dreaming V3, while adherence to user preferences increased from 31.4% to 71.3%. A key enhancement is the system's ability to keep information current over time, with accuracy jumping from 9.4% to 75.1%. Users can now view and edit a "Memory Summary" page, see sources that influenced responses, and control memory settings. While the feature initially rolls out to US Plus and Pro users, it will later expand globally and to free-tier users. This evolution marks a shift for ChatGPT from a general conversational model toward a persistent, personalized assistant that builds a long-term understanding of each user—raising both practical possibilities and deeper questions about privacy and the nature of AI-human relationships.

marsbit2h ago

ChatGPT's "Dreaming" Feature: A Must-Have for All AIs

marsbit2h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

How to Buy TRX

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing TRON (TRX) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy TRON (TRX) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your TRON (TRX)After purchasing your TRON (TRX), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade TRON (TRX)Easily trade TRON (TRX) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

25.8k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy TRX

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of TRX (TRX) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions

Hot Categoriesright-arrow

Hot Tagsright-arrow