Is $1.81 next for XRP’s price after 229M whale transfers test bull flag?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-12Last updated on 2026-02-12

Abstract

XRP's price trajectory is being heavily influenced by significant whale activity, with 229 million XRP transferred between unknown wallets over two days. Analysis suggests these large movements, particularly from a top holder, indicate strategic accumulation rather than panic selling. Despite a 50% price drop from its July peak, large buy orders have clustered at lower levels, supporting the accumulation theory. Technically, XRP completed a bull flag formation after a 37% rally, but a bearish MACD crossover has emerged. The key for a bullish continuation is a confirmed bounce at the $1.30–$1.32 support zone, which could propel the price toward $1.81. Failure to hold this level may lead to a decline to $1.10, reframing the recent rally as a temporary relief. The outcome hinges on whale intent and buyer conviction, as reflected in volume.

XRP investors woke up to major headlines on 11 February. However, the pressure had been building well before that.

Over two days, 229 million XRP moved between unknown wallets. On 10 February, Whale Alert tracked 125 million XRP worth about $177 million shifting from one unknown wallet to another.

The next day, another 104.8 million XRP worth nearly $147 million followed. This transaction involved a sending wallet that was among the top 60 XRP holders – A sign of calculated repositioning by a major whale, rather than retail panic.

Unless those funds were sent to exchanges, it cannot be confirmed as selling. However, there is still room for uncertainty here. Was this quiet cold storage rotation, or exchange inflow disguised as OTC activity? The destination would have changed the narrative.

Large orders rise as price falls – Accumulation or distribution?

According to CryptoQuant, big and small whale orders stayed visible even as price dropped by about 50% from its July peak.

The large orders did not fade. Instead, yhey clustered more heavily at lower levels, and average order size stayed high despite retail panic.

This finding alluded to whales absorbing supply with bigger buy orders. While not absolute proof, the behavior did strongly lean towards accumulation across the board.

A bearish MACD cross on the bull flag – What’s next?

On 06 February, XRP’s price formed a bullish MACD crossover and rallied by 37%. Five days later, on 11 February, a bearish MACD crossover appeared as the price completed a bull flag formation on the charts.

After the 37% surge, the price consolidated into the flag structure. For continuation, XRP needs a confirmed bounce at the $1.30–$1.32 range. A breakout from that level would give another 37% move towards the $1.81-area. At the same time, the RSI was in oversold territory.

Failure to hold firmly above $1.30–$1.32 would invalidate the bullish setup. That would reframe the prior 37% advance as a relief rally and open the path towards $1.10. Volume expansion may be required to confirm buyers’ conviction.


Final Thoughts

  • Whale transfers and clustered orders hinted at accumulation, but confirmation will depend on price defense.
  • The $1.30–$1.32 zone will determine whether XRP breaks out towards $1.81 or slide towards $1.10.

Related Questions

QWhat was the total amount of XRP transferred between unknown wallets over two days, as mentioned in the article?

AA total of 229 million XRP was transferred between unknown wallets over two days.

QAccording to the article, what does the clustering of large orders at lower price levels suggest about whale activity?

AThe clustering of large orders at lower levels suggests that whales were likely absorbing supply with bigger buy orders, indicating accumulation rather than distribution.

QWhat is the critical price range that XRP needs to hold for the bullish setup to remain valid and target $1.81?

AXRP needs to hold above the $1.30–$1.32 range for the bullish setup to remain valid and target a move towards $1.81.

QWhat technical indicator showed a bearish crossover on February 11th, as the price completed a bull flag formation?

AA bearish MACD crossover appeared on February 11th as the price completed a bull flag formation.

QWhat would be the bearish outcome if XRP fails to hold above the $1.30–$1.32 support zone?

AIf XRP fails to hold above $1.30–$1.32, it would invalidate the bullish setup, reframe the prior advance as a relief rally, and open the path for a decline towards $1.10.

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