HTX Research Latest Report | Deciphering the Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: How a Ten-Billion-Dollar Market is Reshaping the Starting Line of Web3 Assets?

深潮Published on 2025-12-18Last updated on 2025-12-18

Abstract

HTX Research's latest report, "Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: How a Ten-Billion-Dollar Market is Reshaping the Starting Line for Web3 Assets," analyzes the emergence of a "1.5-level market" bridging primary and secondary crypto markets. Driven by tightened funding and prolonged token generation event (TGE) cycles, this pre-market allows the trading of future token value, points, and convertible rights (like NFTs or whitelist spots) before official listing. Key structures include OTC trades, spot trading, and innovative pre-listing perpetual contracts, exemplified by HTX's launch for WLFI. While growing into a multi-billion-dollar sector, the pre-market faces challenges like thin liquidity and information asymmetry. The report concludes it is a structural shift, not a short-term trend, fundamentally altering project launches, exchange listing strategies, and early user participation.

Recently, HTX Research, the exclusive research department under Huobi HTX, released its latest report titled "Pre-Market Asset Trading Ecosystem: Mechanism Evolution, Market Structure, and Future Trends Behind a Ten-Billion Scale." This report systematically studies the formation background, asset structure, typical models, and profound impact on project issuance and exchange systems of the pre-market trading ecosystem in the crypto market.

The report focuses on a rapidly emerging trend: against the backdrop of tightening financing environments and extended token issuance cycles, pre-TGE (Token Generation Event) trading activities are evolving from scattered attempts into a "1.5-level market" connecting primary and secondary markets, gradually becoming an independent market segment that cannot be ignored in the crypto industry.

From the "Pre-Token Vacuum" to the Pre-Market: A New Structure Between Primary and Secondary Markets

HTX Research points out that the rise of the pre-market trading ecosystem is not accidental. As primary fundraising contracts and project issuance cycles are passively extended, project teams are maintaining community activity through points, airdrop expectations, test qualifications, etc., while users continue to invest time and funds before TGE. In this process, previously non-tradable "early contributions" and "future expectations" gradually become assetizable.

At the same time, with lower barriers to token issuance and a surge in the number of projects, attention has become a scarce resource. Mechanisms for pre-market trading around attention, expectations, and future rights have naturally emerged, collectively forming an intermediate market that previously existed only within VCs and exchanges. This is an emerging 1.5-level market (Pre-Market), whose role is no longer just a speculative tool but a key structure reshaping project launch methods and early liquidity.

Three Asset Structures Comprising the Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem

From the perspective of "how future value is anchored," HTX Research categorizes pre-market assets into three structures:

The first category revolves around future token value, with trading models mainly including pre-market OTC, pre-market spot, and pre-market perpetual contracts. These assets are most directly linked to future spot prices and bear the most concentrated price discovery function in the pre-market stage.

The second category centers on points systems, i.e., user behavior points and their financialized derivatives, which have gradually formed a standardized points OTC market. Points, which carry user contribution and incentive expectations in airdrop economics, are incorporated into market pricing in advance through trading and profit-splitting mechanisms.

The third category revolves around future redeemable rights, appearing in forms such as NFTs, qualification certificates, or BuildKeys, converting non-standard rights like whitelists, Early Access, and token allocations into tradable assets.

These three structures collectively cover the complete chain from "user contribution—market expectation—rights confirmation—final settlement," making the pre-market no longer a single-point tool but a multi-layered pre-trading system.

Huobi HTX's Practical Exploration with Pre-Market Perpetual Contracts

As market demand expands and the ecosystem matures, pre-market trading is extending from OTC and spot forms to derivative structures. Pre-market perpetual contracts, as an innovative derivative design, allow users to engage in leveraged speculation around future spot prices before the token is officially listed, further advancing the possibility of price discovery. Currently, pre-market perpetual contracts have become one of the trading modes with the largest volume in pre-market trading.

In this direction, Huobi HTX previously took the lead in launching WLFI (World Liberty Financial) pre-market perpetual contracts before the official listing of the highly anticipated project, providing users with tools for early participation in price speculation and risk management before TGE. This practice also reflects the trend indicated in the report: the role of exchanges is extending from "listing nodes" to the "pre-issuance stage," and pre-market trading is becoming an important part of exchange product systems.

The Scale Potential and Structural Challenges of the Pre-Market

Pre-market trading already has a clear scale foundation. Leading projects often generate trading demand worth hundreds of millions of US dollars in the pre-market stage. The cumulative pre-market trading scale of projects like WLFI and Monad can even exceed one billion US dollars, making pre-market trading a ten-billion-dollar market with potential for further expansion.

However, the pre-market also exposes clear structural risks: liquidity is naturally thin, and prices are easily manipulated by large funds; settlement highly depends on project teams, and information asymmetry persists long-term; different asset forms lack unified standards in rules, performance, and risk allocation. These issues determine that the further expansion of the pre-market depends on whether it can transition from an "opportunistic market" to a more institutionalized and collaboratively governed structure.

Conclusion

HTX Research believes that pre-market trading is not a short-term gimmick but a structural trend driven by changes in the financing environment, the evolution of user participation methods, and the extension of trading platform products. It is reshaping project issuance paths, exchange listing logic, and how users participate in early markets.

In this process, pre-market trading is gradually evolving from a "gray area before issuance" into a key foundational layer connecting primary and secondary markets. Its final form may become a long-term, increasingly institutionalized core market structure in the crypto market.

About HTX Research

HTX Research is the exclusive research department under Huobi HTX, responsible for in-depth analysis of a wide range of areas including cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends, writing comprehensive reports, and providing professional evaluations. HTX Research is committed to providing data-driven insights and strategic foresight, playing a key role in shaping industry perspectives and supporting informed decision-making in the digital asset field. With rigorous research methods and cutting-edge data analysis, HTX Research is always at the forefront of innovation, leading the development of industry thought, and promoting a deeper understanding of the ever-changing market dynamics. Visit us.

If you wish to communicate, please contact research@htx-inc.com

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat is the main focus of the latest HTX Research report on the pre-market trading ecosystem?

AThe report systematically studies the formation background, asset structure, typical models, and the profound impact of the pre-market trading ecosystem on project issuance and exchange systems in the crypto market.

QAccording to the report, what are the three main asset structures that constitute the pre-market trading ecosystem?

AThe three structures are: 1) Assets tied to future token value (pre-market OTC, spot, and perpetual contracts), 2) Assets centered around points systems and their financialized derivatives, and 3) Assets representing future exchangeable rights (e.g., NFTs, qualification certificates, BuildKey).

QWhat role did HTX play in the development of pre-market perpetual contracts, as mentioned in the report?

AHTX pioneered the practice by launching pre-market perpetual contracts for the WLFI (World Liberty Financial) project before its TGE, providing users with tools for early price speculation and risk management.

QWhat is the estimated scale of the pre-market trading ecosystem, and what are its main challenges?

AThe pre-market trading ecosystem is a multi-billion dollar market, with top projects generating hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in trading demand. Its main challenges include thin liquidity, price susceptibility to large funds, high dependency on project issuers for settlement, information asymmetry, and a lack of unified standards.

QHow does HTX Research view the long-term significance of pre-market trading?

AHTX Research believes pre-market trading is not a short-term trend but a structural shift driven by changes in financing environments, user participation models, and exchange product evolution. It is reshaping project launch paths, exchange listing logic, and how users engage with early markets, potentially becoming a core, institutionalized market structure in crypto.

Related Reads

The Biggest Political Economy Question in the AI Era: As Robots Become More Capable, How Do Humans Share the Value?

In the AI era, the most pressing political economy question is: as machines become increasingly capable, how can humanity share in the value they create? An article originally critiquing China's tech focus has sparked a deeper debate on this global challenge. Historically, industrial progress improved efficiency but still relied on human labor for wealth creation and distribution. AI is fundamentally different—it is now replacing cognitive and knowledge work. As AI and robots take over more tasks, economic growth may continue while direct human participation in value creation shrinks, creating a core tension between productivity gains and widespread income generation. The issue is not unique to China. While leading tech companies amass enormous wealth, labor's share of income is declining globally. The core problem is a broken link: technological innovation and corporate profits are not translating into sufficient consumer income and demand. Three potential paths forward are outlined: a traditional capitalist model where profits primarily go to capital owners; a state-capitalist approach with public investment in AI; and more innovative models like digital sovereign wealth funds, universal shareholding, or AI-era basic income schemes to directly distribute AI-generated value. The future competitive advantage may lie not just in technological supremacy, but in which society can build a new, inclusive distribution system for the intelligent economy. The ultimate challenge is ensuring that as AI creates value, humans have a means to obtain income and share in the resulting widespread social benefits.

marsbit4m ago

The Biggest Political Economy Question in the AI Era: As Robots Become More Capable, How Do Humans Share the Value?

marsbit4m ago

Generating Profits for Seven Consecutive Quarters, Emerging Markets Carry Trade Outperforms Everything

For the seventh consecutive quarter, dollar-funded emerging market carry trades have delivered positive returns, marking the longest winning streak since 2008. According to Bloomberg's index, this strategy has gained approximately 22% since late 2024, outperforming U.S. Treasuries, emerging market sovereign, and corporate dollar debt. The core of the trade involves borrowing low-interest currencies like the U.S. dollar, euro, or yen to invest in high-yielding emerging market assets, such as Turkish lira bonds offering over 40% returns. Returns were amplified by favorable currency moves, with the dollar weakening against most emerging market currencies and other traditional funding currencies. For instance, the trade gained 48% on the Colombian peso in the past year. A key test came in August 2024 with a historic joint U.S.-Japan currency intervention, which caused only a modest 1% dip in the carry trade risk premium as investors shifted funding from the yen to the euro and Swiss franc. Looking ahead, the primary risk is the timing of Federal Reserve policy changes. While persistent inflation allows the Fed to hold rates, a rapid rise in long-term U.S. yields could threaten the trade. Another concern is crowding, as massive inflows increase vulnerability to a sudden reversal. High interest rates in regions like Latin America and Eastern Europe, supported by external factors like Middle East tensions and energy prices, continue to sustain the opportunity. Major investors remain engaged, favoring currencies like the Mexican peso, South African rand, and Turkish lira.

marsbit19m ago

Generating Profits for Seven Consecutive Quarters, Emerging Markets Carry Trade Outperforms Everything

marsbit19m ago

Unpacking the Truth Behind On-chain Assets: Leverage, Liquidity, and Risk

The article analyzes the concept of "real-world asset" (RWA) tokenization, arguing that while tokenizing assets on-chain is a useful step, it is far from transformative on its own. The author compares it to placing a barcode on a shipping container—it enables identification but does not build the necessary market infrastructure. The core argument is that true value emerges not from tokenization, but from integrating these tokens into DeFi systems where they can be valued, financed, hedged, traded, and liquidated under stress. Key challenges identified include: 1. **Multiple Time Clocks**: A fundamental tension exists between blockchain's 24/7 settlement and the slower, business-hour-dependent processes of traditional markets, custody, and redemption. This "duration mismatch" can create dangerous liquidity gaps during crises. 2. **Liquidity Misconceptions**: True liquidity is not measured by Total Value Locked (TVL) or trading pairs, but by the ability to exit a position within a required timeframe at an acceptable price. It requires analyzing multiple exit paths and stress-testing scenarios. 3. **Leverage and Risk**: Leverage unlocks economic utility (e.g., using tokenized assets as collateral) but also introduces fragility. Risk models must account for more than asset volatility, incorporating factors like legal enforceability, oracle freshness, and market structure. Paradoxically, a "safer" asset like tokenized Treasury bonds could require a higher collateral discount than ETH due to slower, less-proven liquidation mechanisms. 4. **A Risk Graph**: RWA risk should be modeled as a network of interconnected dependencies (e.g., issuers, custodians, oracles, stablecoin pools), not a single score. Failures can propagate through this graph, turning operational issues into systemic liquidity crises. The article states that tokenized government bonds are merely an entry point, while more complex frontiers like computing power and energy assets present greater challenges and opportunities. It also examines the interplay and risks between tokenized stocks and perpetual futures contracts. The conclusion is that the future lies not in "tokenizing everything," but in building robust market layers where tokenized rights become resilient financial primitives within a programmable capital system. The token is just the barcode; the market is the machine.

marsbit43m ago

Unpacking the Truth Behind On-chain Assets: Leverage, Liquidity, and Risk

marsbit43m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is SKDD

Designed to provide -2x inverse leveraged returns of SK Hynix stock's daily price movements, this is a single-day short leveraged ETF under GraniteShares. It is suitable for investors with a short-term bearish outlook on SK Hynix for tactical allocation.

540 Total ViewsPublished 2026.08.19Updated 2026.08.19

What is SKDD

How to Buy SKDD

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing GraniteShares 2x Short SK Hynix Daily ETF (SKDD) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy GraniteShares 2x Short SK Hynix Daily ETF (SKDD) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your GraniteShares 2x Short SK Hynix Daily ETF (SKDD)After purchasing your GraniteShares 2x Short SK Hynix Daily ETF (SKDD), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade GraniteShares 2x Short SK Hynix Daily ETF (SKDD)Easily trade GraniteShares 2x Short SK Hynix Daily ETF (SKDD) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

486 Total ViewsPublished 2026.08.19Updated 2026.08.19

How to Buy SKDD

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of A (A) are presented below.

活动图片