Can ARB’s price absorb 92.65M new tokens without losing its pace?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-14Last updated on 2026-07-14

Abstract

On July 16th, 92.65 million ARB tokens (worth approximately $8.53 million) are scheduled to unlock, representing 1.65% of the current circulating supply. The release will be allocated to the Arbitrum team, advisors, and investors. While token unlocks do not always lead to immediate selling, they can impact price in the short term. Despite the impending event, ARB's price has recently recovered above $0.09, with technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggesting positive momentum and buyer dominance. Additionally, rising aggregated open interest and a positive funding rate indicate traders are largely holding optimistic, long positions. However, this sentiment could increase volatility if the market moves contrary to expectations. The key question remains whether buying demand will be sufficient to absorb the new token supply without disrupting the recent price recovery.

On 16th July, 92.65 million ARB are scheduled to enter circulation. The release is valued at around $8.53 million and makes up 1.65% of the token’s currently released supply.

The unlocked tokens will be divided between two main groups. Around 56.13 million ARB will go to the Arbitrum team, future team members, and advisors. The remaining 36.52 million ARB will be allocated to investors.

Source: The Tokenomist

Here, it’s worth noting that token unlocks don’t always lead to immediate selling. However, the new supply can move price in the short-term, depending on how recipients manage their holdings.

AMBCrypto previously reported that 10% of fees collected from Robinhood Chain and other Arbitrum Layer-2 networks will be directed to the Arbitrum ecosystem. This development is separate from the token unlock, but the growing source of ecosystem value may also be factoring into ARB’s longer-term outlook.

How is ARB’s price doing?

Despite the impending event, ARB has recovered on the charts in recent sessions.

In fact, after falling towards the $0.07 range, the altcoin moved back above $0.09. Perhaps, there was buying interest ahead of the unlock.

Source: TradingView

The RSI was near 63 at press time meaning that the buyers had the upper hand without moving into overbought territory. MACD also turned positive, and that supported the move up.

The unlock could test this recovery. The future depends on whether buying demand stays strong enough to absorb the additional tokens.

Hope for derivatives traders?

Finally, ARB’s Aggregated Open Interest went up to around $60.9 million. Many more traders seemed to be holding active positions in the market.

Source: Coinalyze

At the same time, the average funding rate was also positive at 0.0083%. Long positions appeared to be outweighing short positions, with traders largely expecting further upside on the charts.

What’s interesting is that this long positioning can also increase volatility if the market moves in the opposite direction.


Final Summary

  • Arbitrum will unlock 92.65 million ARB on 16th July.
  • At the time of writing, ARB’s price had recovered above $0.09, with traders being optimistic too.

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Related Questions

QHow many new ARB tokens are scheduled to be unlocked on July 16th and what is their approximate value?

A92.65 million ARB tokens, valued at approximately $8.53 million, are scheduled to be unlocked.

QWho are the two main groups receiving the unlocked ARB tokens?

AThe unlocked tokens will be divided between the Arbitrum team, future team members, and advisors (around 56.13 million ARB), and investors (36.52 million ARB).

QAccording to the article, what were the RSI and MACD indicators for ARB suggesting at press time?

AThe RSI was near 63, indicating buyers had the upper hand without moving into overbought territory. The MACD had also turned positive, supporting the upward price move.

QWhat does the positive average funding rate for ARB imply about trader positioning?

AA positive average funding rate of 0.0083% implies that long positions are outweighing short positions, indicating traders largely expect further price increases.

QWhat is one potential risk mentioned in the article regarding the high number of long positions in the derivatives market?

AThe high level of long positioning can increase volatility if the market price moves in the opposite direction, potentially leading to sharper price declines.

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