Analytics Company That Predicted Bitcoin's Sharp Drop Warns: This Level Could Determine BTC's Fate!

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-18Last updated on 2026-08-18

Abstract

Analytical firm 10x Research, which previously predicted Bitcoin's sharp decline, warns that the $63,000 level is now critical in determining BTC's fate. As Bitcoin consolidates between $60,000 and $65,000, founder Markus Thielen states that a monthly close above $63,000 could serve as a key technical signal, potentially resetting cycle indicators and marking an exit from the bear market. He emphasizes that $63,000 is a pivotal threshold due to six months of consolidation around $60,000 before the 2024 U.S. election and Bitcoin's 2021 peak near $64,000. Following the election, prices surged from $70,000 to $90,000 on low volume, leaving limited support below. Thielen recalls his earlier warning that a break below $93,000 could trigger a drop to $65,000, underscoring the $60,000-$65,000 zone's importance as a major trading range. However, risks remain if Bitcoin fails to hold above $63,000. Key factors include ETF inflows, institutional demand, U.S. bond yields, and miner selling pressure. Thielen concludes that, alongside maintaining the $63,000 level, positive developments in these risk areas are also necessary for a sustained recovery.

While the leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin is stuck in the $60,000 to $65,000 range, it continues to search for a direction. The next movement of $BTC is being closely watched, and the latest analysis from 10x Research points to the $63,000 level.

Crypto research firm 10X Research stated that it considers the $63,000 level key for Bitcoin's recovery or further decline.

At this stage, Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, asserts that the current $63,000 price range is a decisive factor that will determine whether $BTC reaches a bottom or faces another sharp drop.

Thielen notes that a Bitcoin monthly close above the $63,000 mark could be an important technical signal for the market cycle. He suggests that such a close would return some cyclical indicators to positive territory, creating stronger grounds for exiting the bear market.

$63,000 Is a Critically Important Level for Bitcoin!

Thielen pointed out that $63,000 is not a simple level for $BTC. According to the analyst, Bitcoin traded sideways around $60,000 for about six months prior to the 2024 US presidential election. Furthermore, $BTC's initial peak in 2021 was also around $64,000.

Following Donald Trump's election victory, the price quickly rose from $70,000 to $90,000. At this stage, the analyst noted that trading volume in the $70,000–$90,000 range was low, leaving limited support for a further decline.

Recalling his previous warning that a break below $93,000 in November 2025 could trigger a sharp drop to $65,000, the analyst now states that the area around $60,000 is critical.

The analyst also noted that a significant amount of $BTC changed hands in the $60,000–$65,000 range, and that he considers $63,000 a critical threshold for determining whether Bitcoin confirms a bottom for its bear market.

However, risks remain if Bitcoin fails to hold above this level. Specifically, ETF inflows, institutional demand, US bond yields, and miner pressure are among the key risk factors for Bitcoin. Therefore, the analyst argues that besides keeping $BTC above $63,000, positive changes in the areas he considers risk factors are also necessary.

*This is not investment advice.

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Related Questions

QWhat is the key price level that the research firm 10x Research believes will determine Bitcoin's fate?

AThe key price level is $63,000.

QAccording to the article, why is the $63,000 level historically significant for Bitcoin?

ABitcoin traded sideways around $60,000 for about six months prior to the 2024 U.S. election, and its initial 2021 peak was at $64,000.

QWhat potential technical signal does founder Markus Thielen highlight for Bitcoin's market cycle?

AHe highlights that a monthly close above $63,000 could serve as an important technical signal, potentially turning some cycle indicators positive and providing a stronger basis for exiting the bear market.

QBesides holding above $63,000, what does the analyst say is also necessary for Bitcoin's recovery?

APositive changes in risk factors such as ETF inflows, institutional demand, U.S. bond yields, and miner selling pressure are also necessary.

QWhat did the analyst previously warn about in November 2025 regarding Bitcoin's price, as mentioned in the article?

AHe previously warned that a break below $93,000 in November 2025 could trigger a sharp drop to $65,000.

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