[Weekly Readings] Dominoes are still falling, BTC is still strong in market crashing

HuobiDipublikasikan tanggal 2022-11-18Terakhir diperbarui pada 2022-11-22

Abstrak

The earthquake caused by FTX is weakening, but the dominoes are still falling. Are we at the starting point of a new round of bull market?

1.How The Genesis Withdrawal Halt Impacts The Entire Crypto Market

By now, the news of crypto lender Genesis halting withdrawals has already made the rounds. The implications of this on...

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2.Market Wrap: Bitcoin Rises on Encouraging Inflation News

The latest inflation data on Tuesday suggested that the U.S. central bank was winning its campaign against inflation, and crypto investors relished the news.
The largest cryptocurrency hovered near $16.8K. Ether and other altcoins also surge.

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3.Forbes: These Investors Stand To Lose The Most From FTX’s Implosion

No one is set to lose more from FTX’s implosion than Sam Bankman-Fried, the crypto wunderkind who founded the exchange and then drove it into the ground this week. His net worth, once as high as $26.5 billion, has plummeted to less than a billion dollars–one of the fastest falls from the billionaires ranks ever. FTX users and employees may be in for big losses too, with Bankman-Fried now trying to cobble together emergency funding to cover a shortfall of up to $8 billion as customers demand their money back. “I can't make any promises,” he tweeted Thursday. “But I'm going to try.”

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4.NY Times: How SBF’s Crypto Empire Collapsed

Mr. Bankman-Fried said in an interview that he had expanded too fast and failed to see warning signs. But he shared few details about his handling of FTX customers’ funds.

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5.Will CEX's Crisis of Trust Affect Huobi?

All in all, we don't believe Huobi's robustness and CEX 's long-term prospects should be questioned. On the contrary, the robustness of Crypto will be further strengthened after this crisis, and the prospects of CEX are still worth looking forward to.

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6.Crypto’s Transparency May Be Part of the Problem Right Now

More visibility into money movements can help investors, but it can also make concern spread faster

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Bacaan Terkait

Pembongkaran Strategi Trading Bitcoin: Prediksi Selebritas dan Model Klasik Semua Tidak Akurat, Hanya Empat Indikator Ini yang Tersisa

Penulis, yang bukan trader profesional, mengembangkan strategi trading Bitcoin dengan mengevaluasi berbagai metode prediksi dari 2017 hingga 2025. Ia menyimpulkan bahwa prediksi dari selebritas dan model klasik seperti Stock-to-Flow tidak akurat, sementara indikator on-chain dan data institusional lebih andal. Empat indikator inti yang dipilih: 1. **MVRV Z-Score**: Mengukur deviasi harga dari biaya rata-rata pemegang, efektif untuk identifikasi bottom (daerah hijau), tetapi tidak akurat untuk puncak sejak 2024. 2. **SOPR 28-hari**: Menunjukkan penjualan rugi saat di bawah 1.0, sinyal bottom yang historis stabil. 3. **Aliran Dana ETF**: Indikator institusional kunci sejak 2024, dengan aliran masuk/keluar yang signifikan menunjukkan akumulasi/penjualan. 4. **Likuiditas Makro (Fed dan M2)**: Menentukan arah umum pasar, bukan timing. Fear & Greed Index digunakan hanya sebagai konfirmasi tambahan. Strategi ini mengandalkan resonansi tiga atau lebih sinyal untuk mengambil keputusan. Sistem otomatis memantau data, mengirim notifikasi hanya saat sinyal kuat terdeteksi. Pada 15 April 2026, sistem menunjukkan tiga sinyal bottom: Fear & Greed = 12 (panik ekstrem), MVRV di zona hijau, dan SOPR < 1.0, mirip dengan kondisi bottom historis seperti 2018, 2020, dan 2022. Namun, aliran ETF masih lemah, menunggu konfirmasi institusional. Penekanan pada kerangka kerja yang dapat diuji, bukan prediksi subjektif.

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Pembongkaran Strategi Trading Bitcoin: Prediksi Selebritas dan Model Klasik Semua Tidak Akurat, Hanya Empat Indikator Ini yang Tersisa

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