比特币(BTC)和山寨币正经历大幅上涨!但Glassnode对此仍不确信:公司警告投资者并解释关键水平!

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-20Last updated on 2026-08-20

Abstract

加密货币市场昨夜开始大幅上涨,比特币过去24小时内涨幅约1.91%,突破72,000美元关口,以太坊等主要竞争币也出现显著上涨。市场分析将此轮上涨归因于美国国债市场事件带来的流动性预期增强,以及华盛顿方面对加密货币的积极表态,提振了投资者的风险偏好。 然而,加密货币分析公司Glassnode对此持谨慎态度。其最新分析指出,比特币近期的反弹更像是短期上升趋势,而非趋势的根本逆转。Glassnode认为,比特币当前价格仍低于短期持有者成本线(约68,500美元)和全网平均成本线(75,800美元),表明市场结构依然疲弱。此外,虽然期货市场需求转正且ETF资金流趋于稳定,但Coinbase溢价仍为负值,显示美国市场的现货需求尚未实质复苏。 Glassnode总结道,要更有力地确认比特币进入上涨趋势,需要其价格持续突破关键成本水平,同时现货需求出现实质性增强。

昨晚,加密货币市场开始强劲上涨,并持续至今。过去24小时内,比特币上涨约1.91%,突破72,000美元大关,山寨币也跟随上涨。

最大的山寨币以太坊上涨了约20%,而其他主要山寨币如Solana和XRP也录得了两位数的涨幅。

据彭博社报道,价格上涨是由于美国国债市场事件和华盛顿对加密货币的积极声明增强了投资者的风险偏好,从而提高了流动性预期。

据彭博社报道,市场情绪的改善,得益于对美国加密货币友好政策的预期以及国债流动性的增加,推动了数字资产市场的上涨。

彭博社报道称,比特币在空头平仓后经历了飙升,创下了自3月份以来最大的单日涨幅。

这并不意味着趋势的改变!

就在讨论比特币和山寨币的上涨是否会持续之际,加密货币分析公司Glassnode给出了谨慎的评估。

在其最新分析中,Glassnode声称,比特币近期的复苏更像是短期上行趋势,而非趋势逆转。

Glassnode认为,比特币近期的复苏尚未表明新的上升趋势已经开始。Glassnode指出,目前BTC价格低于短期投资者的成本门槛(约68,500美元)以及75,800美元的平均市场价格,并坚称市场仍然疲软。

另一方面,相对未实现亏损已升至周期高点的25%,但仍远低于先前周期中观察到的60%或更高水平。此外,90天实现盈亏比为0.75,仍高于历史上卖方耗竭阶段通常观察到的0.5水平。

最后,Glassnode指出,永续期货的需求已转为正值,ETF资金流入也已稳定,但Coinbase溢价仍为负值,这表明美国的现货合约需求尚未显著恢复。

Glassnode的分析认为,在这种情况下,需要持续突破关键成本水平并增强现货需求,才能更有力地确认比特币进入上升趋势。

*本文不构成投资建议。

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Related Questions

Q根据文章内容,最近比特币和以太坊等加密货币的价格上涨的主要原因是什么?

A文章指出,价格上涨主要归因于两个方面:一是市场对美国国债市场事件带来的流动性增加的预期;二是华盛顿方面发表的关于加密货币的积极言论,增强了投资者的风险偏好。

Q分析公司Glassnode对最近的比特币上涨持什么观点?

AGlassnode认为,比特币最近的上涨更可能是一个短期的上升趋势,而非趋势的根本性逆转,并不意味着开启了新的上涨趋势。他们指出比特币当前价格低于多个关键成本线,市场结构依然疲软。

Q根据Glassnode的分析,比特币需要满足哪些条件才能更令人信服地确认其进入上涨趋势?

AGlassnode指出,需要有持续突破关键成本水平(如投资者短期实现价格约68,500美元和平均市场价格约75,800美元)的支撑,并且现货需求需要显著增强,才能更令人信服地确认比特币进入上涨趋势。

Q文章中提到哪些具体的加密货币价格表现数据?

A比特币在过去24小时内上涨约1.91%,突破72,000美元。以太坊上涨了约20%。其他主要竞争币如Solana和XRP也实现了两位数的增长。比特币还录得了自3月份以来的最大单日涨幅。

QGlassnode报告中提到了哪些当前市场疲软的指标?

A报告中提到的疲软指标包括:1) 比特币价格低于投资者短期实现价格(约68,500美元)和平均市场价格(约75,800美元)。2) 现货需求未显著复苏,这体现在Coinbase溢价为负值上。此外,尽管一些指标如永续期货需求已转正,但整体市场卖方力量并未完全耗尽。

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