SpaceX首份财报将出炉 马斯克AI支出引华尔街关注

投研日志Published on 2026-08-04Last updated on 2026-08-04

Abstract

SpaceX将于美东时间8月4日公布上市后首份财报,市场预期营收为68.8亿美元,每股亏损0.23美元。尽管公司股价较发行价回落超50%,摩根士丹利仍维持300美元目标价,核心逻辑在于对其AI业务及Starlink长期增长的押注。目前,AI业务与连接业务是主要增长引擎,但财报后的大规模限售股解禁构成短期显著压力。投资者需重点关注Starlink用户增长、AI变现路径及Starship研发进度,任何技术延期或成本超支均可能导致估值承压。

亿万富豪马斯克旗下太空探索科技公司(SpaceX)预计明天美股盘后公布上市后首份财报,将成为外界观察星链卫星事业获利能否支撑该公司AI和太空业务急速扩张的初步指标。

全球首富马斯克旗下的SpaceX,合成画面,背景为SpaceX的火箭升空。路透社

SpaceX于美东时间6月12日以每股135美元、代号SPCX,在纽约那斯达克交易所挂牌上市,收盘上涨19.22%,首日交易市值约达2.2兆美元,居全球第6大企业。

不过,随着近来市场热情消退和科技股卖压涌现,SpaceX现已跌破首次公开募股(IPO)的135美元发行价。

路透社报导,这份截至6月30止的季报将使SpaceX人数有限的公众投资人首次有机会审视,该公司截至目前高昂估值背后的财务基础能否支撑执行长马斯克(Elon Musk)打造横跨人工智能(AI)、太空与电信的企业巨头愿景。

马斯克一向强调AI是SpaceX未来成长引擎,其雄心壮志从出租运算资源给其他公司,扩大至自行研发前沿AI模型、消费及企业软件,甚至规划未来于太空建置资料中心。

但在AI业务及“星舰”(Starship)火箭发射事业实现自负盈亏前,马斯克拟以星链(Starlink)部门获利支应这2大事业;有反对者认为这项策略无法持久。

资产管理公司GraniteShares创办人暨执行长林德(Will Rhind)说:“星链(事业)运作得非常出色,但无法独自支撑一年高达300亿美元的AI资本支出计划。”

据报导,该公司上季营收估达69.3亿美元、息税前亏损预计为15.5亿美元。

伦敦证券交易所集团(LSEG)汇整分析师的预测资料显示,SpaceX第2季AI业务营收估激增近3倍至23.3亿美元,将远高于前一季的12.5%增幅。星链部门营收成长率预计从前一季的31.6%跃升至52.6%,主要受惠于业务拓展至更多国家。

SpaceX第1季AI扩张支出达77.2亿美元,约占当时资本支出总额3/4。分析师预估第2季资本支出总额将逼近140.5亿美元。

根据Visible Alpha数据,该公司上季针对AI领域的资本支预计比去年同期暴增逾6倍,来到102亿美元。

SpaceX上季连接业务(星链)营收估达38.2亿美元;营业利益预估为14.2亿美元,将高于第1季的11.9亿美元;同期火箭发射业务营收估达8亿7140万美元,营运亏损估达7.73亿美元。(中央社)

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