分析狗狗币跌至2023年低点——DOGE能否重返0.07美元?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-24Last updated on 2026-07-24

Abstract

狗狗币(DOGE)在整体加密货币市场回调中跌破0.07美元关键支撑位,跌至0.068美元,触及2023年11月以来低点。价格下跌伴随着交易量激增57%,并引发大规模杠杆头寸清算,多头清算额远超空头。数据显示,永续合约和期货市场资金呈现净流出,卖压显著,反映交易者正恐慌性离场。技术指标RSI显示DOGE已接近超卖区域,下行压力巨大。然而,现货市场的资金净流出表明部分持有者选择提币离场,这可能减轻交易所内的即时抛压。未来走势关键取决于市场情绪:若抛售持续,DOGE可能进一步下探0.065美元;若能获得需求支撑,则有望重新收复0.07美元并挑战0.075美元。

在更广泛的加密货币回调中,狗狗币的下行势头显著加强。该迷因币跌破了0.07美元的支撑位,跌至0.068美元。

狗狗币上一次触及这些水平是在2023年11月。发稿时,狗狗币 [DOGE] 交易价格约为0.069美元,日内下跌了4.3%。

在同一时期,该迷因币的交易量增长了57%,达到8.66亿美元,反映出市场活跃度的增加。

来源:CoinGlass

此次下跌还引发了狗狗币杠杆头寸清算的增加。

根据CoinGlass的数据,24小时内,价值820万美元的多头头寸被清算。空头清算仅为552,490美元,表明下跌对看涨交易者的影响不成比例。

为什么狗狗币交易者正在退出?

随着狗狗币暴跌,不断上升的清算风险促使杠杆交易者减少他们的风险敞口。

根据Coinalyze的数据,狗狗币的永续合约卖出量攀升至4.9304亿。与此同时,永续合约买入量为4.26535亿。

来源:Coinalyze

因此,买卖差额降至-6650.5万。净买入也保持在-13.85亿的负值。

这两项读数都表明,在狗狗币的永续市场中,卖出活动超过了买入。期货市场也录得了类似的资本流出。

期货流出攀升至5.2041亿美元,而期货流入为4.2594亿美元。因此,期货净流量下降了361.34%,至-9446万美元。

来源:CoinGlass

这表明在测量期间,从狗狗币期货市场中流出的资本远多于流入。这些情况加剧了DOGE的下行压力,并让交易者关注0.07美元能否被收复。

DOGE能否避免进一步下跌?

在头寸大量减少的情况下,狗狗币的下行压力加剧。

相对强弱指数 [RSI] 反映了这种弱势。RSI跌至31.34,使DOGE接近超卖区域。

来源:TradingView

这反映了强烈的看跌势头,尽管接近超卖的读数最终可能吸引逢低买入者。

因此,如果当前压力持续,DOGE可能保持在0.07美元下方,并向0.065美元回落。然而,现货净流量从衍生品的弱势中提供了一些缓解。

来源:CoinGlass

随着狗狗币在7月23日和24日下跌,现货净流量保持为负。发稿时为-187万美元,表明交易所流出超过了流入。

这些提现表明即时的抛售可用性降低,并为DOGE提供了一些支撑。

如果需求能够维持,狗狗币可能会收复0.07美元并瞄准0.075美元。衍生品持续疲软则可能使价格下探0.065美元。


最终总结

  • 狗狗币 [DOGE] 跌破0.07美元支撑位,跌至2023年低点0.068美元。
  • 在清算风险上升的情况下,交易者恐慌并退出头寸,进一步强化了下行势头。

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