Giải Vô Địch Bóng Đá Thế Giới Gây Sốc! Người Chơi Polymarket Lỗ 1 Triệu USD

marsbitPublished on 2026-06-16Last updated on 2026-06-16

Abstract

Tác giả: Bảo Di Long, Wall Street News Một nhà giao dịch trên thị trường dự đoán đã mất gần 1 triệu USD sau khi Cape Verde cầm hòa Tây Ban Nha với tỷ số 0-0 trong trận đấu vòng bảng World Cup. Dù được đánh giá cao với xác suất thắng khoảng 92%, Tây Ban Nha đã không thể vượt qua thủ môn 40 tuổi Vozinha của Cape Verde, người có màn trình diễn xuất sắc. Trên nền tảng Polymarket, người dùng "betoor619" đã đặt cược gần 1,1 triệu USD vào chiến thắng của Tây Ban Nha, một chiến lược "rủi ro thấp, lợi nhuận thấp" điển hình với kỳ vọng lãi chỉ khoảng 85.000 USD. Kết quả bất ngờ khiến họ lỗ gần 100 vạn USD, trở thành khoản lỗ lớn nhất trong lịch sử giao dịch của tài khoản này. Trận hòa này là một trong nhiều bất ngờ tại World Cup, đồng thời cho thấy sự phổ biến ngày càng tăng của các nền tảng dự đoán như Polymarket trong cá cược thể thao, với tổng khối lượng giao dịch cho trận đấu này lên tới 64 triệu USD. Các nền tảng này cho phép giao dịch ẩn danh bằng ví tiền mã hóa, một cơ chế gây ra nhiều tranh cãi về quy định.

Tác giả: Bao Yilong, Wall Street Insights

Trận hòa giữa Cape Verde và Tây Ban Nha tại vòng bảng World Cup đã khiến một nhà giao dịch thị trường dự đoán chịu thiệt hại gần 1 triệu USD.

Vào rạng sáng ngày 16 tháng 6 theo giờ Bắc Kinh, trong trận đấu vòng bảng đầu tiên bảng H của World Cup 2026 Mỹ-Canada-Mexico, Cape Verde, đội bóng lần đầu tiên lọt vào vòng chung kết World Cup với tổng giá trị đội hình dưới 55 triệu euro, đã cầm hòa 0-0 trước ứng viên vô địch hàng đầu Tây Ban Nha, đội xếp hạng 2 thế giới với tổng giá trị đội hình lên tới 1,22 tỷ euro.

Kết quả này đã làm đảo lộn hoàn toàn cơ cấu tỷ lệ cược trên thị trường dự đoán và gây ra tổn thất lớn cho nhiều nhà giao dịch đặt cược nặng vào chiến thắng của Tây Ban Nha. Dữ liệu từ Polymarket cho thấy, một nhà giao dịch cá cược Tây Ban Nha thắng đã lỗ gần một triệu USD.

Đặt cược triệu đô: Chiến lược "đổi rủi ro thấp lấy sự chắc chắn" thất bại

Theo hồ sơ giao dịch công khai của Polymarket, một nhà giao dịch có tên người dùng "betoor619" đã thiết lập một vị thế mua lớn trị giá gần 1,1 triệu USD khi tỷ lệ thắng của Tây Ban Nha vào khoảng 92%.

Biến động đường cong tỷ lệ thắng của Tây Ban Nha trước Cape Verde trên Polymarket

Nếu Tây Ban Nha thắng thuận lợi, người dùng này dự kiến chỉ thu lời khoảng 85.000 USD, đây là một chiến lược điển hình "rủi ro thấp, lợi nhuận thấp": đặt cược vào sự kiện có xác suất cao, dùng số vốn lớn để đổi lấy lợi nhuận ổn định nhỏ.

Nhưng cuối cùng, người dùng này kết thúc với khoản lỗ gần 1 triệu USD.

Người dùng Polymarket "betoor619" lỗ 997.000 USD trong 24 giờ qua

Hồ sơ cho thấy, tài khoản này được mở vào tháng 10 năm ngoái, trước đây lãi lỗ trên một sự kiện duy nhất chưa bao giờ vượt quá 9.000 USD, quy mô đặt cược lần này lớn hơn gấp hàng trăm lần so với kỷ lục trước đó.

Các nhà giao dịch khác cũng đặt cược lớn vào chiến thắng của Tây Ban Nha, nhưng đa số đồng thời thực hiện giao dịch phòng ngừa rủi ro (hedge), phần nào bù đắp được tổn thất.

Polymarket cho phép các nhà giao dịch lớn đóng vai trò nhà tạo lập thị trường, đồng thời nắm giữ cả vị thế mua và bán trong cùng một kèo cược, cơ chế tương tự như các tổ chức phố Wall kiếm lời chênh lệch giá thông qua mua bán cùng một cổ phiếu.

Đằng sau kết quả bất ngờ, thủ môn 40 tuổi của Cape Verde lập công lớn

Tây Ban Nha trước đó được coi là ứng viên vô địch nặng ký nhất của World Cup năm nay.

Wall Street Insights đề cập, mô hình của Goldman Sachs dự đoán xác suất vô địch của họ lên tới 25%, cao nhất trong tất cả các đội tham dự. Trong khi đó, Cape Verde không chỉ lần đầu tham dự World Cup mà trong đội hình cũng không có bất kỳ cầu thủ chuyên nghiệp nổi tiếng nào.

Nhân vật then chốt làm đảo ngược tất cả là thủ môn Josimar José Évora Dias, biệt danh Vozinha. Cầu thủ 40 tuổi này đã có bảy pha cứu thua quan trọng trong trận đấu, và rời sân trong nước mắt sau trận, giành danh hiệu Cầu thủ xuất sắc nhất trận đấu.

Sau trận, Vozinha cho biết, vấn đề visa đã khiến mẹ anh không thể tận mắt chứng kiến khoảnh khắc lịch sử này. Theo quy định hiện hành, khách đến từ một số quốc gia, bao gồm Cape Verde, phải nộp khoản tiền đặt cọc hoàn lại cao nhất lên tới 15.000 USD. Anh mô tả trận đấu này là mục tiêu mà anh đã nỗ lực "suốt sự nghiệp" của mình.

Trận hòa này cũng là một trong nhiều kết quả bất ngờ khác trong những ngày khai mạc World Cup, sau khi đội tuyển Nhật Bản hồi Chủ nhật đã lội ngược dòng, gỡ hòa ở phút bù giờ trước Hà Lan.

Sự mở rộng của nền tảng: Từ cá cược chính trị đến con đường phổ biến hóa cá cược thể thao

Các nền tảng thị trường dự đoán như Polymarket trong những năm gần đây đã nhanh chóng thoát khỏi vòng tròn nhỏ hẹp, trước đây chủ yếu được biết đến như công cụ cá cược cho các sự kiện địa chính trị và kinh tế, giờ đây đã trở thành nền tảng cá cược phổ biến cho các sự kiện thể thao lớn toàn cầu như World Cup.

Người dùng nền tảng giao dịch thông qua ví tiền điện tử, có thể sử dụng tài khoản ẩn danh để thao tác mà không cần tiết lộ danh tính thật hoặc địa điểm. Cơ chế này đã gây ra chỉ trích từ một số nhà lập pháp, cho rằng nền tảng không thu thập thông tin nền tảng cần thiết về người dùng như các công ty môi giới hay cá cược truyền thống.

Hồ sơ giao dịch công khai đồng thời cũng cung cấp một cánh cửa sổ để bên ngoài quan sát, có thể thấy được quy mô và rủi ro cao trong việc đặt cược của người dùng tại các giải đấu. Chỉ riêng trận đấu với Tây Ban Nha hôm thứ Hai, tổng giá trị giao dịch của người dùng Polymarket đã lên tới 64 triệu USD.

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1.0k Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.01Updated 2024.12.03

How to Buy W

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Wormhole (W) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Wormhole (W) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Wormhole (W)After purchasing your Wormhole (W), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Wormhole (W)Easily trade Wormhole (W) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

6.0k Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.02Updated 2026.06.02

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of W (W) are presented below.

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